MLB DFS Stacks: Wednesday 5/19

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Welcome to the MLB DFS Stacks article - where we’ll be looking to highlight the best hitting stacks of the day. These recommendations are categorized as “Cash Game Stacks” and “Tournament Stacks” while outlining risk/reward situations. We will add additional context with other hitting/pitching options throughout the article.

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

CASH GAME STACKS

Nationals (at Chicago – RHP Jake Arrieta)

The Nationals are far and away the best stacking opportunity tonight, offering upside, floor, and value in a rare combination. For that reason, they’re likely to be very popular. Consider throwing in lesser-used components like Josh Bell, Yan Gomes, or Victor Robles for leverage in GPPs. Arrieta is one of the worst pitchers in the slate, doesn’t induce strikeouts (6.99 K/9), and has a serious home run problem (1.69 HR/9). The Wrigley winds are blowing out to center-left at 13-mph.

Red Sox (at Toronto – RHP Ross Stripling)

Toronto’s TD Ballpark (actually located in Dunedin, FL) is one of the friendliest venues in the league for home runs. Stripling struggles with long balls, having allowed over 2.00 HR/9 since the start of 2020. The right-hander has turned into a fly ball pitcher in recent seasons. J.D. Martinez, Xander Bogaerts, and Rafael Devers form an expensive core, but you shouldn’t overlook value-priced options like Enrique Hernandez, Alex Verdugo, and the bottom of the lineup.

The Blue Jays offense technically projects to outperform the Red Sox (vs Garrett Richards), but they’re considerably pricier. The Red Sox crew will leave you room for great pitchers.

Top Plays: Trea Turner, Juan Soto, J.D. Martinez, Xander Bogaerts, Rafael Devers

Top Value: Josh Harrison, Josh Bell, Starlin Castro, Kyle Schwarber, Yan Gomes, Enrique Hernandez, Alex Verdugo

TOURNAMENT STACKS

Blue Jays (vs Boston – RHP Garrett Richards)

Richards is an unusual pitcher – he’s a Statcast darling in some ways but plays way down due to poor execution. He’s volatile on a game-to-game basis which can easily be seen in his DFS point totals. On DraftKings (8 GS), he has two negative point totals, one 33.6-point outing, and a couple 20-point performances. The rest were middling starts. The Blue Jays have a few hitters with nitro matchups, especially Marcus Semien, Teoscar Hernandez, and Randal Grichuk. The likes of Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. project to perform well, but they’re a little too geared for ground ball contact for me to fully endorse this particular matchup – especially given their contest-leading price tags.

Dodger (vs Arizona – RHP Merrill Kelly)

Between the Wrigley Field and TD Ballpark games, the Dodgers stack might go undersubscribed in a premium matchup. Kelly is effectively a replacement level pitcher. He doesn’t induce whiffs or limit hard contact, and he’s moderately homer prone to boot. The Arizona bullpen is one of the worst in the league. Los Angeles could run away with this one. Keep an eye out for unexpected starters with big upside – think D.J. Peters, Matt Beaty, and Luke Raley. The core of Mookie Betts, Chris Taylor, Justin Turner, and Max Muncy are of high value. Even Gavin Lux and Austin Barnes deserve consideration.

Brewers (vs Kansas City – RHP Brad Keller)

Milwaukee is the team to target if you want to use top pitchers like Corbin Burnes with a few one of sluggers like Ronald Acuna and J.D. Martinez. Keller is a pitch-to-contact sinker-slider specialist who has struggled with command this season. His two-pitch repertoire is predictable. On his best days, ground balls find their way to the fielders, leaving the opponent shaking their heads at missed opportunities. He’s also prone to meltdowns. One issue with this stack is it’s highly based on ground ball hitters. Their path to success is through a hit parade rather than a more conventional power display. To really pop, they need to get to the bullpen early. All of their bats are underpriced relative to expected production.

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