This article outlines the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
Padres at Rockies – This is a Coors Field game featuring Zach Davies and Kyle Freeland. Both are command and control pitchers who rely on a changeup. Freeland’s high ground ball rate and experience in Colorado give him a better chance of surviving the outing. Davies' batted ball outcomes suggest he could run into trouble.
Phillies vs Robbie Erlin – After ditching his sinker, Erlin has turned into an extreme fly ball pitcher. It’s probably a clever adaptation for the southpaw. He now profiles comparably to Tommy Milone – a pitcher who’s hung around the league for a decade. Citizen’s Bank Park is not a friendly venue to visit as a fly ball guy. With the exceptions of Rhys Hoskins and Didi Gregorius, the Phillies lineup matches up extremely well for home runs.
Royals at Reynaldo Lopez – The White Sox enigmatic starter is missing some fastball velocity and has thrown only four innings all season. He’s probably limited to around 70 pitches. Lopez tends to produce wildly disparate results ranging from gems to meltdowns. For tonight, I expect a short outing, low strikeout rate, and at least one home run.
In 21 career starts, Gallen has yet to allow more than three runs. This year, he’s set the bar at two runs through six starts. He wields a four-pitch repertoire of above average pitches to stymie opponents. Between his consistency, lofty ceiling, reasonable price, and a favorable matchup, Gallen will almost certainly emerge as the chalkiest pitcher. The Giants offense has accomplished more than expected, but most of the damage has been to left-handed pitchers.
Typically, it’s challenging to find this much cash for a catcher. However, if you want to use an attractive Phillies stack tonight, Realmuto should definitely be a part of it. His power comes on pitches elevated in the zone – an approach which matches up brilliantly with Erlin. No catcher is more likely to homer tonight.
Rizzo costs a mountain on DraftKings but he’s exceptionally affordable on the other platforms. While his opponent, Mahle, is one of the more competent mid-tier pitchers in the slate, he has issues with home runs – especially at power-friendly Great American Ballpark. Rizzo has a one-in-four chance to deliver a big fly. Nor is he an all-or-nothing power play. He frequently fills the boxscore in other ways too.
Rizzo is affordable because he’s ice cold although I see no signs of an actual issue. If you prefer a hotter hitter, try Freddie Freeman instead.
Although no longer ridiculously inexpensive, Cronenworth is still oddly affordable for a visit to Colorado. While we tend to think of Coors Field as a place for power, it also boosts all other types of hits. With a high-contact, high-BABIP approach, no player is likelier for multiple hits tonight than Cronenworth. DFSers might shy away from his lefty-on-lefty matchup. Actual MLB managers have been known to stack their lineup with left-handed hitters against Freeland to nullify his effective changeup.
Cronenworth is favorite of our Rotoworld Player Projections.
This is a day packed with big name, expensive third basemen. I expect Coors Field and other hitter friendly venues to draw attention away from Rendon. The Angels cleanup hitter is a multi-hit and run production machine. Margevicius has been shockingly adequate this year, but we shouldn’t expect more than adequacy from the young southpaw. Among other issues, he remains homer prone.
We’re juggling some expensive hitters today so how about we find a min-priced value play? Garcia is one of the most exciting prospects in the league. His rise from generically interesting young player to top prospect was meteoric. Adjustments made during 2019 unlocked considerable pop without sacrificing contact. He’s a dynamic athlete who easily projects to return $3,000 of value on DraftKings and FanDuel (he’s overpriced on Yahoo!). Nobody has a thorough scouting report on him yet so Hendricks will do his usual nibbling around the edges. Garcia is an aggressive hitter who should enjoy receiving pitches near the zone.
Or, if you have a bunch of cash laying around, drop it on Trevor Story and Fernando Tatis like everybody else.
I like to look for opportunities to use elite hitters in situations that depress their usage. With this slate skewing expensive, I doubt many managers will pony up for Harper – especially in single-entry formats. Neither he nor Erlin have platoon splits. While conventional wisdom says left-handed sluggers like the ball down in the zone, Harper crushes high heat. Here he is delivering a mammoth shot on an elevated fastball against… Robbie Erlin.
Like with his teammate Rizzo, this is a situation where Happ’s home run chances are elevated. And unlike Rizzo, Happ is more affordable on DraftKings, and he's swinging a hot bat. The Cubs leadoff man has a one-in-four chance for a deep fly. He can deliver in other ways too against homer-prone Mahle and a struggling Reds bullpen.
Also Consider: Mike Trout, Mookie Betts, Christian Yelich, Charlie Blackmon, Wil Myers, Trent Grisham, Ian Happ, Juan Soto, Tim Locastro (value), Dylan Carlson (value), Tyler O’Neill (value), Phil Gosselin (value Y!)