ESPN updates Ohio State football’s chances of winning each remaining game

·2 min read

OK. Here we go again. Ohio State was able to outlast a Nebraska team that’s given every team it’s played this year its best punch, winning 26-17. It wasn’t pretty, but with what we’ve seen this year, simply winning is the name of the game.

Check.

Yeah, there are things to work out and fix, but it’s much easier this morning for Ryan Day and crew to learn some lessons with all the goals still on the board.

One thing we’ve been following each week is ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) and what it says about the Buckeyes’ chances of winning each remaining game on its regular-season schedule. It has ebbed and flowed with Ohio State’s results and what its opponents are doing on the field, and even had Michigan favored over OSU at one point.

With just three games remaining, what does ESPN’s FPI give Ohio State in winning games against Purdue, Michigan State, and Michigan? Well, here is where things stand today.

Nov. 13 vs. Purdue

Purdue quarterback Aidan O’Connell signals to his receivers prior to taking the snap in the third quarter against Iowa on Saturday, Oct. 16, 2021, at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City. Credit: USA TODAY Sports

Ohio Stadium (Columbus)

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability: 90.9% (down from 92.7%)
All-Time Series: OSU leads 39-15-2

Projected running record: 9-1

Nov. 20 vs. Michigan State

Oct 9, 2021; Piscataway, New Jersey, USA; Michigan State Spartans running back Kenneth Walker III (9) carries the ball past Rutgers Scarlet Knights defensive lineman Ifeanyi Maijeh (88) during the first half at SHI Stadium. Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

Ohio Stadium (Columbus)

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability: 86.5% (up from 85.7%)
All-Time Series: OSU leads 34-15

Projected running record: 10-1

Nov. 27 at Michigan

Oct 2, 2021; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Michigan Wolverines head coach Jim Harbaugh walks on the field during warmups prior to the game against the Wisconsin Badgers at Camp Randall Stadium. Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability: 62.2% (down from 63.6%)
All-Time Series: Michigan leads 58-51-6

Projected running record: 11-1

1

1