This article will outline the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We’ll take a comprehensive look across the DFS industry to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
We will be looking at the 10-game main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
Odorizzi checks in as a strong -300 moneyline favorite in a home date with a White Sox offense that ranks 20th in wRC+ this season. The last time “Odo” faced this divisional foe (Aug. 28), he posted eight strikeouts with two earned runs through six innings. I’m expecting a similar result tonight for a Minnesota team looking to clinch the AL Central. Odorizzi should help that mission with a quality start and victory this evening.
CATCHER / FIRST BASE
Carlos Santana - Cleveland (vs. Detroit)
Santana is my favorite overall first baseman in the evening slate, as he’ll step in against Detroit RHP Spencer Turnbull (.357 wOBA vs. LHB) and a generous Tigers’ bullpen. Santana went 1-4 with a double and three runs against Detroit yesterday, and he should continue to jump on the favorable matchups.
Luis Arraez - Minnesota (vs. Chicago White Sox)
Minnesota checks in with the highest run-scoring projection of Wednesday’s main slate, and I’m definitely interested in stacking Twins’ hitters through all DFS formats. White Sox RHP Ivan Nova looked sharp through the majority of July and August; however, regression has taken hold after allowing 18 earned runs and 35 hits over his last four starts (17.1 IP). Arraez has multi-hit upside against Nova’s .350 wOBA split to left-handed bats.
Let’s face it: Jon Lester isn’t the same dominant pitcher he used to be. In fact, the veteran southpaw has allowed 18 hits and 12 earned runs across 10.2 innings over his last two starts. Those problems could persist against Cincinnati tonight, and Suarez is one of the best candidates to take advantage. The Reds’ third baseman carries solid numbers against Lester throughout his career, and Suarez is establishing himself as one of the best hitters in the league with 47 homers, 101 RBIs, and a .271 average.
Jorge Polanco - Minnesota (vs. Chicago White Sox)
I’m going to build a Minnesota stack of left-handed (or switch) hitters to jump on Nova’s aforementioned .350 wOBA split to that side. Polanco is a moderately-priced lift within that despite smacking two doubles, one homer, five runs, and four RBIs over his past five games.
Eddie Rosario - Minnesota (vs. Chicago White Sox)
Rosario is one of my favorite overall hitters in this slate, as his salary isn’t too cumbersome when considering the excellent matchup potential against White Sox RHP Nova. The Minnesota left fielder tends to produce in waves, and he’s seeing the ball well after collecting seven hits, three homers, and six runs over his past four starts.
Kyle Schwarber - Chicago Cubs (vs. Cincinnati)
Cincinnati RHP Tyler Mahle has allowed four or more earned runs in four of his last five starts, and that could easily continue at Chicago tonight. Mahle’s .394 wOBA split to left-handed bats stands out as the most obvious blemish in his portfolio, and Schwarber stands to take advantage with capable power upside.