NBA GPP Pivots: Saturday 3/27

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Louis Cangiano
·5 min read
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Update: Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bobby Portis are all OUT against the Knicks.

Point Guard

Raul Neto - Washington Wizards (vs. Detroit Pistons)

If Bradley Beal is out for tonight‘s match-up against the Detroit Pistons, the daily fantasy masses will be flocking towards Russell Westbrook. In this situation I expect Westbrook to be north of 70% rostered. The question is, how can we pivot? The answer, Raul Neto. In my opinion, the only way Russell Westbrook does not reach value (if Bradley Beal does not play tonight) is if Detroit blows Washington out. If Washington is blown out, Westbrook will be benched throughout the second half and Neto will eat up garbage time. Obviously, this is a longshot. My honest opinion is if Beal is out, Westbrook has the highest potential on the slate but for pivoting purposes, Neto is a viable, low rostered, affordable play.

Other PG Option: Jrue Holiday - Milwaukee Bucks (vs. New York Knicks)

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Shooting Guard

Tyrese Haliburton - Sacramento Kings (vs. Cleveland Cavaliers)

One specific game that has my attention tonight is the Cleveland Cavaliers vs. the Sacramento Kings. Listen to some of these stats and tell me you don’t want a piece of this action? Let’s start with the Cavaliers. The Cleveland Cavaliers allow 8.7 steals per game (which is the most in the league). They also allow their opponents to 5.9 blocks per game (also highest in the NBA). Cleveland allows their opponents to shoot 38.5% from three-point land which is the third-highest in the NBA. Pretty bad right? Well, guess who’s worse, the Sacramento Kings. The Kings allow the second-highest three-point percentage in the league at 39.2 % per game. The Kings are also allowing 7.4 steals per game and 4.6 blocks per game. The Kings allow the league’s second-highest points per game at 119.1. Oddly enough, the Cleveland Cavaliers are only allowing 111.1 points per game which is an improvement as of late. I expect this game to be the late-night hammer and having exposure to players like Larry Nance Jr., Tyrese Haliburton, and more is imperative for daily fantasy success tonight. The Kings are - 9 point favorites with a 224.5 O/U Courtesy of Pointsbet.com.

Other SG Option: Patty Mills - San Antonio Spurs (Chicago Bulls)

Small Forward

DeMar DeRozan - San Antonio Spurs (vs. Chicago Bulls)

The Chicago Bulls face off against the San Antonio Spurs tonight with a 219.5 O/U. Lonnie Walker will not play and Zach LaVine is currently a game-time decision. Tomas Satoransky is a top-notch defender. I fully expect him to maintain Dejounte Murray forcing him to distribute the ball elsewhere. This narrative results in two possible advantageous situations. One, invest in San Antonio‘s backup point guard, Patty Mills. And two, invest in the San Antonio starter that will most benefit from Murray having to make the first pass. In my opinion, DeMar DeRozan has the experience, and skill to really do damage to a guy like Patrick Williams. DeMar DeRozan and Patty Mills are my top plays from this game. The Bulls are currently allowing their opponents to shoot 47.9% from the field and 37.6% from beyond the arc. Give me the Spurs tonight without a doubt.

Other SF Options: RJ Barrett - New York Knicks (vs. Milwaukee Bucks)

Power Forward

Jordan Nwora - Milwaukee Bucks (vs. New York Knicks)

With Bobby Portis and Giannis, Holiday, and Middleton OUT for tonight, most people will be fading the Bucks. The name that I’m going to bring up here is a little risky. Actually very risky but here we go. Jordan Nwora. Nwora was drafted in the second round of the 2020 NBA Draft with the 45th pick. He hasn’t had much of a sample size to pull from but with Portis, Middleton, and potentially Giannis out tonight you may very well see Nwora get some run. The 22-year-old SF/PF out of Louisville has all the skills necessary to reach value at low roster percentages and minimal salaries tonight. This is a risky play but I can definitely see Milwaukee giving the young rookie a shot tonight.

Other PF Option: Jae’Sean Tate - Houston Rockets (vs. Minnesota Timberwolves)

Center

Brook Lopez - Milwaukee Bucks (vs. New York Knicks)

Note: Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Bobby Portis are all OUT against the Knicks tonight.

The Knicks are going to be slightly hobbled tonight with a litany of possible injuries. New York actually allows the fourth-highest blocks in the NBA to opposing teams at an average of 5.7 per game. Brook Lopez leads the Milwaukee Bucks with 60 blocks on the season and should benefit from this matchup. Not to mention he's their only remaining starter. Yes, the Knicks don’t allow many three-balls, but that’s not all Brook can do! Considering New York’s current injuries, I don’t foresee them shooting the ball particularly well from the field. This will result in a potential increase of rebounds for Brook Lopez. The Milwaukee Bucks are favored by - 8.5 points with a 223 O/U Courtesy of Pointsbet.com.

Other C Option: Nerlens Noel - New York Knicks (vs. Milwaukee Bucks)

Bargain Bin

PG Raul Neto

SG Patty Mills

SF Pat Connaughton

PF Jordan Nwora

C Brook Lopez