Welcome to the MLB GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays on FanDuel and DraftKings. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned popular picks contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
With that, let’s dive into tonight’s main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
Lance Lynn – Texas (at Oakland)
Lynn was briefly mentioned in today’s MLB DFS Bargains article, and we’ll explore that with more detail here. The Texas hurler has the benefit of a positive shift to Oakland’s pitcher-friendly tonight. That’s good news when realizing that Lynn has been solid in two road starts while getting shelled in a pair of home outings. Lynn’s main susceptibility comes against left-handed bats – holding a .360 wOBA split in that regard. However, he’s pretty good against righties (.301 wOBA), and the most intimidating Oakland bats are right-handed (K.Davis, Chapman, Semien). In other words, Lynn will need to hold serve against those powerful righties while dancing around switch-hitters like Kendrys Morales, Jurickson Profar, and Robbie Grossman. That seems entirely possible, elevating Lynn to DFS tournament status.
Brandon Belt – San Francisco (at Toronto)
The Giants’ offense has been easy to ignore for DFS purposes this season. However, there’s (some) breakout potential while enjoying a hitter-friendly shift in Toronto. Belt is one of the best hitters for San Francisco. Even though he’s only hitting .213 on the season, he’s the most capable of delivering solid numbers in this series. Toronto RHP Tyler Thornton has gotten beat-up in his past two starts, and lefty bats have given him fits throughout his brief MLB career.
Rowdy Tellez – Toronto (vs San Francisco)
This Toronto-San Francisco matchup posts a nice run-scoring environment even though both teams are subpar on offense. Giants’ RHP Jeff Samardjiza has been generous to left-handed bats, holding a .376 wOBA split over the past two seasons. Tellez has power upside to take advantage. The salary is reasonable, and his ownership rate should be very tame.
Joey Wendle – Tampa Bay (vs Kansas City)
Wendle has done nothing this season. I’m not just saying that; he has literally gone 0-16 through five games on the year. Most DFS enthusiasts will avoid him for that reason. However, Wendle is hitting cleanup within an encouraging Rays’ offense. The matchup looks good against Kansas City RHP Homer Bailey and his .374 wOBA split to lefties over the past two years. Wendle checks all the boxes of a sneaky GPP pivot with upside: low ownership, premium lineup spot, great matchup, and cheap price. This could be his breakout spot.
Colin Moran – Pittsburgh (vs Arizona)
I briefly had Ryon Healy listed in this spot, so consider him on your short list of tournament third basemen as well. However, Moran is much cheaper with some intriguing upside of his own. The Pittsburgh lefty is hitting .289 on the season with seven hits and seven RBIs over his past six games. He’s hitting fifth tonight, providing more RBI potential while settling into a confident draw against Arizona RHP Luke Weaver – who holds a .368 wOBA split to left-handed bats. The hitting environment (or lack thereof) of PNC Park will keep people away, but don’t forget about Moran as a capable bargain in this encouraging draw.
Freddy Galvis – Toronto (vs San Francisco)
I already mentioned how Toronto and San Francisco make for sneaky-good stacks tonight. Galvis is a switch-hitter who follows the rationale of his teammate, Tellez, discussed above. The Toronto shortstop has been on fire to begin the season, earning a promotion to second in the order. There’s a “day-to-day” tag next to Galvis’ name, but reports suggest that the ailment is minor. In other words, there’s a good chance he’ll start tonight. If that’s the case, he makes for a great all-around play to take advantage of Samardjiza’s generosity to left-handed bats.
Steven Duggar – San Francisco (vs Toronto)
See Brandon Belt’s write-up and directly apply it to Duggar. Toronto RHP Tyler Thorton has had problems with left-handed bats this season, and Duggar is in position to take advantage. The San Francisco outfielder has flexed upside recently with back-to-back homers (and multi-hit outings) at Washington last week.
Dwight Smith Jr. – Baltimore (vs Chicago White Sox)
Smith is another player most people may ignore due to an injury designation next to his name. He doesn’t have much name recognition either. If Smith ends up playing tonight, he could take advantage of Baltimore’s hitter-friendly park while facing White Sox RHP Ivan Nova – who holds a .354 wOBA split to left-handed bats. Smith isn’t cheap, but he has proven himself while collecting nine hits, three doubles, two homers, nine RBIs, and one steal over his past six starts. This is arguably his best matchup of that recent stretch.