ESPN FPI sees better days ahead for the Wisconsin Badgers

·3 min read

ESPN FPI saw a tough road ahead for the Wisconsin Badgers after their 38-17 loss at home to Michigan.

The metric projected Wisconsin to finish with a 5-7 record with losses coming against Purdue, Iowa, Nebraska and Rutgers.

But a lot has now changed with the team’s 24-0 beatdown of Illinois and other results around the conference. FPI now sees several of those results flipped, as well as a closer contest when Iowa comes to Madison.

The season is already a mild disappointment with the 1-3 start thanks to three losses to ranked teams. But a lot of the Big Ten schedule is still on the horizon. Wisconsin undeniably has a chance to make a run and make many forget about the first four games of the year.

Related: Big Ten power rankings after Week 6 — Hey, Iowa

Here are ESPN FPI‘s updated game-by-game predictions for the rest of Wisconsin’s season:

Oct. 16 vs. Army

Mandatory Credit: Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted Winner: Wisconsin
Badgers Win Probability: 79.7% (Previous: 76.9%)

Projected running record: 3-3

Oct. 23 at Purdue

Purdue tight end Payne Durham (87) celebrates a touchdown during the fourth quarter of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Sept. 4, 2021 at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette. Credit: Nikos Frazier / Journal & Courier-Imagn Content Services, LLC

Predicted Winner: Wisconsin
Badgers Win Probability: 57.2% (Previous: 49.5%)

Projected running record: 4-3

Oct. 30 vs. Iowa

Oct 1, 2021; College Park, Maryland, USA; Iowa Hawkeyes players celebrates after a game against the Maryland Terrapins at Capital One Field at Maryland Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Scott Taetsch-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted Winner: Iowa
Badgers Win Probability: 36.7% (Previous: 31.3%)

Projected running record: 4-4

Nov. 6 at Rutgers

Sep 11, 2021; Syracuse, New York, USA; Rutgers Scarlet Knights linebacker Olakunle Fatukasi (3) applies pressure on Syracuse Orange quarterback Tommy DeVito (13) in the fourth quarter at the Carrier Dome. Mandatory Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted Winner: Wisconsin
Badgers Win Probability: 59.4% (Previous: 49.3%)

Projected running record: 5-4

Nov. 13 vs. Northwestern

Oct 24, 2020; Evanston, Illinois, USA; Northwestern Wildcats running back Evan Hull (26) runs against the Maryland Terrapins during the second half at Ryan Field. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted Winner: Wisconsin
Badgers Win Probability: 85.8% (Previous: 83.2%)

Projected running record: 6-4

Nov. 20 at Nebraska

Aug 28, 2021; Champaign, Illinois, USA; Nebraska quarterback Adrian Martinez (2) runs past Illinois defensive lineman Keith Randolph Jr. (88) in the first quarter at Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted Winner: Nebraska
Badgers Win Probability: 49% (Previous: 42.9%)

Projected running record: 6-5

Nov. 27 at Minnesota

Sep 2, 2021; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Gophers running back Bryce Williams (21) reacts after scoring a touchdown during the fourth quarter against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Huntington Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Harrison Barden-USA TODAY Sports

Predicted Winner: Wisconsin
Badgers Win Probability: 57.9% (Previous: 51.3%)

Projected running record: 7-5

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