The new MLB DFS Bargains is back! We’ll split the analysis into three groups: very cheap, mid-tier, and expensive. A greater emphasis will be placed on the lower end of the price scale.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
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We have an eight-game slate tonight.
DIRT CHEAP BARGAINS
Lopez projects to be one of the worst pitchers today. Fortunately, he’s also priced accordingly. The Rangers are one of the most strikeout prone teams. Lopez has recorded 8.16 K/9 by throwing nearly 50 percent offspeed pitches. There’s upside for six innings with six or more strikeouts. Beware, the right-hander is homer prone and could completely delete his strikeouts by coughing up yakkers.
One of the top prospects in the sport, Hiura has the raw skills to adapt immediately to the majors. While there’s also potential for a rocky debut similar to Carter Kieboom or Nate Lowe, that’s not sufficient to ignore a love price tag at Citizen’s Bank Park. Hiura has considerable pop despite a fairly diminutive stature. He’ll face a decidedly mid-tier pitcher in Arrieta. Conditions are ripe for a valuable game.
Davis would be an interesting breakout story if he played on a daily basis. The Mets have to shuffle the lineup to get him starts. He regularly plays when a southpaw takes the bump, although Corbin is far from an easy opponent. Neither Davis nor Corbin has shown signs of a platoon split. Davis is a target for two very basic reasons – he’s very cheap and he’ll probably bat second.
Starlin Castro – 2B – Miami Marlins (vs Rays)
The Rays are using a tandem of Ryne Stanek and Jalen Beeks tonight. They’re an effective pairing but by means a scary matchup. Castro’s best quality is the ability to put the ball in play. He does so in a way that typically isn’t very valuable to his fantasy owners. He does, however, have a mid-lineup role whch could yield run production on the right day. His excessively low price tag is his most redeeming feature. Despite one of the worst hitter projections in the slate, he ranks as one of the best dollar-for-dollar values.
MID-TIER MUST PLAYS
On Monday, I recommended Khris Davis as a mid-tier play, noting my dogged determination to use him whenever his price tag drifted to affordable. As a hitter, Reyes is a near-perfect copy of Davis. Only Joey Gallo is more likely to homer tonight. Reyes is available for two-thirds the price. He’s also among the best bets for multiple home runs. Maeda likes to work down in the strike zone which feeds right into Reyes hard fly ball tendencies.
HIGH PRICED VALUES
The Tigers will call upon Soto, a rookie southpaw who struggled in his major league debut last week. The Astros aren’t like to provide a soft landing. The Houston stack figures to be very popular this evening, and it’s Bregman who carries the best combination of ceiling and value. With more walks than strikeouts, a high contact rate, and copious power, the red hot Bregman tastes chalky.