This article outlines the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
The nine-game main slate kicks off at 1:05pm ET.
Blue Jays at Andrew Triggs – Triggs missed all of 2019 with Thoracic Outlet Syndrome, an extremely difficult injury to overcome. The early results in 2020 are not promising – he’s been hammered in 3.1 innings while struggling to induce whiffs or avoid free passes. He’s not stretched out to start so the Red Sox will be using their terrible bullpen for six or seven innings.
Yankees at Asher Wojciechowski – Wojciechowski is one of the most homer prone pitchers in the league. He’s coughed up 2.30 HR/9 after allowing 1.86 HR/9 last year. Sign up for a couple Yankee homers. Unless the Orioles manage to keep the game close, their bullpen is every bit as soft as the Red Sox.
White Sox at Matt Harvey – Harvey is a glorified Opener. He pitched last Tuesday and Thursday, albeit neither appearance lasted long. The White Sox will probably chase him before the end of the second inning. Unlike the other two stacks, reaching the Royals solid bullpen isn’t as much of a bonus.
Tyler Glasnow – Rays (vs Marlin) – Yahoo: $48, DK: $8700, FD: $10100
Glasnow will be some kind of chalk in a strangely-shaped pitching slate. We have several ultra-elite pitchers to choose from of which Glasnow is the most reasonably priced (hence why he’ll be chalky). He’s set to face a below average offense with the fifth-highest strikeout rate. Although Glasnow struggled with command earlier in the season, he appears to have put the worst of that behind him. He’s coming off two absolute masterpieces. The only downside is he seems to be capped around 90 pitches. The other aces on the docket are allowed to eclipse 100 pitches with regularity.
Since you’ll probably be avoiding the cheap arms, we’ll make sure to focus on some affordable bats below.
It can be a challenge to anticipate which catchers will actually start on any given Sunday. Gomes is almost certain to get the call for the Nationals – Kurt Suzuki started last night. Gomes also happens to be one of the top projected backstops – our Rotoworld Player Projections say he’s fourth-best at the position. Gomes has cut his swinging strike and strikeout rates this season in 68 plate appearances. His peripherals don’t suggest it’s a sustainable improvement. Tomlin and the Braves bullpen are a neutral matchup. The Nationals have taken to batting their catchers fifth in the lineup.
There will be plenty of near-minimum cost alternatives to consider closer to contest lock.
Tellez isn’t the top first baseman in the slate, but he is the best combination of dollar-for-dollar value and ceiling. He’s in the midst of a banner season, batting .283/.354/.535 with seven home runs in 113 plate appearances. The poor quality of his opponents likely has something to do with this breakout, but it’s not as if he’ll see more than one Major League-quality pitcher today. Since Vladito is also first base only, Tellez works as a pivot too.
Madrigal offers a way to save money while employing a wraparound White Sox stack. The ninth hitter is perhaps the likeliest non-elite hitter to deliver a multi-hit game. You’re looking for a high average rather than any power outcomes – as evidenced by his current 372/.386/.372 batting line (no extra base hits) in 44 plate appearances. He’s a spray hitter with a 60 percent ground ball rate.
Ke’Bryan Hayes – Pirates (vs Tejay Antone) – Yahoo: $15, DK: $2100, FD: $2600
There are several ways to save some money at third base today without giving away too much upside. Hayes is one such option – our Rotoworld Lineup Optimizer uses him in 29 of the top 50 lineups. Antone is a difficult matchup – the early results suggest he’s a high-octane pitching prospect. The bright side is he’s unlikely to throw more than four or five innings. The Reds bullpen has been hit or miss – they have the second-highest strikeout rate and the sixth-highest ERA. Hayes is a well-rounded hitter who isn’t especially strikeout prone. Even against a suboptimal opponent at PNC Park, Hayes should cost at least 25 percent more.
The pricing sheets are pushing a Jays stack. Villar is one of the top-projected shortstops due to this juicy matchup, and he’s priced as a mid-tier guy. The aggressive switch-hitter isn’t getting to his power this year – just two home runs in 150 plate appearances. Still, we shouldn’t rule out a big fly. He’s not dependent on a home run to provide value today. Batting in his usual fifth spot with a timely hit or two will be more than enough.
Oh look, another Blue Jay. Along with Tellez, Grichuk is one of the best discounted power plays in this slate. He has around a one-in-three chance to homer. With a reputation for power binges, it’s tempting to look at his nine-game homerless drought as a sign that he’s dormant. To my eye, the extreme pull hitter is still locked in. He’s hit a couple doubles in his last 13 plate appearances. By lowering his launch angle slightly, he’s managed to improve his contact rate without giving away any power outcomes.
Robert is almost an exact replica of early-career Javier Baez. With extreme swing rates and the athleticism to still make contact against difficult-to-hit pitches, it’s challenging to offer helpful advice besides “he’s going to have huge games and also zero out a lot.” Given this matchup, Robert seemingly has an elevated chance to go wild today. While he’s prone to go fishing for offspeed stuff out of the zone, Harvey doesn’t really have any weapons with which to attack him.