Expert Picks: THE PLAYERS Championship

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Welcome to Playing the Tips!

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our fantasy staffers at Rotoworld.com.

Page 1 is going to look at Daily Fantasy Sports picks (FanDuel, Yahoo, and DraftKings).

Page 2 will have a look at One-and-Done options as well as PGATOUR.com's fantasy game.

Dave Tindall

@DaveTindallGolf

DraftKings

Justin Thomas ($10,800) – He’s avoided the buffeting winds of PGA National and Bay Hill and, let’s be honest, JT doesn’t have to prove himself in Florida. He’s a winner in the Sunshine State and has a top-3 at TPC Sawgrass. T6 in Mexico last time.

Patrick Cantlay ($9,800) – Often this event is about all-round, understated excellence rather than flamboyance and Cantlay fits the profile. Two top 25s so far at the course, quietly impressive and ultra-consistent this season and, like Thomas, he comes in fresh.

Byeong Hun An ($7,800) – K.J. Choi and Si Woo Kim have lifted this trophy in the last ten years and An has the form to match his fellow Koreans. Fourth at the Honda and his best result here (T26) came last year after the switch to March.

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($7,300) – Gave himself some momentum with an excellent final round at Bay Hill to post T9. Another with the patience to succeed at the Stadium Course even though it hasn’t quite happened for him yet.

Daniel Berger ($7,200) – Florida man rides in on the back of three top tens and showing prowess in all the right areas for Sawgrass. A previous T9 here should give gamers further confidence that Berger could be a huge bargain.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($6,800) – This guy can play and likely low ownership adds to his appeal. The South African, still relatively unknown in the U.S., was a winner at Valderrama last season, runner-up in Dubai in January, T29 at the WGC-Mexico and T18 at Bay Hill.

Total salary: $49,700

On the cusp: Rory McIlroy ($11,700), Webb Simpson ($9,200), Tommy Fleetwood ($9,000), Gary Woodland ($8,300), Marc Leishman ($7,600), Russell Henley ($6,400)

Matt Cooper

@MattCooperGolf

DraftKings

Justin Thomas ($10,800) – I like that he was T3 at TPC Scottsdale on similar greens to this week’s, that he’s been churning out the top 20s for nine months (12 of them in 14 starts) and that his TPC Sawgrass form is a little better than at first glance: twice T11 or better and he also contended on debut.

Tommy Fleetwood ($9,000) – Last week’s missed cut makes him a little value in my book. Before that he churned out six top 20s on the bounce, four of them top three. Also 3-for-3 on the Stadium Course and top ten in the last two years.

Xander Schauffele ($9,400) – Second on debut at the tournament two years ago and I’ll forgive him the missed cut last year. Nine of his last 11 starts were top 25.

Daniel Berger ($7,200) – He’s 8-for-9 this season and arrives fresh from three consecutive top tens. 4-for-5 on the Stadium Course and T9 back in 2016.

Victor Perez ($7,000) – The Frenchman’s best results suggest a decent week is on offer for him. He’s excelled on the European Tour’s Desert Swing and also at Sheshan International, all venues Euros play well ahead of putting up a decent showing here at TPC Sawgrass.

Joel Dahmen ($6,600) – Lots to like about him at the moment and a neat little bargain, offering a big upside for his salary. He was T12 in THE PLAYERS last year, is 11-for-13 the season and has finished T5 in his last two starts.

Total salary: $50,000

On the cusp: Jon Rahm ($11,000), Patrick Cantlay ($9,800), Webb Simpson ($9,200), Bryson DeChambeau ($9,100), Sungjae Im ($8,600), Gary Woodland ($8,300)

Josh Culp

@futureoffantasy

DraftKings

Matt Kuchar ($7,800) - It would have been great to see him peg it in one of the two lead-up Florida events but he remains steady with five straight worldwide top 40s including a pair of podium finishes over that stretch (WIN in Singapore and RUNNER-UP at Genesis).

Henrik Stenson ($7,900) - He's someone who historically has always liked to shake off the rust before getting back into contention. At least that's likely his story as he looks to rebound from last week's missed cut.

Sergio Garcia ($8,000) - The Spaniard is 18-for-20 at TPC Sawgrass and he hasn't missed a cut here since 2003.

Rory Sabbatini ($6,800) - Has finished inside the top 40 in each of his last four starts at THE PLAYERS.

Rickie Fowler ($8,900) - Getting a big discount for this past champ who has his new swing changes clicking into gear.

Adam Scott ($9,600) - Leaving a good chunk on the table with Scott as my last man in. Plenty of chances for you to pivot off these plays to make the lineup your own.

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FanDuel

Billy Horschel (9,800): The Florida Gator is 5-for-7 at THE PLAYERS with four top 30s.

Matthew Fitzpatrick (9,200): The Englishman hasn't pieced it all together at TPC Sawgrass but he's been better than the field average in seven of his last nine rounds here.

Hideki Matsuyama (10,900): He's posted top 25s in five of his six starts at THE PLAYERS.

Patrick Reed (10,500): Has nothing better than T22 at TPC Sawgrass but the same could have been said before his win at Augusta National.

Daniel Berger (9,200): The Florida State product arrives with three straight top 10s.

Matt Kuchar (9,700): Settled for T22 in his latest start (WGC-Mexico) but posted a runner-up finish the week before that (Genesis Invitational).

Yahoo DFS

Justin Thomas (47): He's been resting at home instead of playing the other Florida events. The hope is that the lack of mental exhaustion will help in his favor as he tries to grab a third top 15 in six tries at THE PLAYERS.

Abraham Ancer (29): Finished T12 in his PLAYERS debut last year and he arrives with even better form this time around.

J.T. Poston (23): Snagged a T22 here last year but he enters off a rough week at Bay Hill. Long-term, he still has finishes of T41 or better in 11 of his last 14 starts.

Rafa Cabrera Bello (28): Stumbled at Bay Hill last week but he's been better than the field average in 6 of his last 10 rounds played. He's been boom or bust at TPC Sawgrass with a T4 and T17 to go along with a pair of missed cuts.

Henrik Stenson (34): He's 10-for-14 with nine top 25s at TPC Sawgrass.

Xander Schauffele (39): He's a big-game hunter and a part of that reputation comes from a runner-up finish in his 2018 PLAYERS debut.

One-and-Done

Each week I will think out loud about my process in determining my One-and-Done selection. If you are new to the One-and-Done format, it is like an NFL survivor league. You pick one golfer per week, but you can't use them again all year.

Let's see who has played well at TPC Sawgrass:

Adam Scott (15-for-18 with a WIN and three other top 10s)
Rory McIlroy (6-for-10 with a WIN and three other top 10s)
Sergio Garcia (18-for-20 with a WIN and three other podiums)
Matt Kuchar (11-for-15 with a WIN)
Jason Day (6-for-9 with a WIN)
Dustin Johnson (9-for-11 with three straight top 20s)
Justin Rose (10-for-16 with five top 25s)
Jim Furyk (18-for-23 with two RUNNER-UPs)
Hideki Matsuyama (5-for-6 with five top 25s)
Webb Simpson (6-for-10 with a WIN)
Jhonattan Vegas (5-for-7 with two top 10s)
Francesco Molinari (5-for-9 with four top 10s)
Tommy Fleetwood (T41, T7, T5)
Keegan Bradley (6-for-9 with back-to-back top 20s)
Ryan Moore (10-for-13 with back-to-back top 30s)
Ian Poulter (13-for-16 with two RUNNER-UPs)
Billy Horschel (5-for-7 with four top 30s)
Justin Thomas (T24, T3, T75, T11, T35)
Rory Sabbatini (10-for-18 with a top 10)
Jimmy Walker (7-for-10 with a RUNNER-UP)

Now let's look at baseline performance over the last year. This will give us a good feel for who should pop regardless of past course results:

Rory McIlroy
Jon Rahm
Patrick Cantlay
Webb Simpson
Justin Thomas
Adam Scott
Hideki Matsuyama
Tommy Fleetwood
Xander Schauffele
Brooks Koepka
Dustin Johnson
Patrick Reed
Bryson DeChambeau
Louis Oosthuizen
Rickie Fowler
Collin Morikawa
Shane Lowry
Paul Casey
Matt Kuchar
Justin Rose

The overlap list includes Rory McIlroy, Webb Simpson, Justin Thomas, Adam Scott, Hideki Matsuyama, Tommy Fleetwood, Dustin Johnson, Matt Kuchar, and Justin Rose.

A stacked field gives us a stacked overlap list.

Justin Rose is the only golfer from the list that I would be hesitant to pull the trigger on. He's leaking oil lately and also going through equipment changes/contract negotiations. Of course, he's a world-class talent that could pull it together at any time. I just don't want to take that chance.

My number one option this week would be Rory but I already used him at the WGC-HSBC.

Instead, I'll go with the course horse at TPC Sawgrass, Adam Scott.

PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO

Josh Culp

“@FutureOfFantasy”

Last Week: 21130th
Season Rank: 121st

Starters:

Rory McIlroy
Jon Rahm
Justin Thomas
Adam Scott

Bench:

Hideki Matsuyama
Tommy Fleetwood

Mo Yoshimoto

“@Bears3423”

Last Week: 9754
Season Rank: 2986

Starters:

Justin Thomas
Bryson DeChambeau
Webb Simpson
Hideki Matsuyama

Bench:

Adam Scott
Xander Schauffele