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Mets Prospective, SNY's new show covering the Mets minor league system, debuts Thursday, May 20 at 4 p.m. on SNY.tv.
SNY contributors Joe DeMayo and Jacob Resnick answer fan questions in this edition of the Mets Minor League Mailbag...
Who is the PTBNL that the Mets traded for Khalil Lee? When does that have to get determined, and what type of player is it likely to be? — @SpikerIsAwesome
Joe: If I knew who it was, I’d tell you! As far as what type of player it is likely to be, it may be a bit of an assumption from me, but I expect it to be a pretty solid prospect. When the deal was made, the Mets traded Josh Winckowski, who I would have had in the back end of my top 30 for Khalil Lee, who is ranked inside of my top 10. Taking a sort of simplistic approach, it would in theory have to be something in between there. I know the Red Sox are thinking big picture, so I could envision one of the young high upside Latin American prospects that reside in the teens of my prospect rankings could fit the bill.
Jacob: At the time of the trade, Red Sox chief baseball officer Chaim Bloom made it clear that the reason for including the PTBNL was due to nearly all minor league players missing the 2020 season. With the 2021 season now underway, Boston scouts are surely hard at work, checking to see if players like Junior Santos and Shervyen Newton have rebounded from tough 2019 seasons. I’d expect someone of that ilk to be headed to the Red Sox when the trade is completed (they technically have six months from the initial agreement, making the deadline August 10).
What does JT Ginn’s timeline from Tommy John surgery look like as of now? — @groovyromie
Joe: Ginn appears to be on track and looking at returning to a minor league mound in a similar timeframe to what we are looking at for Noah Syndergaard’s return from Tommy John as they got it at a very similar time. I would expect perhaps mid-late June for a professional debut for Ginn, who is a prospect that I really can envision making noise at the minor league level quickly with his bowling ball of a sinker that touches 98 as well as his plus breaking ball.
Jacob: We should be seeing Ginn make his regular season debut fairly soon, on the Syndergaard timeline that Joe alluded to. It’s a good sign that he’s been getting up to speed in Port St. Lucie with no reported setbacks, but the Mets can afford to take it as slow as possible with the young righty. I’ve heard that Ginn will eventually settle in High-A Brooklyn when he’s back to 100 percent.
Will Matt Allan’s Tommy John surgery affect the Mets draft strategy? - @MichaelLoos12
Joe: I would hope not! I know often fans try to big picture the MLB Draft, by talking about farm system needs or even big league team needs. That is not how the scouting department thinks about it. It is very unfortunate what happened to Allan, but that is not going to sway Tommy Tanous, Marc Tramuta and the scouting department from the draft plans they have been working on for a calendar year. The scouting department’s job is to draft the best available talent, regardless of position. Of course you are always looking to add arms to the organization, I just don’t think the Allan injury adds any more emphasis than they’d already have to add pitching to the system. Ultimately you can feel like you have an excess of a position, but it always works itself out eventually. Take the best player and work it out is my personal philosophy on the draft.
Jacob: I don’t really see the correlation. All types of pitchers need Tommy John surgery; high schoolers, college players, veterans. Pitchers -- particularly young minor leaguers -- have very good recovery rates from such an injury, so while accepting the risk is important, blowing up a pretty successful draft strategy is not.
Brett Baty seems closer to being major league ready than Ronny Mauricio, but are either of them a possible consideration before September? - @SkylandsCSC
Joe: I am not entirely sure how much closer to big league ready Baty is than Mauricio. He is older and perhaps a more natural bat, so I get what you are saying. However, Mauricio has really impressed Mets brass with his maturity and improvements. He already has matched his 2019 home run total that he had across 116 games in former Low-A affiliate Columbia in nine games for High-A Brooklyn. I think it would be optimistic to expect either Baty or Mauricio to make the big leagues this year. I think it would be a successful season if both of them were to reach Double-A by the end of the summer.
Jacob: The Mets have enough veteran depth (or can at least find it on the open market) to avoid prematurely promoting either Baty or Mauricio to the major leagues this year. It would even be a surprising development if either of them cracked the roster before September of 2022 (and remember, rosters don’t go to 40 for the last month anymore). It’s exciting to see them play well to start the season but development is a nonlinear process that can’t be rushed, no matter how antsy some fans tend to get.
With Matt Allan’s injury and most of the top prospects being position players anyway, which pitching prospects should we keep our eyes on? - @METSNEXTYEAR
Joe: Unfortunately, like with a lot of the system as a whole, there isn’t a ton at the upper minors for high level prospect pitching. Thomas Szapucki, who is just outside of my top 10 prospects is in Triple-A and could be an option to pitch for the Mets soon per manager Luis Rojas. A name that I am pretty high on is 6-foot-7 right hander Tylor Megill, a former ninth round pick who is off to a great start in Double-A with a fastball that gets up to 98 mph and a slider that flashes plus.
2020 second rounder J.T. Ginn who is coming off Tommy John surgery, tops the list of the next guys for me. He would have been a first round pick had he not gotten injured last fall. The Mets believe they have a steal in right hander Robert Dominguez who touched 99 mph this spring. 6-foot-8 right hander Junior Santos is pitching in Low-A St Lucie at 19 years old and showing some really intriguing stuff with a fastball touching 95 and ability to repeat his delivery despite his size.
Jacob: Joe hit on the big ones. Two intriguing names that I’ll be following as the season progresses are Joander Suarez and Luis Moreno, who are both just 21 years old in St. Lucie’s rotation. Moreno made the jump to Low-A with only Dominican Summer League experience after signing older than the typical Latin prospect, which is usually indicative of the organization being higher on a guy that the public isn’t aware of. They’ve been up to 96 mph with high-spin curveballs (Moreno in particular) through two weeks of action.