MLB Top Plays: Wednesday 9/30

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·5 min read
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STACKS

Houston Astros

It took a while for the Astros to really produce yesterday but eventually they tagged the Twins pitching staff for four runs on eight hits. Maeda played well but racked up a high pitch count quickly. Houston saw some of the best of what Minnesota’s bullpen had to offer in Trevor May, Tyler Duffey, Taylor Rogers and Sergio Romo. Today, they face Jose Berrios, a pitcher that they have hit very well in the past. The Astros are batting .333 in 72 at bats against Berrios. With exceptions to Michael Brantley and Carlos Correa, Houston’s entire lineup has solid BvP stats against Berrios. The O/U is at 8.0 favoring the Twins at -159. The Astros are my top stack of the day!

PITCHER

Dallas Keuchel - Chicago White Sox (vs. Oakland A’s)

Keuchel has been extremely consistent with a high floor so far this season. He’s averaging 13 .9 DK points in 2020 and 16.9 DK points over his last 10 game starts. Chicago's lefty has yet to put up a single digit fantasy effort all season. Oakland is not hitting well at the moment and Lucas Giolito dominated them yesterday. After a hard throwing right-hander almost had them on the wrong side of history in game one, tonight they must face a very talented, left handed SP in Keuchel. The A's are batting just .220 against opposing lefties with 15 home runs this season. The A’s are targetable and I do expect Keuchel to be highly rostered as he’s held the A’s to a .231 batting average over 156 at bats with 23 total strike outs. Lock it in!

Other SP Option: Chris Bassitt - Oakland A’s (Chicago White Sox)

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CATCHER

Martin Maldonado - Houston Astros (vs. Jose Berrios)

Houston’s catcher provides significant upside at a low salary. Maldonado is boom or bust tonight. The Astros are seemingly in a great spot. Investing in the back end of their lineup could be an interesting contrarian look at an otherwise chaly stack. If Houston dominates like I think they will, Maldonado should see an increase in RBI opportunities along with other slight upticks.

ther C Option: Yasmani Grandal - Chicago White Sox (vs. Chris Bassitt)

FIRST BASE

Jose Abreu - Chicago White Sox (vs. Chris Bassitt)

Although I can make an argument for rostering Bassitt, how can you confidently fade Abreu right now? The man is on fire! He’s averaging 10.1 DK points per game over his last 10 games and he went deep yesterday. Pairing Tim Anderson with Abreu is a solid investment. Think of these two like spaghetti and meatball, can’t have one without the other. Invest in both sides of this game. Bassitt is totally viable. This is the GPP matchup of the day.

Other 1B Play: Anthony Rizzo - Chicago Cubs (Sandy Alcantara)

SECOND BASE

Jose Altuve - Houston Astros (vs. Jose Berrios)

Altuve is batting 4 for 12 against Berrios. If stacking the Astros, Altuve is a must play. He will benefit from increased RBI opportunities as well as additional runs scored. Altuve is having a tough season but he is batting much better against righties as of late. As I mentioned above, the Astros are batting .333 in 72 at bats against Berrios. With exceptions to Michael Brantley and Carlos Correa, Houston’s entire lineup has solid BvP stats against Berrios. Altuve should benefit and produce at hopefully low roster percentages today.

Other 2B Play: Tommy Edman - St. Louis Cardinals (vs. Chris Paddack)

THIRD BASE

Alex Bregman - Houston Astros (vs. Jose Berrios)

Bregman is batting four for seven with two doubles and a home run against Berrios. Bregman comes into the playoffs with a .236 batting average which is not good but in a game narrative where Houston wins, I can’t imagine him not producing. Bregman is batting clean up and will see significant RBI opportunities. The question is, can he produce? I believe so!

Other 3B Play: Jose Ramirez - Cleveland Indians (vs. Masahiro Tanaka)

SHORTSTOP

Tim Anderson - Chicago White Sox - (vs. Chris Bassitt)

As I mentioned above, rostering Tim Anderson witb Jose Abreu makes a lot of sense. Anderson has been getting on base and Abreu has been knocking him home. Grandal also started the playoffs on a good note with a homerun in game one. In yesterday's article I mentioned that without Eloy Jimenez and Luis Robert in a major slump, Chicago’s success is predicated on extra production from their one thru four batters. So far, they have answered the call.

Other SS Play: Gleyber Torres - New York Yankees (vs. Carlos Carrasco)

OUTFIELD

George Springer - Houston Astros (vs. Jose Berrios)

Springer is batting 6 for 12 with a double and a home run against Berrios. The Astros lead off man is batting .316 over the month of September and sees righties very well with a .277 batting average against opposing right handed pitchers. Springer has reverse splits at the moment as he’s currently batting .229 against opposing lefties. I’m all in on these Astros and so is the Rotoworld Optimizer, along with many other players. Go check them out!

BARGAIN BIN

Manuel Margot

Mark Canha

Yandy Diaz

Mike Zunino