Roto Arcade - Fantasy

As promised, the Yahoo! fantasy team will be mocking all week, previewing your 2011 baseball draft. We'll get through at least one round per day, possibly more. Please use this mock responsibly. Comment early and often.

Earlier results: Round 1

13. Carl Crawford(notes), OF, Boston Red Sox – A dangerous pick because we can't be sure how much he wants to run, though how much the Red Sox want to run is more important. Terry Francona was next to last in stolen base attempts in 2010 but was fifth in 2009 when the runners were healthy. This should be good for 40-to-50 bags. Crawford should see a Fenway spike in batting average, as most hitters do. There's probably a 40% chance he hits .320 and a minimum of .300 is likely. And 15 homers now are more the floor with a 20-plus season somewhere on the horizon. (This roster so far: C. Utley, C. Crawford). –Salfino

14. Mark Teixeira(notes), 1B, New York Yankees – It was a terrible year mostly driven by career-worst BABIP (.268 vs. .303 career). The sample is too large with Teixeira to fret over one season, an arbitrary slice of time despite the weight we grant it. For Teixeira, .300-40-120 is still a reasonable projection. He's not really a 40-homer hitter, but if he hits 24 at Yankee Stadium like in 2009, he'll get there or close enough. (D. Wright, M. Teixeira) –Salfino

15. Alex Rodriguez(notes), 3B, New York Yankees – His stats have fallen in each of the last three years, a worrisome trend for someone in their mid-30s, but Rodriguez still has the womb of the New York lineup to fall back on, and let's keep in mind that careers don't always regress in a linear fashion. Even if Rodriguez ultimately lands in the .280-74-30-125-4 neighborhood that he rented from last year — and remember, that was considered a disappointing haul for him — I'm only overpaying by maybe a round. I could get much better Round 2 numbers if I went to the outfield with this selection, but with Braun already rostered here, taking an infielder is just about a mandate. (R. Braun, A. Rodriguez) –Pianowski

16. Josh Hamilton(notes), OF, Texas Rangers – He's only given us one full season out of four and most of the MVP's production came at home (where he was a .390/.438/.750 overlord), so it's not a slam-dunk to make the call on Hamilton here. But then I close my eyes and imagine the keg-tappers they play all summer long in Arlington and I decide, screw it, I want in on that. And while it's more realistic to pay for 130 Hamilton games than a full 162, at least I can feel good about the replacement value of an outfielder — while Hamilton spends his expected month or so on the sidelines, I should have little trouble finding a capable replacement on the waiver wire. I came close to taking a starting pitcher in this slot, but I suspect the arm I likely select in Round 3 won't be much of a drop from the whomever I would have tabbed now. (A. Gonzalez, J. Hamilton) –Pianowski

17. Ryan Howard(notes), 1B, Philadelphia Phillies – Before last season, Howard had run off four straight campaigns with at least 40 home runs and 136 RBIs. Simply put, he’s top shelf power. And don’t let the numbers dip in 2010 throw you off. An ankle injury pretty much wiped out his month of August, which came at a time when he was absolutely dialed in – he slugged .570 in both July and September. Philly was the No. 2 scoring offense in the NL last season and, assuming good health and a rebound or two from Chase Utley(notes) and Jimmy Rollins(notes), another 40/130 season is still within Howard’s reach. (R. Cano, R. Howard) –Funston

18. Matt Kemp(notes), OF, Los Angeles Dodgers – If ever there was a sub-.250 batting average worth dismissing it’s Kemp’s .249 mark from last season. Consider that it (.249 clip) came in his age 26 season, and that he’d hit better than .300 in more than 1,500 at bats entering 2010. Also consider that his .295 BABIP marked the first time in his career that he finished a season below .330. Then there was the continual tinkering of manager Joe Torre, who used Kemp for 80-plus at bats at four different spots in the batting order. But despite everything, Kemp still finished just a hair shy of the 30/20 club. Bill James has him pegged for .280/27/24 in ’11. Plug that into a consistent spot at clean-up and you can expect ample run production to go with. (E. Longoria, M. Kemp) –Funston

19. Ryan Zimmerman(notes), 3B, Washington Nationals – For the second time in three years, nagging injuries cost Zim several games, limiting him under 550 at-bats. Despite the setbacks, he sustained steady production across four categories, ranking fifth at his position in per game value. With an improving eye, outstanding pedigree and entrenched in a run-driving spot in the Nats' lineup, the 26-year-old appears to be on the precipice of a career year. Think 2009 with slightly more RBIs. (J. Votto, R. Zimmerman) –Evans

20. Prince Fielder(notes), 1B, Milwaukee Brewers – Years divisible by two haven't been kind to the Brewers' club of chub. Last season, his dramatic drop-off in several categories was alarming. However, his baseline skills remained intact. In fact, some growth occurred. His eye improved for the third-straight season and he posted a career best in outside contact percentage. Still only 26, Fielder should rebound in a major way. (C. Gonzalez, P. Fielder) –Evans

21. Matt Holliday(notes), OF, St. Louis Cardinals – I’m not trying to put together the Rockies team that made a run at the World Series in ’07, I promise. Not many options safer than Holliday, who is a true .300 hitter and regular 100 RBI man. There are plenty of good outfielders still available, but many have fleas, so I’m content going with the un-sexy, low-risk pick. Other options here were Dustin Pedroia(notes) and Kevin Youkilis(notes), due to position scarcity. (T. Tulowitzki, M. Holliday) –Steingall

22. Jose Reyes(notes), SS, New York Mets – Enough about the injuries, he still accumulated 603 plate appearances last season and provided his usual consistent production (.282/11/54). While the steals were down (30 in ’10), I’ll bet on a return to the 40-plus range (still elite). He’ll be batting lead-off, so book 100 runs, too. It’s getting a bit thin at shortstop, so the time to act was now. (M. Cabrera, J. Reyes) –Steingall

23. Roy Halladay(notes), SP, Philadelphia Phillies – As if there weren't enough reasons to pick Halladay here, this is also an integrity-of-the-mock selection. In most drafts, he'll be a first-rounder. Halladay gives you 235-250 innings of brilliant ratios, and the man has delivered 200-plus Ks in three straight seasons. We're conditioned to believe that pitchers present unusual fantasy risk, but basically all the first and second-tier starters were solid investments last season. Doc was simply a machine. (A. Pujols, R. Halladay) –Behrens

24. Kevin Youkilis, 1B, Boston Red Sox – Even in an injury-shortened 102-game season, Youks managed to score 77 runs, hit 19 homers, and drive in 62. One of the keys to his fantasy value, of course, is that he'll quickly reacquire eligibility at third base. Over the past three years, he's averaged 25 home runs while hitting .308. Youks is a solid four-category asset at a talent-scarce roster spot; let's just hope he manages to play a few more games this season. (H. Ramirez, K. Youkilis) –Behrens


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