MLB DFS Plays: Saturday 6/26

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This article outlines the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

Our main slate kicks off at 2:10pm and includes 10 games. Rain threatens Chicago, Minnesota, and St. Louis, but the risk isn’t high enough to cross them off just yet.

PITCHER

Top Play: Jacob deGrom – Mets (vs Phillies)

deGrom breaks DFS pricing models. He should cost 25 percent more than he does. Even with all the injuries he’s suffered this season, he consistently returns value. That includes the time he only faced nine batters on 6/16. Matchups are irrelevant when you can spot 100-mph heaters with multiple double-plus offspeed offerings. He’ll be extremely chalky. Unless he suffers another early injury, he’s also a better than 50/50 bet to lead all pitchers… and by a large margin too.

Pivot: Patrick Corbin – Nationals (at Marlins)

It’s tough to justify using Corbin this season. The slider specialist just can’t seem to rediscover the formula he used so effectively from 2017 through 2019. His fastballs are torchable (.286 AVG, .468 SLG on his four-seamer and .341 AVG, .612 SLG on his sinker) which means he can’t turn to his sliders as often as he’d like. He’s coming off two strong outings and will face one of the most exploitable offenses in the league.

Also Consider: Lance Lynn, Adam Wainwright, Zach Eflin, Hyun-Jin Ryu, Kenta Maeda, Ian Anderson, Adrian Houser

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CATCHER

Top Play: Salvador Perez – Royals (at Kyle Gibson)

Honestly, I’m not keen to use an expensive starting pitcher this afternoon. Perez is the top-rated and top-priced backstop with a one-in-four chance to homer. His line drive-based profile matches up decently but not exceptionally with the ground ball stylings of Gibson and most of the Rangers bullpen. Gibson has been fortunate to avoid his usual issues with home runs. I don’t expect continued success into the summer months.

Pivot: Ryan Jeffers – Twins (vs Sam Hentges)

Since his recall in early June, Jeffers is batting .237/.286/.559 with five home runs in 63 plate appearances. While it would be nice if he got his strikeout rate under control – something I think he’ll accomplish long-term – the power output is sufficient to use him against Henges. The Indians southpaw appears to be a prototypical swingman at this stage of his career. He projects to allow over a 5.00 ERA with about 1.50 HR/9.

Jeffers isn’t a lock to start. If he doesn’t play, Ben Rortvedt is an equally sharp pivot.

Also Consider: Yasmani Grandal, Yermin Mercedes, Tyler Stephenson, Omar Narvaez, Jacob Stallings, Jorge Alfaro, Max Stassi

FIRST BASE

Top Play: Freddie Freeman – Braves (at Luis Castillo)

Unlike yesterday, the Braves stack is a semi-contrarian play. I’d avoid them collectively. However, a one-off of Freeman makes sense. He’s not prone to strike outs and has a batting style that naturally counteracts changeups – Castillo’s most dangerous offering. He has a better than one-in-four chance to homer at tiny Great American Ballpark. While Vladimir Guerrero Jr. technically has a higher floor and ceiling, he also costs considerably more than Freeman.

Pivot: Colin Moran – Pirates (at Wainwright)

Since returning from injury, Moran is hitting an icy .211/.286/.237. He’s pounding the ball into the ground and generally failing to make hard contact. It’s a shame. Prior to his month away, he was showing signs of building on his breakout 2020 campaign which was fueled by career-best barreled and hard contact rates. Moran still bats cleanup for the Pirates which means he has a few ways to supply value on his bargain basement price tag. This isn’t a juicy play, but it is serviceable – so long as it opens up a high-leverage opportunity elsewhere on your roster.

Also Consider: Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Pete Alonso, Carlos Santana, Trey Mancini, Nate Lowe, Alex Kirilloff

SECOND BASE

Top Play: Marcus Semien – Blue Jays (vs Keegan Akin)

Semien leads all second basemen with a one-in-four chance to homer. He’s also rather expensive, making this a moderately inefficient play. I’ll still consider as both a one-off and Blue Jays stack target. Akin is a fly ball pitcher with a modest home run problem. It appears the wind is blowing out to right field at 14-mph today at Sahlen Field which could help give Semien and other Jays sluggers a little extra boost.

Pivot: Luis Urias – Brewers (vs Antonio Senzatela)

For a guy built like Juan Pierre, Urias actually has sneaky pop and lift. His 111.5-mph max exit velocity is above Major League average, as is his 9.2 percent barrel rate. A 14-degree average launch angle is ideal, although Urias spoils it with what’s called a “loose” launch angle. In short, he hits too many ground balls and infield flies which is why he’s a luck neutral .237/.335/.406 hitter rather than a thinner Bryan Reynolds clone. Urias has modest out-of-nowhere home run potential this afternoon against a bevy of mediocre Rockies pitchers. Recently, he’s batting second in the Brewers lineup which also explains why he’s moderately overpriced. It’s that price tag that makes him a pivot.

Also Consider: Ozzie Albies, Jonathan India, Brandon Lowe, Jorge Polanco, Jeff McNeil, Luis Arraez, Jazz Chisholm, Andy Ibanez

THIRD BASE

Top Play: Jose Ramirez – Indians (at Kenta Maeda)

Although it hasn’t been an issue in all of his starts, Maeda is catching too much plate with his signature slider this season. It’s resulting in an uptick in base runners and home runs – a potent double-whammy. Ramirez has a rare combination of aggression and plate discipline. If anybody can pounce on Maeda’s mistakes while spitting on well-executed pitches just out of the zone, it’s him.

Pivot: Eugenio Suarez – Reds (vs Ian Anderson)

Suarez is a favorite play of mine for multiple home runs anytime he faces a ground ball pitcher at Great American Ballpark. Anderson is a challenging opponent so this should be viewed as an all-or-nothing matchup better suited to GPPs.

Also Consider: Josh Donaldson, Luis Urias, Wander Franco, Ke’Bryan Hayes, Anthony Rendon, Austin Riley, Luis Arraez, Andy Ibanez

SHORTSTOP

Top Play: Tim Anderson – White Sox (vs Logan Gilbert)

Anderson is the second-likeliest hitter to deliver a single or better today, behind only Luis Arraez. As such, he’s also among the best plays for multiple hits. Gilbert is a neutral matchup, and it’s possible he’ll quickly give way to an exploitable Mariners bullpen. Just watch out for rain. Anderson also comes with a one-in-six chance to homer.

Pivot: Paul DeJong – Cardinals (vs JT Brubaker)

Although he’s hit poorly this season (.161/.254/.321), DeJong’s peripherals suggest better times await. His struggles can be traced to a .168 BABIP backed by a career-worst soft contact rate. However, he hasn’t lost the launch angle or top end exit velocities that made him a threat in the past. Natural lift should help him to deal damage against Brubaker, a mid-tier ground ball guy.

Also Consider: Marcus Semien, Bo Bichette, Trevor Story, Trea Turner, Francisco Lindor, Wander Franco, Willy Adames, Jorge Polanco, Dansby Swanson, Jazz Chisholm, Miguel Rojas

OUTFIELD

Top Plays: Nick Castellanos – Reds (vs Anderson)
Ronald Acuna – Braves (at Castillo)
George Springer – Blue Jays (vs Akin)

The Blue Jays stack is by far the most attractive. For the most part, it’s quite pricey too. Springer is the exception. He’s hit fifth in the three games he’s played since returning from his most recent injury. Although he’s showed a bit of rust, he also popped a home run last night.

Castellanos is the best value among the Reds outfielders, all of whom are playable. His launch angle isn’t ideal for a matchup against Anderson – there’s elevated risk of multiple ground balls. His approach should help him to at least put the ball in play, and he does still have better than a one-in-five chance to homer.

Watch the first pitch to Acuna. He’s at his most dangerous in the first at bat. It’s also the time when Castillo is most likely to throw a hittable fastball. Acuna is coming off a minor back injury that sidelined him a couple games. Fortunately, his price has come down enough to mitigate the risk.

Pivots: Tyler O’Neill – Cardinals (vs Brubaker)
Lars Nootbar – Cardinals (vs Brubaker)

This is a repeat of yesterday. The best bargains are both in St. Louis. O’Neill has star-caliber potential against Brubaker. It’s a near-ideal matchup of types with nearly a 30 percent shot at a home run. O’Neill is aggressive and strikeout prone while Brubaker typically fills up the strike zone – albeit while still producing a healthy whiff rate. Nootbar remains nearly minimum-priced despite a better than average hitting profile. As a ground ball guy, we’re looking for bargain singles and RBI rather than power outcomes.

Also Consider: Jesse Winker, Tyler Naquin, Juan Soto, Teoscar Hernandez, Randal Grichuk, Joey Gallo, Starling Marte, Bryan Reynolds, Harold Ramirez, Adam Duvall