Welcome to the MLB GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the 11-game main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
Merrill Kelly - Arizona (at St. Louis)
This isn’t the safest pitching recommendation, but Kelly has been able to flex upside several times over the past month. Twirling gems against Philadelphia (7.2 IP, 0 ER, 5 K’s) and San Francisco (6 IP, 2 ER, 9 K’s) serve as prime examples. Despite starting on the road, this is a sneaky-good matchup against a St. Louis team that has struggled at the plate recently. In fact, the Cardinals rank 29th in wRC+ over the past 30 days. Kelly could extend those struggles tonight.
Brandon Dixon - Detroit (at Kansas City)
Detroit represents one of the worst offenses in baseball this season, so they’ll probably be ignored for daily fantasy purposes. However, don’t overlook Dixon in tournaments, as he’s been heating up with four hits, one homer, three runs, and three RBIs over his past three starts. Dixon checks in with a bargain salary and a confident matchup against mediocre RHP Brad Keller.
Keston Hiura - Milwaukee (vs. San Francisco)
Even though he has looked reasonably good lately, it’s safe to say that Madison Bumgarner no longer holds his World Series MVP form. Throw in a recent elbow contusion, and we aren’t really sure what to expect from the San Francisco southpaw. Meanwhile, Hiura has been heating up with five hits, two homers, and two stolen bases over his past four starts. He’ll have the benefit of Milwaukee’s hitter-friendly park, creating an interesting tournament opportunity at an otherwise underwhelming second base position.
Kyle Seager - Seattle (at LA Angels)
The Mariners fell victim to a no-hitter yesterday, but I’m expecting a massive bounce-back tonight. It helps that Angels’ RHP Matt Harvey is making his return, as the veteran currently holds a 7.50 ERA through 48 innings this season. He also carries a vulnerable .355 wOBA split to left-handed bats over the past two years. Seager hasn’t done much of fantasy significance lately, but this is an excellent spot for a breakout performance.
Brandon Crawford - San Francisco (at Milwaukee)
The Giants were able to take advantage of a nice park upgrade in Milwaukee yesterday, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they continued to score runs tonight. Brewers’ RHP Zach Davies has allowed a ton of contact over the past month, leading to a .355 wOBA split against left-handed bats. Crawford slapped a homer last night, and I believe he could find another path to upside (or perhaps the same one) in this plum draw.
Jake Bauers - Cleveland (vs. Minnesota)
Minnesota RHP Jake Odorizzi held the American League’s best ERA for quite some time, but he’s currently in a wave of regression. Odorizzi has allowed 16 earned runs through 18.1 innings over his past four starts while battling a blister on his finger as well. In other words, he’s hittable despite the impressive season numbers. Bauers is a sneaky-good value candidate to jump on those struggles.
Victor Reyes - Detroit (at Kansas City)
I have no problem picking on the aforementioned mediocrity of Kansas City RHP Keller tonight. Victor Reyes is another cheap lift from Detroit, tallying seven hits over his last five games as the Tigers’ leadoff man. The switch-hitting 24-year-old went 3-4 yesterday, and he’s an intriguing GPP Pivot who won’t break the bank.