MLB DFS Plays: Friday 7/2

  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
·8 min read
In this article:
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.


This content is not available due to your privacy preferences.
Update your settings here to see it.


The App is Back! Don’t forget to download the NBC Sports EDGE app to receive real-time player news, mobile alerts and track your favorite players. Plus, now you can check out articles and player cards. Get it here!

This article outlines the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

PITCHER

Top Play: Lance LynnWhite Sox (at Tigers)

It’s a close battle for top play between Lynn and Max Scherzer. Lynn may not be quite the same caliber pitcher as Scherzer, but he offers a stronger value and a much easier matchup. He’s coming off a rain-suspended outing following a drubbing at the hands of the Astros. The Tigers are no Astros. They “lead” the league with a 27.0 percent strikeout rate. Lynn projects to lead the slate in innings and is second only to Scherzer for strikeouts.

Pivot: Logan Gilbert – Mariners (vs Rangers)

Gilbert was on the other side of that rain-suspended game against Lynn last week. Some DFSers may take a look at that shortened appearance and steer clear. Although Gilbert struggled in his first two outings, he’s since turned in a 3.07 ERA with 9.82 K/9 and 1.84 BB/9 in his last six starts. Despite a bargain price, he projects for a little over five innings and just under six strikeouts tonight. The Rangers offense is below average and strikeout prone. However, they do have some volatile bats capable of spoiling an evening – chief among them a red-hot Joey Gallo.

Also Consider: Max Scherzer, Lance McCullers, Julio Urias, Pablo Lopez, Alex Wood, JT Brubaker, Brady Singer, Eduardo Rodriguez, Drew Smyly

Editor’s Note: Dominate daily with our premium DFS Tools that are packed with our lineup optimizer, a salary tracker, projections and much more. And don't forget to use promo code SAVE10 to get 10% off. Click here to learn more!

CATCHER

Top Play: Salvador Perez – Royals (vs J.A. Happ)

This is the standard recommendation for Perez. He’s facing a mid-tier southpaw without big swing-and-miss stuff. Happ also skews to fly ball contact, further favoring power outcomes for Perez. His aggression should serve him well this evening.

Pivot: Garrett Stubbs – Astros (at Sam Hentges)

The Astros should prove to be a chalky stack tonight in a very favorable situation. With a southpaw on the bump for Cleveland, Stubbs should draw his first start since Martin Maldonado hit the injured list. Jason Castro has longstanding issues hitting fellow southpaws. Stubbs has better contact skills, albeit the quality of that contact is poor. With a near-minimum price tag and network effects from the Houston offense, Stubbs is one of the best bargains in the slate – just don’t expect power outcomes. Any doubles or home runs are a bonus.

Also Consider: Gary Sanchez, Yasmani Grandal, Yermin Mercedes, Omar Narvaez, Tyler Stephenson, Willson Contreras, Jorge Alfaro

FIRST BASE

Top Play: Paul Goldschmidt – Cardinals (at Chi Chi Gonzalez)

St. Louis will form the other ultra-popular stack this evening. Many of their hitters, Goldschmidt included, haven’t been assigned a bump in cost for Coors Field. As such, we can chase a big projection at a mid-tier cost. Goldy has a one-in-four chance to homer and also leads the slate in projected hits.

Pivot: Frank Schwindel – Athletics (vs Rodriguez)

If you really want to save cash, Schwindel costs the minimum and has a one-in-five shot at homering off Rodriguez (assuming three plate appearances). In addition to positive power outcomes, the Quad-A slugger also has sufficient contact skills (via aggression) to offer other forms of run production. He’s expected to start in place of Mitch Moreland. There is serious substitution risk. If the score is at all close when right-handed relievers show up, Moreland will probably enter the game.

Also Consider: Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Yuli Gurriel, C.J. Cron, Pete Alonso, Bobby Bradley, Trey Mancini, Ryan Mountcastle, Nate Lowe, Alex Kirilloff, Joey Votto, Garrett Cooper, Jesus Aguilar

SECOND BASE

Top Play: Garrett Hampson – Rockies (vs Johan Oviedo)

By wOBA (an all-in-one measure of offensive ability), the Rockies perform comparably to the Astros when at home. Hampson finally has an affordable price tag and will probably hit near the top of the lineup. Although he doesn’t exactly sting the ball, his batted ball profile fits well at Coors Field. He’s not far behind Goldschmidt in projected hits, though he only has a one-in-seven shot at a home run.

Teammate Ryan McMahon has better mean and upside outcomes, but he also costs 25 percent more than Hampson.

Pivot: Jonathan India – Reds (vs Alec Mills)

The Reds offer a fourth high-ceiling stacking opportunity – one I hope will slip through the cracks as fourth-best. Great American Ballpark is in play as are the ineffective stylings of Mills. A soft-tossing ground ball pitcher who doesn’t induce whiffs, Mills likely won’t finish more than four innings. The Cubs bullpen is mostly rested, but only Craig Kimbrel is a better than average pitcher. As long as Cincy can maintain a lead, they’ll face exploitable arms all night. India isn’t depositing many balls over the fence, but he does have sufficient power to do so. He’s a ground ball hitter so he might fare better against relievers.

Also Consider: Ryan McMahon, Jose Altuve, Whit Merrifield, Marcus Semien, Brendan Rodgers, Brandon Lowe, Tommy Edman, Jazz Chisholm, Dylan Moore

THIRD BASE

Top Play: Eugenio Suarez – Reds (vs Mills)

Suarez’s fly ball tendencies match perfectly against Mills. Despite the possibility of only one such plate appearance, Suarez still projects for a one-in-three chance to homer. He’s recently seen a modest uptick in performance which could signal a rebound. He’s also far more affordable than the Coors Field options.

Pivot: Alejo Lopez – Reds (vs Mills)

Although lacking for power, Lopez has premium contact and plate discipline skills. As he showed yesterday, a multi-hit performance is always readily within reach for the switch-hitting utility man. He costs the minimum so we only need a couple empty hits to turn a profit. Tack on some run production and he’s a massive bargain. Lopez and Suarez have yet to start in the same game.

Also Consider: Nolan Arenado, Ryan McMahon, Jose Ramirez, Anthony Rendon, Kris Bryant, Matt Chapman, Rafael Devers, Abraham Toro, Luis Arraez

SHORTSTOP

Top Play: Trevor Story – Rockies (vs Oviedo)

Visiting sinkerballers tend to have the most trouble at Coors Field. Hitters like Story, who thrive against pitches down in the zone, only exacerbate that trend. Although the projections I often reference beg to differ (they project about a one-in-four chance to homer), I consider Story to have the best chance at a multi-homer game this evening. I’d also estimate his odds of an individual home run at around two-in-five. This is a perfect frontline matchup for him.

Pivot: Paul DeJong – Cardinals (at Gonzalez)

While not truly a pivot, DeJong’s role at the bottom of the Cardinals lineup should suppress his rostership. He’s one of the Cardinals that didn’t receive a Coors Field bump to their price. He has around a 25 percent chance for a dinger. The matchup against Gonzalez and a weak bullpen couldn’t be better. DeJong has shown signs of life at the plate in the last week, popping two home runs in 20 plate appearances to go with consistently high exit velocities.

Also Consider: Wander Franco, Trea Turner, Carlos Correa, Tim Anderson, Willy Adames, Brendan Rodgers, Javier Baez

OUTFIELD

Top Plays: Tyler O’Neill – Cardinals (at Gonzalez)
Yordan Alvarez – Astros (at Henges)
Jesse Winker – Reds (vs Mills)

The outfield is crowded with value and ceiling. O’Neill and the entire Cardinals outfield is in a glorious situation for power and multi-hit outcomes. They’re ridiculously affordable too. Dylan Carlson and Harrison Bader have nearly bargain-basement price tags.

If you have more money to drop on your outfielders, building Astros or Reds stacks offer savvy alternatives. Alvarez (and Kyle Tucker) may see artificially lowered rostership due to facing a southpaw. They don’t show serious platoon splits. Moreover, Houston should chase Hentges by the fifth inning.

Cincinnati offers two studs and a possible bargain. My hope is we see Aristides Aquino start in center field. Mills is the perfect opponent for The Punisher. By comparison, it’s merely a decent situation for Tyler Naquin. Winker also rates very highly against Mills while Castellanos skews a little too much towards ground ball contact to call this a nitro matchup. It’s still a favorable situation for all involved.

Pivots: Joey Gallo – Rangers (at Gilbert)
Adam Duvall – Marlins (at Smyly)

Gallo has finally awoken. He’s blasted seven home runs in his last five games. With all these high-value, stack-involved studs to choose from tonight, my hope is Gallo slips through the cracks. He has a reasonable price tag and a one-in-three chance of building on his homer streak against Gilbert and friends. Duvall might honestly have the best shot at power outcomes versus a homer-prone southpaw. He’s right there with Story in my estimation. And unlike with Story, the models I reference agree with my assessment. The biggest drawback is that he’s always an all-or-nothing play.

Also Consider: Dylan Carlson, Harrison Bader, Tommy Edman, Aristides Aquino, Nick Castellanos, Kyle Tucker, Michael Brantley, Myles Straw, Garrett Hampson, Austin Meadows, Randy Arozarena, Jorge Soler, Alex Kirilloff, Trevor Larnach, Nelson Cruz