Favorite Week 10 NFL wagers
Frank Schwab and Minty Bets take you through their best bets heading into the NFL weekend. What will the Seahawks look like with Russell Wilson back at the helm taking on the Packers?
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Video Transcript
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MINTY BETS: Welcome to "Yahoo Sportsbook Daily." It's Friday, November 12th. And I'm your betting guide Minty Bets, joined by Frank Schwab. We are here to give you our best NFL bets ahead of week 10 and I actually really, really like the games this week. So Frank, let's kick things off with you first.
FRANK SCHWAB: Well, you know, you may really like the games but I'm going to pick a game nobody wants to watch. I really like the Denver Broncos minus 2 and 1/2 against the Eagles. And you know, the regression police is going to say, well, oh, the Broncos can't keep up what they did last week.
Well, yeah, of course they can't. They played out of their minds. Dallas probably played its worst game of the season. Denver actually absolutely blew out the Cowboys in that game. But it doesn't mean they're going to regress to being a bad team. I think they found something last week, if nothing else, they found some confidence.
They played so well against the Cowboys, dominated them in every way. And now they come home, they're feeling pretty good about themselves, playing pretty well, Jerry Jeudy's back in the mix, a huge, huge addition to their offense off of his injury. And I think that they can at least beat the Philadelphia Eagles.
What are the Philadelphia Eagles have going for them right now? I think the Eagles can run the ball a little bit against the Broncos but their offense is very hit or miss they're giving up an 80% pass or just about every week. So I think Teddy Bridgewater is going to have a really good game. I'm streaming on fantasy.
So I just like the Broncos here. Yeah, they're never going to play like they did last week, that's not going to happen the rest of the season but they could so be a pretty good football team. I think they found something, I think they're going to get out a little mini roll maybe as much as any team in the NFL can get on a roll and I think that they win this game easily cover the 2 and 1/2. It's my best bet on the board even though it's a game you're probably not going to want to watch.
MINTY BETS: Hey, sometimes your very best bet is going to be an ugly match-up. And I actually really, really like that pick. I always tend to back up Teddy Two Gloves.
And I mean Denver has the hardest, one of the most difficult home field advantages, right? So I think there's a huge benefit there for them. So yeah, I like that pick. Frank, don't-- don't stress about that one.
FRANK SCHWAB: Hopefully. Hopefully.
MINTY BETS: Yeah. My pick is going to be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Washington Football Team. The Bucs are favored by 9 and 1/2 points. Now, they're clearly the better team with more offensive weapons, even without Gronk and Antonio Brown, Tom Brady still has Godwin, Evans, Fournette, Bernard, so much more.
Washington's defense is allowing the most passing yards per game and the fourth most points per game. Tampa's offense earns the highest passing yards per game and scores the most points per game. Both teams are coming off a nice bye week and football teams defense isn't what it was in 2020. I believe Tom Brady will ultimately come out on top of this one and win by 2 scores, easy breezy. Frank, what do you have for us next?
FRANK SCHWAB: I actually like that pick too. I've been convinced. I was really on the fence. I talked to Scott Pianowski on the fantasy podcast Tuesday. He liked it. You liked it.
What more do I need? I'll probably be on the Bucs too. Because like you said, Washington Football Team, what happened to their defense? I still don't know.
Let me go to my second play and boy, we're going to uglier on the card here because if we learned anything in the NFL this season or any other season really and so we can't trust what we see week to week, backup quarterbacks do just fine and sometimes the best bet is one of the ugliest teams on the board. And that leads me to, yes hold your nose, the Carolina Panthers plus 10. I know they're playing at Arizona, the one trustworthy team we have in the NFL, but I still think the spread is a little bit too high.
I think Carolina is actually going to be energized by Sam Darnold not being in the lineup. I know that's probably a rude thing to say. I hope Sam Darnold mom isn't listening or anything. But this team obviously was just frustrated with him you could see it, Robby Anderson on the sideline. We make a lot of sideline interactions that we don't need to, these guys are you on the sideline here and there.
But I think Robby Anderson yelling at Sam Darnold summed up with the whole team is thinking. He is-- his play had regressed so bad that they just couldn't win with him, they couldn't function with him. Now, he's out with the injury, P.J. Walker comes in and replaces him. And I assume it's going to be P.J. and not Cam Newton who just got signed off the street, hasn't played all season, but I think they're going to rally around P.J.
We always think the team's starting a backup quarterback are drawing dead when that's just not the case. They rally around them. You can have a one week bump. I think everybody's going to be fired up to play.
I don't know necessarily that they're going to go to the desert and win this one because Arizona is a really good team, but I think a Panthers can compete in this game enough to cover a double digit spread. I hope it doesn't come to pass it's just a crazy pick on Sunday and they lose by 48 points or something. But I do think the Panthers can compete in this game.
MINTY BETS: Frank, I wish I could ride with you on that one. I want to have faith in the Panthers every single week because the first three weeks of the season they were phenomenal. We thought Sam Darnold was their franchise quarterback.
FRANK SCHWAB: I know, we can't give it up, right, Minty?
MINTY BETS: Yeah.
FRANK SCHWAB: But we can't quit the Carolina Panthers of all teams.
MINTY BETS: I know because I want him to succeed so badly there in Carolina but the Cardinals you're right they're just such a complete team, even without Kyler they really prove to us that the entire team can function without him if need be-- double digits that's hard to pass up with an underdog. So I'm rooting for you but I don't know if I'll get to the window there with you, Frank.
FRANK SCHWAB: I don't blame you. I don't blame, Minty. What's-- what's your next best game?
MINTY BETS: My next and last one is going to be the Seattle Seahawks plus 3 and 1/2 over the Green Bay Packers. Russell Wilson is back, so that means I am back to hopping on Seattle as underdogs. Now I could have just still bet them as underdogs with Geno Smith because he's a covering machine, but I mean, this is one of my very best bets of the week.
Seattle opened as a 5 and 1/2 point underdog before the news was released that Russell Wilson would be back in. But in this COVID era, we just honestly can't bet opening lines anymore because too much happens from Monday morning, when most of the lines come out, until the following Sunday morning. So I'm OK with betting on Seattle catching 3 and 1/2 points.
Although the Packers are the more efficient team on both sides of the ball and the Seahawks have a work in progress kind of defense, I trust Russ to keep things close as typical Seattle fashion. This offense can pick apart Green Bay's defense so I'm riding with the Hawks this weekend and of course, you have to throw some money on them to win straight up in Seattle as well. What do you think about that one, Frank? I know you kind of said that you're leaning Packers at first.
FRANK SCHWAB: Yeah, I hate to be on the wrong side, Minty. I really do. I hate to disagree but I have to here because here's my problem is I don't know that Russ is Russ right away.
Look, he came back. Incredible healing powers-- that concussion water must work on fingers to, I don't know. But he comes back he has not played since week five and he did rush back. His healing power is great. He's a tough dude.
Kudos to him for coming back and he's great. I love watching him obviously on Wisconsin and all that. But I wonder he obviously rushed back and I wonder if that's going to be a detriment at least right away. I don't know that we're going to see Russ as Russ in the first game back, maybe not the first couple of games back.
And when I make a play like that, when I have an angle like that I also want to say, what if Russ is 100% am I dead here? Am I going to just get-- no, I think even if Russ plays great, I still think the Packers, who have covered every single week since week one, are still alive in that. They can still-- like you said, Seattle's defense they have been better, but they're not great. I think Aaron Rodgers coming back energizes the Packers a little bit.
I assume Aaron Rodgers is coming back. And I think the Packers get the money here. It's more of a fade of Russ. Just a little bit of rust, not being himself right away. But we'll see. I don't like the Seattle side. That makes me second guess it.
MINTY BETS: Every point you made made complete sense. But you know what, the two NFC West teams I love backing as underdogs are Seattle and Arizona. So we will have to see. That'll be a great match-up.
And guys just to recap, our picks are Broncos minus 2 and 1/2, Bucks minus 9 and 1/2, Panthers plus 10, and Seahawks plus 3 and 1/2. You can follow me on Twitter @MintyBets, Frank is over at Yahoo Schwab. And follow all of our content over at Yahoo Sportsbook.
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