Welcome to MLB DFS Bargains. We’ll split the analysis into three groups: very cheap, mid-tier, and expensive. A greater emphasis will be placed on the lower end of the price scale.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
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Let’s focus ourselves upon the 10-game evening slate. Rain and drizzle could be a part of the action in Pittsburgh, Texas, Chicago, and St. Louis. Monitor the situation.
DIRT CHEAP BARGAINS
Although technically only a bargain on one of the two main sites, Ponce de Leon is the pitcher who best-fits this section of the column. His skill set is one that is only usable against the right opponents and at the right prices. The 27-year-old has a decent fastball, but it’s not a carrying pitch. He’s also forced to overuse it due to a lack of executable secondary stuff. He’s shown no aptitude for tunneling his offerings, making it easy for major league opponents to sit on certain pitches and locations. There’s room for future growth, but that’s not what we’re here for today. Instead, it’s the squishy Marlins lineup that makes him viable.
Ramirez is finally playing his way out of the bargain bin, and he’s making us a goodly chunk of money in the process. After another good game yesterday, this is likely his last day in this section of the column – at least for the near future. Although the foretold barrage of home runs has yet to materialize, value is value. He’s providing it, and he can be expected to continue providing it. The Rangers are calling upon Palumbo. He has all the makings of a future reliever. Even if the rookie has a decent outing, don’t expect him to work more than four or five innings. Odds of a meltdown are among the best in the slate.
Often, when analysis focuses on handedness platoon splits, there’s a certain overreliance on small samples of oddly bundled data. This can lead to false conclusions. One thing I’m comfortable saying is that Hernandez genuinely likes to face left-handed pitchers. This year he’s batting .258/.350/.449 against southpaws. He’ll bat leadoff. Garlick is not even remotely guaranteed to start. If he does, he has multi-homer upside written all over him. Of course, the downside is a completely predictable sombrero. There is a reason he’s cheap. Right-handed hitters are batting .305/.392/.545 against Pomeranz this year. Lefties are doing pretty well (.265/.345/.408) too.
Also Consider: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
MID-TIER MUST PLAYS
Rhys Hoskins – 1B – Philadelphia Phillies (at TBD)
As of this writing, the Nationals have yet to announce who will start the evening game. Max Scherzer, the original presumed starter, broke his nose during a bunting drill on Tuesday. It’s quite possible he’ll still make his start. Since the game is a doubleheader, the Nationals can also summon a 26th man to handle the second game. It’s in this scenario where Hoskins and other mid-priced Phillies could become especially valuable.
Also Consider: Matt Adams
HIGH PRICED VALUES
With the returns of Shohei Ohtani and Justin Upton, the Angels lineup has taken on a devilish hue. Blue Jays starter Sanchez is a ground ball pitcher whereas many of the Angels top of the order bats like Trout and Tommy La Stella are fly ball hitters. That’s a recipe for power production. Trout and La Stella should be considered multi-homer threats.