MLB DFS Stacks: Wednesday 6/30

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Welcome to the MLB DFS Stacks article - where we’ll be looking to highlight the best hitting stacks of the day. These recommendations are categorized as “Cash Game Stacks” and “Tournament Stacks” while outlining risk/reward situations. We will add additional context with other hitting/pitching options throughout the article.

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

CASH GAME STACKS

Padres (at Reds – RHP Vladimir Gutierrez)

Despite modest success to date, Gutierrez profiles as an exploitable pitcher. Great American Ballpark only increases the potential for a meltdown. The Padres lineup is firing on all cylinders with a core of red-hot Tommy Pham, Fernando Tatis Jr., Jake Cronenworth, Manny Machado, and Trent Grisham. You could use all five of them or dig a little deeper for the likes of Wil Myers, Jurickson Profar, and Victor Caratini. Check weather reports closer to lock – storms threaten to get in the way. The hometown Reds have a gassed bullpen so they might be keen to postpone. The Padres remain in town tomorrow further increasing postponement risk.

Astros (vs Orioles – RHP Matt Harvey)

Harvey is prone to every brand of lousy outcome. Houston should issue him a healthy trouncing. The Orioles have been known to let him flail about helplessly when they need to buy some breathing room for their oft-used bullpen. Of their nine relievers, only Hunter Harvey can be said to be well-rested. Jose Altuve, Yuli Gurriel, Yordan Alvarez, Carlos Correa, and Kyle Tucker are the core of the stack. Michael Brantley has a valuable role too even if his power outcomes are a tad rare. Abraham Toro, Myles Straw, and Martin Maldonado are all viable bargains.

Top Plays: Fernando Tatis Jr., Tommy Pham, Manny Machado, Jake Cronenworth, Trent Grisham, Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, Carlos Correa

Top Value: Wil Myers, Victor Caratini, Jurickson Profar, Abraham Toro, Myles Straw, Martin Maldonado, Kyle Tucker

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TOURNAMENT STACKS

Red Sox (vs Royals – LHP Mike Minor)

Minor is a fly ball pitcher with a home run problem. The Boston lineup consists mostly of hitters who make hard, low-angle contact. Leadoff hitter Enrique Hernandez, J.D. Martinez, Xander Bogaerts, and Rafael Devers for the core stack. I’m eager to use Hunter Renfroe who is red hot and bargain priced. Alex Verdugo has fairly substantial-looking platoon splits (the data are insufficient to say for sure). I’d also skip the bottom of the lineup unless you’re trying for a leveraged play.

As with Cincy, watch out for rain. I think this one has less risk of a postponement. A delay is likelier.

Phillies (vs Marlins – RHP Jordan Holloway)

Citizen’s Bank Park is helpful for home run power. The Phillies run a bizarro lineup anchored in the middle by J.T. Realmuto, Bryce Harper, and Andrew McCutchen. Odubel Herrera and Jean Segura top the lineup – they’re good values even though they lack for power. The likes of Alec Bohm, Brad Miller, and Nick Maton round out the bottom of the order. Bohm might match up well against Holloway. The Marlins starter appears to be a fly ball pitcher this season after spending the bulk of his development as a ground ball guy. Holloway is unlikely to throw more than three or four innings.

Angels (at Yankees – RHP Domingo German)

German is an over-hyped mid-rotation pitcher with a modest home run problem. Yankees Stadium can be difficult to overcome. The best Angels hitter, Shohei Ohtani, is unavailable as a batter because he’s pitching. This gives the core stack of Anthony Rendon, Jared Walsh, and Max Stassi a heavily-contrarian feel. You can complement them with cheap plays like David Fletcher, Taylor Ward, Jose Iglesias, or Luis Rengifo.