MLB Stacks: Tuesday 5/4

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Louis Cangiano
·3 min read
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CASH STACKS

Atlanta Braves (vs. Washington Nationals - SP Joe Ross)

Freddie Freeman is batting 5 for 10 with two home runs against Nationals starter, Joe Ross. Ozzie Albies is batting 3 for 4 against the right hander and will hold down the clean up spot tonight. Dansby Swanson is batting .333 in 10 at bats against Ross with a home run and five RBI. Marcell Ozuna has a double and a triple at nine at bats against Ross. What am I getting towards? Joe Ross has allowed the Atlanta Braves to bat .395 over 38 at bats, striking out less than 23% of opposing batters. Ross has allowed right handed batters to hit significantly better against him compared to opposing lefties. This is referred to as reverse splits. Historically, pitchers perform better against batters who hit from the same side of the plate as their throwing arm. For example, left handed batters are expected to hit better against right handed pitchers. Now that we know Ross has exhibited reverse splits, players such as Ronald Acuna Jr and Marcell Ozuna go to the top of my list. Even someone like Dansby Swanson could have serious upside against Ross and his 20.77 home ERA. This home ERA is obviously deceptive, Ross has only pitched one game at home at Nationals Park, where he allowed 10 earned runs in a loss to the St. Louis Cardinals. The Atlanta Braves are favored by -136 with a 9.0 O/U courtesy of pointsbet.com.

Other Cash Stacks: Boston Red Sox and Kansas City Royals

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GPP STACKS

Houston Astros (vs. New York Yankees - SP Domingo German)

Unlike German, his last two starts against Balimore and Cleveland, the right handed starting pitcher sees a tough matchup tonight. I confidently called German on the NBC Sports Edge Instagram Story last Wednesday. This was because he saw a favorable matchup against a Baltimore team that struggled against opposing righties. The Houston Astros own a 246 batting average against right handed pitchers this season. This average was over 529 at bats. The Astros hit slightly better than average against opposing lefties but it is clear that Houston’s power is best shown against opposing right handed pitchers. Houston has 17 home runs against opposing righties to go along with 33 doubles. Against lefties the Astros only have 10 home runs with 22 doubles. German allows somewhat even numbers to lefties and righties, but in Yankee Stadium tonight the power of Houston's top four is what concerns me. The Yankees are favored by -125 with an 8.5 O/U. As confident as I was to call German in his last match up, I am equally as confident that the Astros will bring the Yankees 26 year-old right hander back to earth after his past two stellar outings where he averaged 25.25 DK FPPG.

Other GPP Stacks: Washington Nationals

Bargain Bin

P Cole Irvin

C William Contreras

1B Matt Carpenter

2B Brad Miller

3B Charlie Culberson

SS Dansby Swanson

OF Cristian Pache

OF Clint Frazier

OF Michael Taylor