MLB DFS Plays: Friday 6/11

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This article outlines the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

PITCHER

Top Play: Jacob deGrom – Mets (vs Padres)

We have a uniquely pitching-heavy slate tonight. I’m not even sure Opening Day had this many premium pitchers. Don’t worry, we have plenty of scrubs to exploit too. deGrom is both one of the most expensive and a top dollar-for-dollar bargain. He’ll have a pitch count of some kind – probably in the neighborhood of 95 to 100 pitches. Last week, he managed seven innings and 11 strikeouts against these same Padres on 85 pitches. Simply put, his ability to command and sustain triple-digit velocity complimented by elite offspeed stuff renders him unhittable even to high-quality opponents like the Padres. 

Pivot: Blake Snell – Padres (at Mets)

As the foil against the obvious top pitcher in the league, Snell should go undersubscribed tonight. He’s had an uneven season but pitched masterfully last week against these same Mets. Interestingly, he almost completely discarded his changeup in that outing. In every other appearance, it’s comprised about one-fifth of his pitches. He’s allowed a .387 average and .516 slugging percentage with the changeup. By contrast, his slider (.103 AVG, .147 SLG) and curve (.174 AVG, .217 SLG) have performed as elite offerings. Last week, he threw more fastballs in place of the changeup, but he could really benefit by shifting to more breaking ball usage.

Also Consider: Max Scherzer, Brandon Woodruff, Lucas Giolito, Clayton Kershaw, Blake Snell, Charlie Morton, Ryan Yarbrough, Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Civale, Tarik Skubal, Brady Singer

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CATCHER

Top Play: Salvador Perez – Royals (at Cole Irvin)

Perez has continued his offensive tirade for close to 100 games now. Irvin consistently works in and around the zone which should mean Perez gets some hittable pitches. Their respective launch angles align in a way that favors Perez for line drive and power outcomes.

Pivot: Max Stassi – Angels (at Merrill Kelly)

Stassi probably isn’t a true pivot, but he is a bargain. In limited work, he’s delivering premium hard and barreled contact rates. Kelly could qualify as the least exceptional starting pitcher in the league. The only downside to this matchup is they both skew towards low angle contact. Stassi might have some difficulty generating lift. The Arizona bullpen is a disaster.

Also Consider: Yermin Mercedes, James McCann, Will Smith, Sean Murphy, Omar Narvaez, Tyler Stephenson, Riley Adams, Ryan Jeffers

FIRST BASE

Top Play: Jared Walsh – Angels (at Kelly)

The Angels are one of the top stacking options tonight thanks to Kelly’s lack of carrying traits. As with Stassi, there is ground ball risk here. He also comes with a one-in-five chance to homer and is much cheaper to roster than similarly projected stars like Vladito and Max Muncy.

Pivot: Bobby Bradley –Indians (vs Justin Dunn)

Bradley is poorly designed slugger with a hole in his swing – one that Dunn might fail to exploit due to his below average velocity. Besides a painful strikeout rate, Bradley’s weakness is a too-high ground ball rate. Dunn, however, has an extreme fly ball rate. When Bradley barrels the ball, he produces near-elite exit velocities. This matchup promises to maximize his chance of a barrel or two.

Also Consider: Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Max Muncy, Jose Abreu, Freddie Freeman, Matt Olson, Ty France, Yuli Gurriel, Trey Mancini

SECOND BASE

Top Play: Jose Altuve – Astros (at Matt Shoemaker)

Shoemaker is one of the most exploitable starters on the docket today. Beware, he’s backed by a solid (though not elite) bullpen. Like many days, Altuve is the likeliest to deliver a hit tonight. Ergo, he’s the likeliest to deliver multiple hits. He also has a one-in-five chance to homer.

Pivot: Jonathan India – Reds (vs Kyle Freeland)

For a full analysis of India, check out the last second of this week’s Saves and Steals. He has a plausible path to position-leading production against a highly exploitable opponent tonight. Freeland has struggled to induce whiffs or prevent hits in limited action this season (4.85 K/9, 5.54 BB/9, 13.15 H/9).

Also Consider: Max Muncy, Marcus Semien, Whit Merrifield, Ozzie Albies, Chris Taylor, Luis Urias

THIRD BASE

Top Play: Eugenio Suarez – Reds (vs Freeland)

Suarez’s difficulties this season hinge largely on too many strikeouts and easy fly outs. Freeland’s ground ball-based approach should encourage more barreled, lower-angle contact. He has a one-in-three chance to homer – tops in the slate. Unfortunately, he’s become an all-or-nothing hitter this season.

Pivot: Kyle Seager – Mariners (at Aaron Civale)

Civale is an ordinary pitch-to-contact innings eater with a taste for ground ball contact and allowing a few too many home runs. Seager matches up particularly well – he’s less likely to strike out in this pairing and more likely to barrel a fly ball (i.e. usually a home run). Progressive Field also boosts left-handed power. 

Also Consider: Jose Ramirez, Alex Bregman, Josh Donaldson, Anthony Rendon, Justin Turner, Luis Urias, Hunter Dozier

SHORTSTOP

Top Play: Carlos Correa – Astros (at Shoemaker)

Correa is swinging a hot bat, hitting .355/.483/.624 with six home runs in the last month. He’s recently taken up residence as the second hitter in the Astros potent lineup. His peripherals have never been better – he’s produced an elite 116.4-mph max exit velocity and a balanced batted ball profile which should serve him well against Shoemaker. Even his plate discipline is better than ever as are his walk and strikeout rates.

Pivot: Willy Adames – Brewers (vs Chase De Jong)

A Quad-A pitcher who has yet to establish himself in the Majors, De Jong might be the most exploitable pitcher in a slate riddled with several question hurlers. There’s just one problem for this specific pairing. Both Adames and De Jong are extreme fly ball guys. It’ll be up to Adames to try to simplify his swing. If the frontline matchup doesn’t work out, Adames should get at least two plate appearances against below average relievers.

Also Consider: Xander Bogaerts, Trea Turner, Trevor Story, Tim Anderson, Jazz Chisholm, Bo Bichette, Amed Rosario, Jose Iglesias

OUTFIELD

Top Plays: Yordan Alvarez – Astros (at Shoemaker)
Nick Castellanos – Reds (vs Freeland)
Kyle Tucker – Astros (at Shoemaker)

Alvarez and Tucker are going to be extremely chalky because they’re comically mispriced. They’re two of the top 10 hitters in the entire slate yet carry league average (Alvarez) and below average (Tucker) price tags. It’ll be difficult to resist using them. Castellanos carries just under a one-in-three chance to homer with some of the best multi-hit potential aside from Altuve. The matchup against Freeland isn’t perfect since Castellanos is a tad prone to ground ball contact. However, he’ll get plenty of looks at bad relievers.

Pivots: Taylor Trammell – Mariners (at Civale)
Trevor Larnach – Twins (vs Jose Urquidy)

Since his recall on June 1, Trammell is hitting a passable .226/.333/.419 while usually batting seventh in the lineup. He absolutely torched Triple-A pitching to the tune of .384/.413/.726 with six home runs in 80 plate appearances. Civale will present a modest challenge, but his propensity to work in the zone should at least cut down on Trammell’s strikeout rate, giving his legs a chance to create some opportunities.

By now, you know I’m in on Larnach against most pitchers – at least until his price reflects his mid-tier output. Larnach features serious power with a high-BABIP batted ball profile. Urquidy rates as a neutral matchup for him.

Also Consider: Christian Yelich, Avisail Garcia, Nelson Cruz, Juan Soto, Jesse Winker, J.D. Martinez, Cody Bellinger, Mookie Betts, Teoscar Hernandez, Jorge Soler, A.J. Pollock