MLB DFS Plays: Wednesday 10/27

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This article outlines the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

PITCHER

Top Play: Max FriedBraves (at Astros)
Pivot: Jose Urquidy – Astros (vs Braves)

Fried and Urquidy project comparably. Both are expected to work about four innings with a little under a strikeout per inning. Urquidy has slightly better swing-and-miss stuff while Fried is capable of chewing up innings with more of a pitch-to-contact approach. Once again, I expected relatively balanced rostership, negating the whole top-play or pivot dichotomy. Urquidy has scarcely worked this postseason which could limit his pitch count. Fried, meanwhile, has tossed six frames in two of three postseason starts. His least successful outing lasted 90 pitches too.

If you used Jake Odorizzi yesterday, you probably greatly profited (so long as you didn’t also use Framber Valdez). Unfortunately, there isn’t an equally talented option for today. Kendall Graveman seems very likely to pitch. The Astros also have an incentive to use Ryan Pressly in any remotely close game.

Also Consider: Kendall Graveman, Ryan Pressly

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INFIELDERS

Top Play: Alex Bregman – Astros (vs Fried)

Bregman’s pristine plate discipline should serve him well against a sinkerballer who nibbles the lower quadrants. Fried is at his best when opponents expand the zone. The Astros typically don’t make this mistake, and Bregman especially doesn’t. The Houston third baseman has more than enough lift in his swing to scoop a Fried offering into the air. While his power is middling, he famously enjoys the power assist provided by the Crawford Boxes.

Pivot: Martin Maldonado – Astros (vs Fried)

Maldonado will (rightly) be the least used fielder in the slate. In terms of matchups, this is about as good as it gets for him. He has an extreme launch angle with a high quantity of pulled contact. If lucky, he’ll sneak one into the Boxes. He also makes firmer contact against left-handed pitchers, although he’s still a below average hitter with the platoon advantage. This is all about making a low probability, leveraged play in a slate where contrariness could actually reap rewards (like Odorizzi yesterday).

Also Consider: Freddie Freeman, Jose Altuve, Austin Riley, Carlos Correa, Ozzie Albies, Yuli Gurriel, Dansby Swanson, Travis d’Arnaud

OUTFIELD

Top Play: Yordan Alvarez – Astros (vs Fried)
Kyle Tucker – Astros (vs Fried)
Jorge Soler – Braves (at Urquidy)

As I noted yesterday, the Astros duo is going to shake out to be a standard recommendation for much of this series. Even facing a southpaw, they’re among the leaders in multi-hit, power, and run production potential. Today, they project to be less than 10 percent better than Soler and Adam Duvall, both of whom are all-or-nothing plays with much more attractive price tags. The Braves duo are the only two hitters with a better than one-in-four shot to homer.

Pivot: Chas McCormick – Astros (vs Fried)

Whether it’s McCormick or Jose Siri, the Houston center fielder will be the top dollar-for-dollar value in the slate. Since there are relatively few players with a near-minimum price, this won’t truly be a pivot unless you pick him as your captain. Yesterday, roughly 46 percent of rosters included McCormick. Only around two percent tabbed him as their captain.

Also Consider: Adam Duvall, Michael Brantley, Eddie Rosario, Joc Pederson, Jose Siri