Euro 2020 betting: Picks for Wednesday's last round of Group E and F games

·3 min read

The final round of group stage games at Euro 2020 continues Wednesday as Groups E and F conclude. We've got the betting advice you need for these four games as we're now up slightly through 60 picks over 30 games. 

With 16 teams advancing in the 24-team tournament, the top four third-place teams from the six groups will advance to the knockout stage. We'll know who those four third-place teams are at the end of Wednesday and we already know that Turkey, Russia, and North Macedonia aren't advancing. 

All odds are provided by BetMGM.

Group E standings

Sweden, 4 points

Slovakia, 3 points

Spain, 2 points

Poland, 1 point

Sweden vs. Poland

Noon ET, ESPN2

Sweden (+185)

Poland (+145)

Tie (+240)

Sweden is in decent shape to move on after tying Spain and beating Slovakia while Poland has to get a win if it wants to make the knockout rounds. That urgency is why Poland is favored here despite being last in the group. Sweden has played some very defensive soccer so far and it’s worked out for them. How will Poland unlock them? Poland’s midfield and supporting cast behind Robert Lewandowski makes us hesitant to go with them.

Over/under: 2.5 goals

Official picks

Tie (+240)

Under 2.5 goals (-150)

Bold bet

Game to finish 1-1 (+575)

Slovakia vs. Spain

Noon ET, ESPN

Slovakia (+1600)

Spain (-500)

Tie (+550)

Over/under: 2.5 goals

Spain is going to dominate possession and have a lot of decent scoring chances. Can It take advantage of them this time? Spain hasn’t capitalized so far with just one goal in two games. If Alvaro Morata starts and scores on Wednesday he could open the goal floodgates. Slovakia will be looking to hold on for at least a tie as four points probably gets them through. But if Spain scores an early goal, Slovakia is going to have to chase the game.

Official picks

Spain (-500)

Under 2.5 goals (+160)

Bold bet

Spain to win 2-0 (+500)

Group F standings

France, 4 points

Germany, 3 points

Portugal, 3 points

Hungary, 1 point

Germany vs. Hungary

3 p.m. ET, ESPN2

Germany (-550)

Hungary (+1350)

Tie (+650)

Over/under: 3.5 goals

Hungary got a needed draw against France on Saturday and can move on to the knockout rounds with a win over Germany. The Germans bounced back from a loss to France at the start of the tournament with a shellacking of Portugal — a team that beat Hungary 3-0. Hungary is going to be competitive in this game — the Portugal game was competitive until the final 10 minutes — but Germany should get the result it needs to move on in the tournament even without Thomas Muller.

Official picks

Germany (-550)

Under 3.5 goals (-135)

Bold bet

Kai Havertz to score the first goal (+500)

Portugal vs. France

3 p.m. ET, ESPN

Portugal (+280)

France (+125)

Tie (+190)

Over/under: 2.5 goals

What a fantastic way to end the group stage. France would like a point or three to not rely on making the knockout rounds via a third-place finish, while Portugal has to get at least a tie to guarantee another game in the tournament. Germany’s wingbacks ripped Portugal apart in the second game and France doesn’t have that attacking threat from the back. But the speed of Kylian Mbappe could pierce the edges of the Portugal defense on the counterattack.

Official picks

Tie (+190)

Under 2.5 goals (-160)

Bold bet

Game to finish 1-1 (+525)

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