NBA bets you need to make: Thursday 11/21

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RUN LIKE A DEER

The Bucks are 13-point favorites as the Trail Blazers come into town. Portland will once again be without Damian Lillard, Jusuf Nurkic, and Zach Collins and now have Hassan Whiteside and Anfernee Simons listed as questionable. The Blazers have lost four of their last five games and being shorthanded won’t help versus a Bucks squad averaging 123.5 points on its home court.

With Milwaukee averaging 65 first-half points per home outing and the Blazers scoring only 53.8 points in the opening two quarters as visitors, bank on the Bucks having this game under control by halftime and bet Over their first-half team total of 58.5.

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LEAPING LOPEZ

The Blazers have held opposing centers to 23.2 points on 53.6 percent shooting this season, but have surrendered 16.5 rebounds per game to the position. This is a good spot for Milwaukee's Brook Lopez, who enters Thursday averaging just 5.1 rebounds a game but has logged two 10-plus rebound efforts in 2019. 

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With Portland shooting only 43.9 percent on the road and going up against a Bucks team holding opponents to 41.1 percent from the floor, expect a lot of rebounding opportunities - especially against a Blazers team giving up the most total rebounds per game in the Association at 57.7. Bet Over 5.5 rebounds for Brook Lopez.

 

TOO HOT TO HANDLE

The Suns are 4.5-point home favorites hosting the Pelicans. New Orleans has struggled on the road, winning only once in six away tries. The Pelicans come in shorthanded with Derrick Favors, Josh Hart and Zion Williamson all out, and have Jahlil Okafor and Lonzo Ball listed as questionable for tonight. 

The Suns are averaging the sixth-highest points per game with 115 an outing. They’re in a favorable matchup versus a Pelicans defense surrendering the second-most points per game on the road this season, at 122.4 on 46.5 percent shooting. Bet Over Phoenix's team total of 117.5.

 

 

ALL IN ON INGRAM

New Orleans’ leading scorer, Brandon Ingram, struggled from the floor versus Portland Tuesday, connecting on 8 of 20 shots in his first game back after missing four contests with a knee injury. He was an integral part of the offense but failed to shot at a high percentage, despite logging 34 minutes of game time. 

The Suns have struggled defending opposing power forwards and are giving up an average of 24.8 points on 51.5 percent shooting to the position. Expect a productive night out of Ingram as he works off the rust, and bet Over his points total of 23.5.

 

PLENTY OF RUN FOR REDICK

Although J.J. Redick averages only 1.7 assists per game so far in 2019, he’s averaged 2.5 over his two most recent efforts, logging big minutes (32 and 36 minutes per game) with Josh Hart out. 

The Suns have done a good job limiting opposing shooting guards to 22.2 points per outing, but surrender a very high 4.8 assists a game to the position. With Redick seeing plenty of floor time in what projects to be a higher scoring back-and-forth game, bet Over his assists total of 1.5.

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