This article outlines the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
The three platforms have infuriatingly designed slates. DraftKings leaves out everything after the Dodgers-Rangers game. FanDuel randomly skips the Mets-Yankees contest along with the Sunday night game in Philly. Yahoo! covers everything except that Mets-Yankees meetup.
Padres at Rockies – DraftKings excludes this, but it’s available on the other sites. Padres starter Chris Paddack is in a deep funk. If you dig deep enough, it appears the axis of his pitch spin might be to blame. Or maybe hitters have just wised up to his two-pitch approach. It can’t help a guy with a shallow repertoire to face the same few teams over-and-over-and-over again. Ryan Castellani has performed ably while allowing one of the highest rates of hard contact. Something has to give.
Nationals at Red Sox – This one is in all three slates. The Nationals are sending Austin Voth against Zack Godley in a battle of terrible pitchers with elevated home run rates. While I tend to believe Vegas lines are over-referenced for DFS purposes - they’re a good shortcut for those who can’t scout – this game is correctly pegged at over/under 11.5 runs. Only the Coors Field contest has a higher O/U. In fact, as of this writing, no other game has an O/U above 10 runs.
Brewers vs Steven Brault – Brault has walked more than he’s struck out in 15 innings. Even more incredible, those innings are spread across six appearances (five starts), and he’s yet to allow a home run. Expect another short, disastrous start from the southpaw followed by an interminable bullpen experience.
Kenta Maeda – Twins (at Tigers) – Yahoo: $46, DK: $9600, FD: 9700
Sometimes the chalky play is the correct play. Maeda is an early candidate for the AL Cy Young award. He’s recorded 9.82 K/9 against 1.72 BB/9 and a 2.21 ERA. The Tigers are the most strikeout prone offense in the league. The one downside to Maeda is he usually exits between five and six innings. Some of the alternatives have a higher ceiling at a cheaper cost.
Gomes is having a good season at the plate. He has a little more pop and batting average upside than the typical bargain backstop. More importantly, he’s set to face Godley and the Cthulhu-ian terror known as the Red Sox bullpen.
The Red Sox best hitter (by performance, not projection) has yet another favorable matchup against a homer prone pitcher. Voth’s stuff has backed up considerably since his breakout 2019 campaign. Through five starts, he has a luck neutral 6.65 ERA to go with 2.08 HR/9. The Nationals bullpen isn’t as execrable as the Sox, but they’re still below average. Their only left-handed reliever is struggling veteran Sean Doolittle. He recently returned from injury and has yet to appear. Moreland projects for over a one-in-five chance to homer.
Cronenworth’s first two games at Coors Field have been a disappointment. He’s combined to go 1-for-9 with two runs and three RBI. Perhaps those who invested in him over the last few days will have soured to this modest power pick. He’s tailor made for Coors Field with just enough pop to escape the venue and a contact-heavy approach designed to maximize his batting average. Nobody is likelier to deliver multiple hits.
It’s easy to forget Suarez had surgery to repair his shoulder earlier this year. It’s an injury which can affect a hitter for over a year. He certainly entered the season with a thick sheaf of rust. He’s still batting .179/.298/.393 despite a more robust .255/.327/.596 line over his last 52 plate appearances. Suarez has popped five home runs in the last 10 days. A fly ball hitter, he matches up well against a ground ball pitcher and an exploitable bullpen. Great American Ballpark adds to the potential for a home run.
Suarez is the second best third baseman per our Rotoworld Player Projections.
Turner is perhaps the best play outside of Coors Field today. Of sea level players, only Mike Trout and Juan Soto project to outperform Turner, and they’re priced accordingly. There’s nothing specific about this matchup to latch onto – it’s a multifaceted hitter against terrible pitching. Even if he doesn’t homer, Turner can fill up a boxscore.
This is a better play on Yahoo! and FanDuel where the Coors Field game should keep Soto and the Nationals at a tame rostership. He is the top outfielder available for all the reasons you’d expect – he’s among the likeliest to record multiple hits, deliver a home run, and/or produce four or more runs (R+RBI). The Washington lineup should prove a useful stacking resource with their blend of expensive studs and more affordable connecting pieces.
Hilliard was one of my favorite pivot targets at Coors Field yesterday. Alas, the Rockies did not oblige us by starting him. He should get the call against Paddack today. One of the reasons I liked Hilliard yesterday is his performance at Coors Field. He's struck out in 42.9 percent of plate appearances on the road. At home, it’s just a 19.2 percent strikeout rate (small sample warning). There are enough big name outfielders in this slate for Hilliard to slip through the cracks despite the saucy venue.