Welcome to the MLB GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the 15-game main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
Merrill Kelly – Arizona (vs. Colorado)
Kelly has been up-and-down all season, but he may be rounding into form after completing three-straight quality starts with two earned runs and 18 strikeouts across 22.1 innings. Allowing just three hits over 7.2 scoreless innings at Philadelphia last Wednesday was particularly impressive. The matchup doesn’t seem great on the surface while facing Colorado, but the Rockies are a much different offense away from home, where they rank 29th in wRC+ at 71. Kelly could continue to roll tonight.
Miguel Cabrera – Detroit (at Pittsburgh)
Sure, Cabrera is far past his prime, but he’s still good for some occasional upside. He’s looking good at the moment while recording five hits and a homer over his past three games. Even though Miggy has seen a noticeable dip in the power department, his average has climbed to a respectable .294 level. Despite the unimposing park factor, this matchup against Pittsburgh RHP Mitch Keller is a good one. Keller has started two games for the Pirates this season, getting rocked for 12 earned runs and 17 hits through seven innings. Cabrera and the Tigers make for a sneaky-good stack in this draw.
Brandon Dixon – Detroit (at Pittsburgh)
Dixon will look to take advantage of the similar rationale used with Cabrera’s previous write-up. The Detroit second baseman is reasonably cheap while flexing desirable fantasy numbers with five hits and two homers over his past six starts. As mentioned earlier, Pittsburgh RHP Keller has gotten absolutely shelled in two starts this year, which could help the Tigers get something going offensively.
Kyle Seager – Seattle (vs. Kansas City)
Seager missed the first two months of the season, but it didn’t take him long to contribute after returning from injury. The .218 average doesn’t look great, but Seager has racked up six multi-hit performances with four homers over 15 games in the month of June. In other words, he’s a boom-or-bust option who will either go 0-4 or 2-4 with contributions across the box score. I’m thinking he’s good for the ladder tonight, as the matchup against Kansas City RHP Homer Bailey (.367 wOBA vs LHB) is ripe for the picking.
Tim Beckham – Seattle (vs. Kansas City)
As it turns out, Bailey is pretty generous to right-handed bats too, holding a .361 wOBA split in that regard. Beckham has been a frequent member of this GPP Pivots column, as he flexes realistic homerun upside that can be difficult to find in cheap shortstops. He could provide a healthy return in this promising matchup.
Oscar Mercado – Cleveland (at Texas)
Mercado has been on fire with eight hits, two doubles, one homer, five RBIs, and two steals over his past four games. Despite that, he could hold a lower-than-deserved ownership rate due to a lack of name recognition. Texas RHP Adrian Sampson has looked better since the calendar flipped to June, but he still carries a vulnerable .386 wOBA split to right-handed bats. Playing in the hitter-friendly environment of Globe Life Park could help Mercado as well.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. – Toronto (vs. LA Angels)
Gurriel is another underrated player who has been swinging a hot bat with eight hits, two homers, and nine RBIs over his past five starts. He’ll hold a premium lineup spot tonight as well as the platoon advantage over Angels’ left-handed pitcher Tyler Skaggs. The LAA southpaw has been extremely hittable as of late while allowing 12 earned runs through 16 innings over his past three starts.