NBA Top Plays: Monday 4/5

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Louis Cangiano
·5 min read
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Update: Ricky Rubio & D'Angelo Russell are expected to play tonight - Nowell and Beasley will not play.

Point Guard

De'Aaron Fox - Sacramento Kings (vs. Minnesota Timberwolves)

Russell will be good to go tonight against Fox and the Sacramento Kings. Russell was not meant to be ready for tonight's matchup but it seems as if he's ready to play. Fox and Russell are both viable investments and yes, you should play them both in the same lineup. Russell hasn’t started since February 8th, 2021. I am sure he will see a minutes limit but at his current salaries (which are very low) he’s worth the risk. If by chance he’s not on a minutes limit, well you hit the jackpot. With that said, Fox has the real daily fantasy upside. Russell is coming into this game cold. Fox carries massive DFS potential and has been producing steadily for months averaging 43.5 DK points per game over his last six games. For GPP upside, Fox is the play. Russell and Fox have no other gears than to play as hard and as long as they possibly can. Invest in them both but primarily Fox for the highest O/U of the night at 236.5. The Timberwolves are now + 3.5 point underdogs with a 236.5 O/U Courtesy of Pointsbet.

Other PG Option: Jordan McLaughlin - Minnesota Timberwolves (vs. Sacramento Kings)

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Shooting Guard

Jalen Brunson - Dallas Mavericks (vs. Utah Jazz)

If Luka Doncic cannot put this Mavericks team on his back with a massive performance tonight, Utah will win in a big way. The Jazz are currently favored by - 5 points with a 223 O/U Courtesy of Pointsbet. This seems generous to Dallas in my opinion. The Jazz are a technically sound defensive team, allowing an average of 107.1 PPG which is good enough for 3rd lowest in the league (tied with the Miami Heat). Brunson will be getting a minutes/usage increase tonight if Doncic cannot keep this game close. Burke is no longer a real threat to Brunson. Jalen is averaging 30 MPG over his last six games with 27.8 FPPG. Brunson or Doncic, pick one and only one.

Other SG Option: Jordan Clarkson - Utah Jazz (vs. Dallas Mavericks)

Small Forward

Josh Okogie - Minnesota Timberwolves (vs. Sacramento Kings)

This is a sneaky investment and also quite risky. With that said, I couldn’t help but write about him, Josh Okogie, and the Minnesota Timberwolves. Ricky Rubio is expected to miss tonight’s game with a back injury and backup guard, Jaylen Nowell is also unlikely to play. Most are investing in Jordan McLaughlin but for pivoting purposes, don’t rule out Okogie for a big game. Okogie is averaging 22 MPG over his last two games. Here’s the thing. His fantasy point-per-minute stats could not be worse. The minutes are there though. This is simply a leverage punt play so be careful but you shouldn’t be surprised if Okogie comes out of nowhere to vulture Jordan McLaughlin’s “guarantee points” with a shocking performance against a Kings team that he has yet to face off against this season.

Other SF Options: Bojan Bogdanovic - Utah Jazz (vs. Dallas Mavericks)

Power Forward

Jeff Green - Brooklyn Nets (vs. New York Knicks)

I love this Jeff Green play tonight! Some people might think his success against the Knicks this season is not sustainable or fluky. If you ask me, it’s just the perfect matchup. In two games against the Knicks this season, Green is averaging 15.5 PPG over an average of 33.5 MPG. He’s shooting 70 % from the field, attempting 8.5 shots per game (3.0 attempts from beyond the arc) against the Knicks. He did start both matchups against the Knicks. Green is at a very reasonable salary considering his overall involvement in the offense (especially against the Knicks). The Knicks allow opponents to shoot only 33.6 % from deep which works out well against a Brooklyn team that loves to take their three-point attempts. The Nets as a team average 36.4 three-point attempts per game which ranks them 10th highest in the NBA. If you’re not investing in Green, make sure to roster Julius Randle. I expect one of these two players to be in the optimal lineup on tonight’s seven-game slate. The Knicks are + 6 point underdogs with a 218 O/U Courtesy of Pointsbet.

Other PF Option: Julius Randle - New York Knicks (vs. Brooklyn Nets)

Center

Isaiah Stewart - Detroit Pistons (vs. Oklahoma City Thunder)

I see most people and optimizers on Oklahoma City’s big man situation tonight (Tony Bradley or Moses Brown). Isaiah Roby is out with a concussion that was suffered in Saturday night’s game against the Portland Trail Blazers. I don’t blame anyone for rostering OKC players, it makes sense...Their lineup is so thin right now due to injury, their next man up would need to come out of the stands. With that said, when I can/when it makes sense, fade the chalk when possible. What better way to say the chalk in OKC big men than to invest in the opposing center, Isaiah Stewart. Detroit’s starting center, Mason Plumlee is sitting tonight (rest). Stewart is a first-round, 16th overall pick in the 2020 NBA Draft from the Washington Huskies. Stewart is just as capable of a backup center as Moses Brown or Tony Bradley. Give me Stewart at lower percentages and salaries compared to Brown or Bradley for the opposing Thunder. The Pistons are - 3 point favorites with a 214 O/U Courtesy of Pointsbet.

Other C Option: Tony Bradley - Oklahoma City Thunder (vs. Detroit Pistons) & Karl Anthony Towns - Minnesota Timberwolves (vs. Sacramento Kings)

Bargain Bin

PG Jordan McLaughlin

SG Josh Okogie

SF Aleksej Pokusevski

PF Jeff Green

C Moses Brown