When looking at “bargains” on FanDuel, we'll typically focus on hitters who are $3,200 or lower. For DraftKings, the threshold is around $3,800. In general, we'll only highlight players at the top end of that scale if they have star potential.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
Editor’s Note: Stay ahead of the competition from wire to wire with rankings, customizable projections, trade evaluator, exclusive columns and more in our Season Pass. And start using optimized lineups on Yahoo!, DraftKings and FanDuel with our DFS Toolkit!
Today we’re looking at the 9-game evening slate.
FANDUEL & DRAFTKINGS BARGAINS
While Peralta may not consistently prevent runs, he’s accrued a spicy 11.17 K/9 through 92.2 career innings. The most shocking part of his success is his pitch usage – he throws over 80 percent fastballs. His velocity is up this season from 90.8 mph to 92.2 mph. Given the non-elite velocity and high whiff rate, it should come as no surprise that it’s a deceptive offering.
Peralta is set to host the Cardinals at Miller Park. Between the tough opponent and the hitter friendly venue, this could be another mixed bag outing for Peralta. The high strikeout rate confers a certain amount of “floor” to his appearances. And when he does prevent runs, the point totals can keep pace with any ace.
O’Hearn, a righty masher, will face the shambling corpse of Ervin Santana. The 36-year-old is only one injury-marred season removed from good results. There’s a chance Santana rebounds tonight. His lone outing this season was terrifying. He allowed seven runs and three home runs in just 3.2 innings while largely failing to induce whiffs. For his part, O’Hearn has shown extra plate discipline this spring. When combined with his raw power, this new look could make him a regular top play versus bad right-handed pitchers. The game is at hitter friendly Guaranteed Rate Park.
The Marlins cleanup hitter doesn’t come with an especially sanguine projection tonight, but that’s because most projection systems remember that Yu Darvish used to be good. This softer-throwing, poor-command version of Darvish is exploitable by most opponents – even the Marlins. And if Miami does get to the former ace, Castro is likely to be in on the action. We’re mostly looking for multiple hits and RBI rather than a home run. Teammate Neil Walker is a better play for the same price on DraftKings.
Every year, an early season slump will drop an elite player into the bargain bin on both sites. Ramirez had similar difficulties early last year before going completely bonkers. He’s presently batting just .140/.180/.193. A look at his peripherals is encouraging. His hard contact rate is at a career high, and he’s working through the middle of the field. The surge is coming. The Indians visit Yusei Kikuchi and a weak Mariners bullpen.
5 – Eloy Jimenez – OF – Chicago White Sox (FanDuel $3,000 / DraftKings $3,900)
Jimenez got off to a slow start, but he’s recently turned up the heat. The rookie sensation has a reputation for piling up hard contact. His opponent this evening, Heath Fillmyer, is a Triple-A quality hurler. So too are virtually all relievers in the Royals bullpen. Toss in a hitter friendly venue, and it’s nitro night for Jimenez. His teammate Daniel Palka is an even deeper bargain play.
Trevor Richards (SP – MIA) appears to have added a cut fastball to his repertoire. While this hasn’t produced any noticeable changes to his outputs through three starts, it’s possible he’ll improve upon his 9.26 K/9 from last season. The righty is hosting a tricky Cubs lineup. His best chance to provide DFS value is yet another terrible outing from Yu Darvish. The win bonus would be welcome, especially since Richards is fairly expensive for a “bargain.”
Garrett Hampson (2B – COL) is playing every day thanks to a slew of injuries. While there was hope he would hit for a high average and OBP, pitchers are challenging is relatively limp bat. He’s still a patient hitter so the walks will come. Unfortunately, they’ll also be accompanied by strikeouts. Hampson will have the platoon advantage against Joey Lucchesi, a southpaw who struggles versus right-handed hitters.
Jean Segura (SS – PHI) bat second in one of the top lineups in the league. While Noah Syndergaard is a difficult opponent, I fully anticipate the Philadelphia offense to wear him down over time. Thor works a little to consistently in the strike zone with his frequently used fastball. The game is at homer happy Citizen’s Bank Park. Any solid contact could turn into a surprise home run.