Welcome to the MLB DFS Bargains column, where we’ll take a close look at the best “per dollar” acquisitions for tonight’s daily fantasy slate.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
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We will focus on the main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
1 – Aledmys Diaz – 2B – Houston
Jose Altuve has landed on the disabled list, which means Diaz will see more opportunities as Houston’s interim second baseman. That’s good news for potential fantasy backers, as Diaz has been on fire lately. He has collected five hits, two homers, and seven RBIs over his past three starts. Diaz should see plenty of RBI opportunities in this intimidating Houston offense that carries one of the highest run-scoring projections of the night.
2 – Wade Miley – SP – Houston
Miley checks in as a -194 money line favorite on the road tonight. He’s facing a bottom-tier Tigers’ offense that ranks 25th in wRC+ (80) with the fourth-highest strikeout rate (26.1%). The Houston lefty has been reasonably solid lately, coming up one out shy of five straight quality starts. He hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in any start this season, and the southpaw is brimming with confidence after posting a 6 IP, 2 H, 7 K, 2 ER line vs. Texas last Thursday. We could see more of the same tonight.
3 – Marwin Gonzalez – 3B – Minnesota
Marwin is heating up, yet his salary is slow to respond on some DFS sites. The Minnesota utility man has collected five hits, two homers, three runs, and four RBIs over his past three games. He’ll face Felix Pena and the Angels’ bullpen (with an opener) tonight. Pena carries a vulnerable .340 wOBA split to left-handed bats, and Gonzalez is a switch-hitter who will hold the platoon advantage against anyone LAA throws at him. Go ahead and keep Marwin on your short list for cash games, assuming the price is right.
4 – Jorge Soler – OF – Kansas City
The Royals check in with a top three run-scoring projection tonight. That’s due in large part to the struggles of opposing RHP Shelby Miller of Texas. Miller carries a 7.48 ERA on the season along with a vulnerable .421 (and plenty of inconsistencies, injuries) over the past two years. Soler will hold a premium lineup while looking to take full advantage. He’s moderately priced on most DFS sites while holding appealing fantasy upside with 10 homers on the season already.
5 – Steve Pearce – 1B – Boston
Pearce hasn’t made the most of his chances this season, but he’s dirt-cheap in a favorable situation tonight. That alone puts him on the DFS radar as a bargain filler or utility punt. He’s stepping in with the platoon advantage over Colorado LHP Kyle Freeland, who has gotten clobbered for 16 earned runs through 17 innings (19 hits) over his past three starts. Playing in hitter-friendly Fenway Park helps Pearce’s upside.
Tyler White (1B – HOU) follows the rationale laid out for his teammate, Diaz, earlier in the article. Houston is in a position to feast on LHP Ryan Carpenter, who surrendered six earned runs through five innings last Thursday against the Angels. White and Diaz are two bargain lifts within an Astros’ stack, but Carlos Correa, Alex Bregman, and George Springer should be firmly on your radar as well.
Pablo Sandoval (3B – SF) is more of a tournament recommendation, but he’s not a bad punt when hunting for value at third base. Toronto RHP Trent Thornton has been all over the map this season, most recently allowing five earned runs and seven hits through two innings vs. Minnesota. Thornton owns a .387 wOBA split against left-handed bats, and Sandoval is a switch-hitter who is much better from the left side of the plate.
Tommy La Stella (3B – LAA) continues to impress with 10 homers on the season. He went 3-5 with a homer in the series opener at Minnesota yesterday, and there’s room for more upside while facing Twins’ RHP Kyle Gibson – who has been vulnerable to left-handed bats over his career. Hitting in front of Mike Trout, Albert Pujols, and Shohei Ohtani doesn’t hurt either.