Expert Picks: The Genesis Invitational

Josh Culp
Rotoworld

Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our fantasy staffers at Rotoworld.com. 

Page 1 is going to look at Daily Fantasy Sports picks (FanDuel, Yahoo, and DraftKings).

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Page 2 will have a look at One-and-Done options as well as PGATOUR.com's fantasy game. 
 

Dave Tindall

@DaveTindallGolf

DraftKings

Patrick Cantlay ($9,800) – The UCLA grad will have huge local support and is very familiar with these grass types. That comfort has shown in the last two years here (T4 and T15) and his game is trending towards a big week after T11 at Pebble.

Bubba Watson ($9,600) – Bound to be popular but hard to leave him out. Has won the last three even-numbered editions of this event and returns to one of his favorite venues in his best form for a while (T6 Farmers and T3 Phoenix).

Abraham Ancer ($8,200) – Four top eights in his last six worldwide starts and during that run finished joint-top scorer for the Internationals at the Presidents Cup. He's 2-for-2 here and arrives with all parts of his game showing up strongly.

Sergio Garcia ($7,800) – Sergio loves this traditional, tree-lined test (two fourths, a sixth and four other top 20s). Recently changed equipment and it looks a good move after going 8-23-6 on the European Tour's Middle East Swing in January. Nicely priced at sub-$8k.

Alex Noren ($7,300) – A committed left-to-right hitter and Riviera has been called a faders' paradise. T16 on his only appearance in 2018 and he's finding some nice form again. 4-for-4 on the PGA Tour this season and has made last 11 worldwide cuts. Also putts well on Poa Annua.

Corey Conners ($7,000) – Debut but should enjoy this ball-striking test. Connected six top 20s before T45 in Phoenix on latest start. T13 at the Safeway Open on his last start in California.

Total salary: $49,700

On the cusp: Justin Thomas ($11,000), Hideki Matsuyama ($9,300), Tony Finau ($9,100), Adam Scott ($9,000), J.B. Holmes ($7,700), Sung Kang ($6,700).

 

Josh Culp

@futureoffantasy

DraftKings

Jon Rahm (11,200) - Hard to find many with a hotter hand right now. He's won two of his last six starts worldwide and finished runner-up in two others. 

Sergio Garcia (7,800) - Has top 25s in 7-of-12 starts at Riviera CC. 

Matthew Fitzpatrick (7,700) - The King of Runner-up Finishes comes in at quite the bargain this week. He's gone two events without a runner-up finish so he's basically due. 

Erik van Rooyen (7,000) - Just too cheap for a standout talent like EVR, despite it being his tournament debut. 

Collin Morikawa (8,100) - This steady Eddy has quickly vaulted himself into the conversation for best iron players on TOUR. That goes a long way at Riviera.

Sungjae Im (8,000) - Kikuyu is a common grass type back in Korea so I like Im to be comfortable here and grow on his so-so debut last year. 

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FanDuel

Sergio Garcia (9,900): Enters with three straight top 25s in the Middle East so his new equipment is coming along nicely. 

Vaughn Taylor (8,300): Ran into a few big numbers last week but he's still playing well on the season and has five top 25s at Riviera CC. 

Adam Scott (10,800): Has an unofficial win at Riv (2005, shortened to 36 holes) but he's come close to picking up a real win. That inluces a pair of runner-up finishes in 2006 and 2016. 

Hideki Matsuyama (11,000): Has one blip on his Riviera resume (MC in 2017) but other than that he's finished T23 or better in every appearance at this course that favors elite iron ball-striking.  

Matt Kuchar (9,800): Has finished top 40 in eight of his last nine starts at The Genesis Invitational. 

Paul Casey (10,000): Imploded on Sunday at Pebble Beach but I like his chances to bounce back on a course where he posted a runner-up finish in 2015. 

 

Yahoo DFS

Vaughn Taylor (35): He's racking up birdies in bunches this season and Riviera is a course that has yielded five top 25s for Taylor over the years. 

Nick Taylor (20): Hard to imagine he gets right back into contention this week but we don't need much more than a cut made at this min-salary price tag. 

Matt Kuchar (38): Doesn't overpower any course but he's still managed a 12-for-13 record at this event with a pair of top 15s. 

Bubba Watson (34): Yahoo is the only site that is not issuing a huge course-history tax on big-hitting Bubba. He will be heavily-owned but probably worth it at this price point. 

Patrick Cantlay (43): The Cali native is comfortable on poa annua greens. He's finished T4 and T15 over the last two years at The Riv.

Adam Scott (40): He ended 2019 with a win at the Aussie PGA Championship but he's been dormant since. Now he heads to a course that he's called his favorite on TOUR. It will be interesting to see if there is any rust in his game or if he picks up right where he left off in December.

One-and-Done

Each week I will think out loud about my process in determining my One-and-Done selection. If you are new to the One-and-Done format, it is like an NFL survivor league. You pick one golfer per week, but you can't use them again all year. 

Starting things off with course history, let's see who has played well at Riviera Country Club over the last 10 years:

Dustin Johnson (10-for-12 with a WIN and three other podiums)
J.B. Holmes (12-for-13 with a WIN)
Bubba Watson (8-for-13 with three WINs)
Adam Scott (10-for-11 with two runner-ups and unofficial win)
Ryan Moore (10-for-13 with five top 25s)
Justin Thomas (5-for-5 with a runner-up)
Jim Furyk (18-for-22 with eight top 25s)
Matt Kuchar (12-for-13 with five top 25s)
Marc Leishman (6-for-10 with four top 25s)
Phil Mickelson (13-for-17 with two WINs)
Paul Casey (7-for-8 with a runner-up)
Aaron Baddeley (14-for-17 with six top 25s)
Keegan Bradley (6-for-9 with four top 25s)
Rory McIlroy (T20, T20, T4)
Kevin Na (10-for-16 with four top 10s)
Hideki Matsuyama (4-for-5 with a T4)
Vaughn Taylor (8-for-13 with five top 25s)
Sergio Garcia (10-for-12 with seven top 25s)
Jason Kokrak (7-for-8 with three top 25s)
Jimmy Walker (10-for-13 with five top 25s)

Now let's look at baseline performance over the last year. This will give us a good feel for who should pop regardless of past course results: 

Rory McIlroy
Jon Rahm
Patrick Cantlay
Justin Thomas
Adam Scott
Tiger Woods
Dustin Johnson
Hideki Matsuyama
Xander Schauffele
Brooks Koepka
Justin Rose
Patrick Reed
Paul Casey
Collin Morikawa
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Tony Finau
Erik van Rooyen
Matt Kuchar
Sungjae Im
Jason Day

The overlap list includes Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas, Adam Scott, Dustin Johnson, Hideki Matsuyama, Paul Casey, and Matt Kuchar

I don't think there is a clear-cut choice here but lots of good options. 

I've already used Rory, Hideki, and JT. Yikes, lots of big names off the board for me so it's good that I'm out to an early lead. 

That leaves me with Scott, DJ, Casey, and Kuchar. 

Johnson has been in contention each of the last two weeks and he has four podium finishes at The Riv, including his 2017 victory. I'm going with Dustin Johnson this week and hoping that it's five podium finishes by week's end. 

 

 

PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf presented by SERVPRO

Josh Culp 

“@FutureOfFantasy”

Last Week: 11244
Season Rank: 80th

Starters: 

Rory McIlroy
Patrick Cantlay
Dustin Johnson
Hideki Matsuyama

Bench: 

Justin Thomas
Adam Scott

 

Mo Yoshimoto 

“@Bears3423” 

Last Week: 20643
Season Rank: 4102

Starters:

Bubba Watson
Justin Thomas
Tony Finau
Patrick Cantlay

Bench:

Rory McIlroy
Tiger Woods

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