Welcome to the NBA DFS Bargains column, where we’ll sort through value plays in salary cap formats like FanDuel and DraftKings. Please take note that this article was created earlier in the day, so pertinent injury information and breaking news could add or subtract bargain situations. Paying attention to our NBA News & Headlines feed is a great way to stay on top of everything.
The injury news is coming in fast and furious today, so you’ll definitely want to monitor the latest happenings.
With that, let’s go ahead and dive into the bargain bin!
FANDUEL & DRAFTKINGS BARGAINS
Emmanuel Mudiay – PG – New York (FD: $5000 / DK: $4600)
Mudiay disappointed with only 11 fantasy points through 21 minutes Monday at Toronto. A blowout caused those low totals, and Mudiay otherwise hit 37+ fantasy points in two of his past three going into that game. Dennis Smith Jr remains out for New York, so Mudiay will continue to serve as the primary NYK point guard. We are hoping for a reasonably competitive game at home vs Utah, which would push Mudiay towards a full workload with a solid fantasy baseline. I’ll take that risk considering the cheap salary and inherent upside.
Fred VanVleet – PG – Toronto (FD: $5300 / DK: $4700)
Kyle Lowry has been ruled out tonight, meaning VanVleet will maintain a heightened role. He’s coming off a solid 38 FP showing through 28 minutes against the Knicks on Monday, and playing up in pace at Oklahoma City (2nd in possessions/game) doesn’t hurt. The salary is still cheap for VanVleet, and I believe he can hit value around 30 fantasy points. Go ahead and consider him through all formats.
Kenrich Williams – SF – New Orleans (FD: $5200 / DK: $4100)
Williams is coming off a strong showing with 35 fantasy points at Dallas on Monday. He logged 39 minutes in that game, which is an encouraging sign moving forward. Anthony Davis has been ruled out, so that should help stabilize Williams’ role tonight. The matchup at Orlando doesn’t look great on paper (ORL is 2nd vs frontcourts), but seeing a full workload with a bargain salary should lead to respectable value. Go ahead and keep Williams on your DFS short list, especially on FanDuel – where you need two true small forwards.
Brook Lopez – C – Milwaukee (FD: $6400 / DK: $5400)
Lopez was a featured pick in yesterday’s “NBA DFS Plays” article. I wasn’t expecting 60 fantasy points against the Lakers, but I’ll gladly take it. The increase came as a result of Giannis Antetokounmpo’s absence, and the Greek Freak is questionable tonight. I believe Lopez is a fine mid-range value regardless of Antetokounmpo’s status, but his fantasy viability would increase if the All-Star misses another game. The matchup looks good against a hobbled Cleveland frontcourt that ranks bottom ten in defensive efficiency to centers and 17th in rebound rate.
Delon Wright – SG – Memphis (FD: $5200 / DK: $4800)
Avery Bradley will not play for Memphis tonight. I’m not sure exactly how the Grizzlies’ rotation will shake out, but Bradley was seeing 33-36 minutes per contest. Wright should soak up some of those with a chance at more usage to boot. The newly acquired Memphis guard was already a borderline DFS bargain, but this pushes him firmly into cash game consideration. Wright has shown the ability to hit 35 fantasy points in two of his past five, and hopefully a larger role can elevate him back to that range.
We are waiting to see if Giannis Antetokounmpo will play tonight. If he’s out, several bargains from Milwaukee will open up. Nikola Mirotic (SF – MIL) would be the first one to consider after registering 32 FP with Giannis out yesterday … DJ Wilson (PF – MIL) could see another 30-minute role if Antetokounmpo and Ilyasova miss another game. He didn’t do much with those minutes yesterday, but he’s minimum salary with potential to see a respectable return.
Waiting on more injury news, Ante Zizic (C – CLE) makes a case as an adequate bargain if Kevin Love, Tristan Thompson, and Larry Nance Jr are all out. His opponent, Milwaukee, ranks 29th in rebound rate.
As mentioned earlier, Anthony Davis will not play tonight. Cheick Diallo (PF – NO) has been all over the place lately, but Davis’ absence should free him for 25+ minutes. Over the last month, Diallo has seen 20 or more minutes six times. He’s averaging 32 FPPG in those contests. Food for thought.
The following bargains were labeled as risk/reward picks in today’s NBA GPP Pivots article:
Goran Dragic – PG – Miami
Dwyane Wade – SG – Miami
Moe Harkless – SF – Portland
Danuel House – SF – Houston
You can read more by viewing the article here.