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The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links in California will carry on this week without amateurs and without Golfweek/Sagarin‘s No. 2 golfer Dustin Johnson. Below, we’ll look for the best value bets in the 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds, with tournament matchups, placings and other PGA Tour prop bet predictions.
The Pro-Am portion of the event was scrapped amid the COVID-19 pandemic; Johnson withdrew Monday following a win in Saudi Arabia. The tournament will be held on two courses – Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill Golf Course – instead of the usual three and the cut will be made after 36 holes instead of 54 without amateurs attending.
Johnson was just one of several golfers to withdraw Monday. Their absence swings open the door for yet another long-shot winner at Pebble Beach.
Jordan Spieth vs. Francesco Molinari (+105)
This is the top bet of the week with plus-money on Molinari coming off back-to-back top-10 finishes at The American Express (T-8) and Farmers Insurance Open (T-10). Despite entering at just No. 92 in the Golfweek rankings, the 2018 Open Champion is still one of the best players in this suddenly depleted field.
Spieth stole headlines with a resurgent performance last week at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, but he’s still wildly erratic off-the-tee and hadn’t had a top-10 finish since the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge prior to last week. Fade the public pick.
Si Woo Kim vs. Kevin Streelman (-110)
Kim, the American Express champion, missed the cut at the FIO and finished T-50 in Phoenix in his two follow-up starts. Streelman was the solo runner-up in this event last year with an average of 2.19 Strokes Gained: Approach per round. He tied for 22nd last week with another strong iron performance.
Top 5: Nick Taylor (+1200)
The 2020 champion of Pebble Beach tied for 11th at the Sony Open in Hawaii before a T-47 at The American Express and a missed cut in Phoenix back on the mainland. He had similar form early last year and entered this event at just 229th in the Official World Golf Ranking.
Better than a 10-1 payout for the defending champ with the pre-tournament betting favorite and top-ranked golfer already out of the field is great value.
Top 10: Akshay Bhatia (+2500)
Bhatia has just one top-10 finish in 11 career PGA Tour events, but he’s in a good spot for a breakthrough performance in this lackluster field. He’s strong on approach to the green and has a solid short game. Those are key stats this week at the shorter courses.
Top European: Francesco Molinari (+450)
We like Molinari in a tournament head-to-head against the overvalued Spieth and this is essentially a second head-to-head between Molinari and Paul Casey (+250). Casey has been playing great golf, but he comes off a three-event swing to open his 2021 calendar that has seen him go from California to Dubai to Saudi Arabia and now back to California.
Fade the travel schedule and take the rested Molinari.
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