Welcome to the MLB GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
With that, let’s dive into tonight’s main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
Skaggs had a decent start to the season, but his ERA has ballooned to 5.01 after surrendering 14 earned runs through 15.1 innings over his last three appearances. He’ll likely be avoided in DFS for that reason. However, a home date with the Rangers makes for an intriguing bounce-back opportunity. Texas is a quality hitting team, but majority of their best bats will be locked into a lefty-lefty matchup against Skaggs. There’s some strikeout upside as well, given that the Rangers carry the seventh highest K-rate at 24.9%.
Muncy could be overlooked while participating in a relatively low over/under in pitcher-friendly PNC Park. However, Pirates’ RHP Joe Musgrove is regressing in dramatic fashion while allowing 16 earned runs through 19 innings over his past four starts. Those struggles could continue against a relentless Dodgers’ offense. On the other hand, Muncy appears to be figuring things out eight hits and two homers over his past six outings.
Jonathan Villar – Baltimore (at Colorado)
Villar’s teammate, Hanser Alberto, is also listed as a second baseman while swinging a hotter bat with 10 hits, three doubles, and two stolen bases over his past four starts. That could cause the DFS masses to swarm that way, but don’t forget about Villar despite a less impressive recent game log. He’ll be looking at the same favorable matchup against Colorado LHP Kyle Freeland in hitter-friendly Coors Field. Freeland has gotten absolutely shelled at home this season, and the Baltimore bats could take full advantage.
Rafael Devers – Boston (at Houston)
Devers is on fire with eight hits, three homers, seven RBI, six runs, and one stolen base over his past four games. Having said that, his salary has spiked into the range of Nolan Arenado and Alex Bregman. Most DFS enthusiasts will likely encounter sticker shock with Devers, potentially avoiding him against a quality pitcher in Houston’s Brad Peacock. However, Peacock has a .358 wOBA split to left-handed bats, and Minute Maid Park is friendly to lefty power. I know Devers is substantially more expensive than we are used to, but don’t forget about his proven upside in tournaments.
Corey Seager – LA Dodgers (at Pittsburgh)
It’s not often that you’ll be able to build a Dodgers’ stack at a low ownership rate, especially on a six-game slate. However, that opportunity may present itself tonight, and I’m very interested in LAD hitters for tournaments. That includes Seager, who is looking to cash in on Pittsburgh RHP Musgrove’s aforementioned struggles. Even though he’s playing in a pitcher-friendly environment at PNC Park, Seager has a comfortable contact/power profile that has me excited for this matchup.
Nick Markakis – Atlanta (at St. Louis)
The Braves check in with a sneaky stack against St. Louis RHP Dakota Hudson. I’m interested in the Atlanta lefties, as Hudson carries a vulnerable .427 wOBA split to players of opposite handedness. Markakis is sometimes ignored by the DFS public due to a lack of homerun upside, but he’s a legitimate contender for multiple hits, runs, and RBIs in this promising draw.
Jackie Bradley Jr. – Boston (at Houston)
You can look towards Bradley Jr through all formats tonight, as he’s a cheap option to provide salary relief in cash games and tournaments alike. He has been heating up alongside teammate Rafael Devers, collecting seven hits, two doubles, and three homers over his past five starts. As mentioned earlier, Houston RHP Peacock has had problems against left-handed pitching, and Minute Maid Park accentuates lefty power.