French Open Best Bets for June 7

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It's hard to believe we're into the second week at Roland Garros with how much fun we've had, but here we are. The Round of 16 wraps up on Monday, and I don't think it'll quietly. I've got two matches picked out that I see a ton of value in, and without further ado I'll go through them now.

Diego Schwartzman (-210) vs. Jan-Lennard Struff (+160) Total: 36.5 Games

Schwartzman is No. 10 in the world for a reason, possessing incredible returning and counter-punching tools which make him a real threat on clay. He's pushed the likes of Rafael Nadal to the brink, and even taken him down. Because of this, he's a perennial favorite to make a run every year at Roland Garros, and is coming off a semifinal appearance in 2020.

Well, this year hasn't been quiet as magical as last year's, when Diego was so great that he qualified for the ATP Finals. He entered the French Open with just a 7-6 record on the dirt, and seemed unsure of himself at times, mired in a bad rut. He's reclaimed some form here in Paris, but he's yet to face anyone who can ask questions like Struff can.

The German has a massive serve and forehand, which have been working well for him this tournament and led him to a huge win over Andrey Rublev in the opening round. He's commanding his groundstrokes expertly and hitting huge balls deep into the court, which is going to be a lot for Schwartmzan to handle.

The problem here is going to be the Argentine's weak service games, considering how much progress Struff has made in his return games. He should overpower Schwartzman here, whose returning skills aren't quite up to the level he'd like them to be.

Edge: Struff +160

Rafael Nadal (-1500) vs. Jannik Sinner (+725) Total: 30.5 Games

This could very well be the first time in four years — and just the fourth time ever — that Rafael Nadal loses at Roland Garros. He's had slightly less than his best this year, and as the years go on his chances of winning this event will continue to decrease.

I'm not going to call an outright loss for Nadal to the teenager from Italy, but this is where he should begin to be forced to work hard. Sinner's never taken a set off of Nadal in two meetings, but he's pushed him hard both times. He served for the first set in their first meeting at the French Open, and in in total they've played four close sets with one 6-1, which came after Sinner had given everything he had last year at Roland Garros.

Sinner has had no issue breaking the serve of Nadal and playing some aggressive, first-strike tennis, and he has the game to beat Nadal. He's destined to be the No. 1 player in the world some day, and it's only a matter of time before he picks up a massive win like this.

Either way, Sinner is a hard-worker and has easy power on the clay, enough to hit through Nadal. I think this could be the match he finally takes a set off Rafa, but at the very least they should play some contentious sets. Fearless tennis works against the game's greats, and that's exactly what Sinner has. After two close battles against Rafa he should continue to get better.

Edge: Over 30.5