Welcome to the MLB GPP Pivots article, where we’ll be looking to uncover some sneaky-good DFS plays away from the popular lifts. These recommendations are usually risk/reward commodities meant to be used in large-field tournaments. Typically, blending these low-owned hidden gems with well-aligned staples contributes to a viable GPP strategy.
Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our MLB News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop while giving you the subsequent DFS consequences of each information piece.
We will be looking at the 15-game main slate beginning at 7:05 ET.
Jon Gray - Colorado (vs. Miami)
There’s always risk when selecting a pitcher taking the bump in Coors Field. That especially holds true when considering the shaky profile of Colorado RHP Jon Gray. The Rockies’ hurler still carries some fair upside in his back pocket, displayed with a gem against the Dodgers (8 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 6 K’s) on July 29. Gray has been up-and-down aside from that, but facing a Miami offense that ranks last in wRC+ (77) with the seventh-highest strikeout rate (24.3%) could have us seeing his good side. Either way, the matchup potential helps offset the discouraging park factor.
CATCHER / FIRST BASE
Eric Hosmer - San Diego (at Philadelphia)
Hosmer will probably get lost in the shuffle at a loaded first base position. Go ahead and keep him on your tournament shortlist, as he’ll see a significant boost in Citizens Bank Park tonight. The matchup is encouraging as well, facing Philadelphia RHP Vince Velasquez and his .364 wOBA split to left-handed bats over the past two seasons. Due to this, Hosmer checks in as an underrated (and cheaper) alternative to the high-end sluggers at first base.
Rougned Odor - Texas (vs. Minnesota)
Minnesota RHP Jake Odorizzi was amazing to begin the season, but the Twins’ pitcher has regressed through the second-half. He bounced-back with some solid box scores over his past three appearances, but Odorizzi remains shaky while allowing plenty of baserunners through that span. In other words, one timely hit would’ve flipped the script in each of those outings. He may not be so lucky this time around, stepping into a matchup in the heat of hitter-friendly Globe Life Park. Odorizzi carries a vulnerable .342 wOBA split to left-handed bats, and Rougned Odor is a boom-or-bust candidate who could take advantage.
Frazier’s bat has come to life over the Mets’ impressive run over the last few weeks. We all know the veteran slugger profiles much better against left-handed pitching throughout his career, and he’ll get a chance to prove that against subpar Kansas City LHP Mike Montgomery. The Royals’ southpaw looked sharp in his last start, but that came against Detroit, who represents one of the worst offenses in baseball. I’m thinking the Mets will be able to feast on Montgomery’s high-contact tendencies, and Frazier is a strong candidate to make some noise within that.
Amed Rosario - NY Mets (at Kansas City)
Rosario feeds off the analysis provided in the write-up of his teammate, Frazier, listed above. The Mets’ shortstop carries a bargain-basement salary despite stepping up with nine hits (!), two doubles, one triple, and five runs over his past two games. As mentioned earlier, I’m expecting Montgomery to regress back into the high-contact pitcher worth stacking against. Rosario has a good chance of recording another multi-hit outing as a result.
Nomar Mazara - Texas (vs. Minnesota)
Mazara finds himself in a sneaky-good matchup, facing the aforementioned .342 wOBA split of Minnesota RHP Odorizzi. The Twins’ bullpen has had some problems as well, so I’m not ruling out late-inning production from Mazara, Odor, and the other Rangers here. The ball should be flying around the yard in Texas tonight, and Mazara is an excellent DFS candidate to consider within that.
Anthony Santander - Baltimore (at Boston)
Santander is no stranger to this column, as he has been one of the mainstays here over the last month or so. The Baltimore switch-hitter has racked up eight hits with two homers over his last six starts, and he’s in a strong position to keep the momentum tonight. Boston RHP Rick Porcello has been generous this season, carrying a .340 wOBA split to left-handed bats. The hitter-friendly environment of Fenway Park makes matters even better. As a result, Santander and teammate Jonathan Villar are firmly in the tournament conversation for me.