MLB DFS Stacks: Wednesday 7/21

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Welcome to the MLB DFS Stacks article - where we’ll be looking to highlight the best hitting stacks of the day. These recommendations are categorized as “Cash Game Stacks” and “Tournament Stacks” while outlining risk/reward situations. We will add additional context with other hitting/pitching options throughout the article.

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

CASH GAME STACKS

Astros (vs Indians – RHP Eli Morgan)

Morgan is an extreme fly ball pitcher who seems to have a terminal case of homeritis (3.08 HR/9). The Astros have plenty of hitters who thrive on low-angle contact. They do best against pitchers like Morgan. Minute Maid Park will aid them in their quest for dingers too. The best matchup plays include Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, Michael Brantley, Yuli Gurriel, and Carlos Correa. Abraham Toro, Myles Straw, and Martin Maldonado also match favorably, albeit with weaker projections than their top-of-the-lineup rivals. Kyle Tucker has more loft to his swing which could get him in trouble for the frontline matchup. Since Morgan should be chased early, Tucker remains a viable play.

Blue Jays (vs Red Sox – RHP Garrett Richards)

The Toronto offense is second only to the Astros at churning through the lineup. More hits and walks mean more opportunities for everybody to bop. Richards is negatively affected by the new grip enhancement rules. He rates as a below average starter, albeit one who could occasionally best even a top offense like the Blue Jays. The core four are Marcus Semien, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., George Springer, and Teoscar Hernandez. Bo Bichette is worth using too, although he is overpriced. More affordable choices like Randal Grichuk and Lourdes Gurriel attach well to any Jays stack. Biggio doesn’t quite match up well against Richards though he has hit well since returning from a neck injury.

Top Plays: Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, Carlos Correa, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Marcus Semien, Teoscar Hernandez

Top Value: Michael Brantley, Kyle Tucker, Abraham Toro, Randal Grichuk, Lourdes Gurriel

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TOURNAMENT STACKS

Phillies (at Yankees – RHP Asher Wojciechowski)

This is my personal favorite stack of the day, but it has enough of a boom/bust feel to list it as a tournament play. As noted in today’s Top Plays, the Yankees are attempting to squeeze a start out of a short-burst, homer-prone pitcher despite a fatigued bullpen. Philadelphia has a chance to run away with this one. Low-angle hitters like Bryce Harper, Andrew McCutchen, J.T. Realmuto, and Jean Segura match best against Wojciechowski. Since they may only face him once, there’s no need to eschew fly ball guys like Rhys Hoskins, Didi Gregorius, and Brad Miller.

Yankees (vs Phillies – LHP Cristopher Sanchez)

Across the aisle at Yankee Stadium, the hometown heroes might not have as tidy a narrative, but they’re no less likely to quickly crack into the bullpen. While the Yankees relief corps is exploitable due to fatigue, the Phillies bullpen is plain-vanilla exploitable. Sanchez has a hefty ground ball rate, making Gary Sanchez the best fit against him. Giancarlo Stanton and DJ LeMahieu might need to wait until later before they can lift a ball. Gleyber Torres will eventually catch fire – perhaps tonight is the night. Chris Gittens is an interesting bargain option as is hot-hand Greg Allen.

Rangers (at Tigers – RHP Matt Manning)

Manning has been overmatched in five Major League starts. He’s posted a 6.95 ERA with a mere 3.68 K/9 (5.5% SwStr%). Honestly, he was overmatched in Triple-A too (8.07 ERA albeit with 10.02 K/9 and 2.78 BB/9). The Rangers lack for dynamic choices after Joey Gallo and Adolis Garcia. The likes of Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Nate Lowe, and Eli White look to be solid value plays.