Welcome to the MLB GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays on FanDuel and DraftKings. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned popular picks contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
With that, let’s dive into tonight’s main slate starting at 6:35 ET.
Joe Musgrove – Pittsburgh (at Detroit)
Musgrove has pitched 15.1 scoreless innings with 15 strikeouts to begin the season. He has only allowed seven hits within that. Like most of the fantasy community, I’m skeptical of Musgrove’s brilliant start to 2019. However, I’m even more cynical about the state of Detroit’s offense. The Tigers weren’t going to overwhelm opposing pitchers in the first place, but now they’re dealing with injuries to Nicholas Castellanos, Niko Goodrum, Jordy Mercer, and Josh Harrison. There’s a chance they’ll get one or two of those players back, but that doesn’t necessarily dissuade Musgrove’s fantasy prospects. There’s a chance the quality start streak could continue, and most people will likely avoid Musgrove at a marked-up salary.
Daniel Vogelbach – Seattle (vs Cleveland)
The Mariners’ offense has been remarkable to begin the season, and Vogelbach has been a big part of that (no pun intended). He’s hitting .341 with six homers and 11 RBIs on the young season, but the Seattle slugger has gone 0-8 in his past two games. I’m thinking most DFS enthusiasts will gloss over his inflated salary while facing a quality pitcher in Cleveland’s Shane Bieber. As impressive as Bieber has been, he holds a .377 wOBA split to left-handed bats. Vogelbach could take advantage tonight.
Don’t look now, but Owings is heating up. He has tallied nine hits, three doubles, one homer, six RBIs, four runs, and two stolen bases over his past eight games. The Kansas City second baseman is still cheap at $2,500 on FanDuel despite that recent heater. He usually hits towards the bottom of the lineup, which will lead to most DFS players avoiding him. There’s sneaky-good upside while facing White Sox RHP Reynaldo Lopez in a hitter-friendly park.
Yandy Diaz – Tampa Bay (vs Baltimore)
Tampa Bay checks in with one of the highest run-scoring projections of the night. That creates an interesting situation, as the Rays don’t have many name-brand bats that will draw considerable ownership rates. Yandy Diaz has been a staple for the red-hot Rays, but his salary is priced-up along the lines of third basemen like Alex Bregman, Nolan Arenado, and Kris Bryant. Diaz could make for a strong differentiator while facing Baltimore RHP Dylan Bundy’s .343 wOBA split to right-handed bats. The Orioles’ bullpen could help him out as well.
Willy Adames – Tampa Bay (vs Baltimore)
Let’s stick with the Rays here. Willy Adames was terrible to begin the season, going 1-27 in his first seven games. Ever since that point, he has turned things around by racking up 13 hits, three doubles, one homer, and 10 runs over his past eight games. That momentum could carry into an encouraging matchup against the aforementioned vulnerabilities of Dylan Bundy and the Orioles’ pitching staff.
Jay Bruce – Seattle (vs Cleveland)
Bruce is the ultimate risk/reward fantasy pick. Hitting .169 with seven homers tells you everything on that front. There’s room for upside tonight, as Bruce attaches himself to the same rationale used in teammate Vogelbach’s write-up early. Cleveland RHP Shane Bieber is a quality pitcher, but his .377 wOBA split to left-handed bats could get exposed tonight.
Delino DeShields (vs LA Angels)
It’s no surprise that Texas ranks among the highest projected offenses of the night. Runs have been easy to come by in Globe Life Park, and that should continue with a 10 run total between the Angels and Rangers this evening. LAA right-handed pitcher, Jaime Barria, has reverse-splits with a .362 wOBA mark allowed to right-handed bats. That makes guys like DeShields and Elvis Andrus sneaky-good lifts within this Texas offense. DeShields will probably be underrated due to his spot at the bottom of the Rangers’ order, but don’t completely write him off for tournaments.