How the latest Football Power Index has LSU finishing over final three

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The LSU Tigers go into the final stretch of the season with three home games. On the road this year, they finished 1-4 while winning three of four at home. That is a good thing for the Tigers. They still have an opportunity to finish out with a .500 season and a bowl game on the line.

Not exactly where some thought they would be, present company included. They have two winnable games and one that looks less so as the weeks roll by. Texas A&M started slow but seems like they have figured it out as they catapulted themselves near the top 10.

Whether or not this team sees bowl season could very well come down to how they look against an Arkansas team that already earned bowl eligibility. We look at the updated Football Power Index from ESPN. Currently, they have LSU ranked No. 41 overall.

A look at how ESPN’s FPI sees the season finishing

LSU vs Arkansas (Nov. 13)

(Wesley Hitt/Getty Images)

Win Probability: 59% (LSU)

The FPI believes that the LSU Tigers will even their record once again when they take on the Arkansas Razorbacks on Saturday night in Death Valley. Arkansas is coming off their win over Mississippi State, while LSU fell to Alabama on the road.

Projected Record: 5-5

Next, the final nonconference game

LSU vs UL-Monroe (Nov. 20)

Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

Win Probability: 97.1% (LSU)

The final nonconference game of the year pits LSU against in-state competition, UL-Monroe. The Warhawks have played the Tigers just three times with a combined seven points scored in those games. They last met in 2014, the Tigers won 31-0. This is one of those that LSU must win if they want to be bowl eligible.

Projected Record: 6-5

Next, the final SEC matchup

LSU vs Texas A&M (Nov. 27)

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Win Probability: 59.4% (Texas A&M)

For the season finale, we have the LSU Tigers and the Texas A&M Aggies. The latter playing for an opportunity in the New Years Six, the former hopefully already having their bowl eligibility locked up. After struggling earlier in the year, the Aggies are coming on strong down the stretch. They have knocked off both teams from the state of Alabama, that were ranked. Can LSU find a way to win the final regular-season game under Ed Orgeron?

Projected Record: 6-6

List

LSU vs Alabama: Five takeaways from the loss to the Tide