Eagles Week 1 betting guide: Lines, props and picks

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Eagles Week 1 betting guide: Lines, props and picks originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia

The Eagles get their much-anticipated 2022 season underway Sunday on the road against the Lions.

All season long, we will break down the Eagles’ matchups and make our picks.

Let's go!

Eagles at Lions – Sunday, 1 p.m. ET

 

(All odds/props courtesy PointsBet)

 

Point Spread/Money Line: Eagles (-4, -210)    Lions (+4, +175)

 

Total Over/Under: 49 points

Analysis: While I don’t love the spread, I do think the Eagles will win the game. I also think this game will feature plenty of offense. Jalen Hurts is playing his second season in the same offensive scheme, with the same offensive coordinator, for the first time since high school. Also, there have been some serious personnel changes on both the Eagles and the Lions defense. That will likely lead to some missed assignments, with will lead to more points on the board.

Pick: Eagles ML, Over 49

 

Passing yards (O/U) – Jalen Hurts 225.5; Jared Goff 230.5

Analysis: While the numbers seem low for both Hurts and Goff, a look at last season shows they’re more than justified: Hurts threw for more than 225 yards in just 5-of-15 starts; Goff topped 230 yards in 6-of-14 starts. I do think Sirianni will want to air things out with his $100M new addition, A.J. Brown.

Pick: Hurts OVER 225.5

 

Passing TD (O/U) – Hurts 1.5; Goff 1.5

Hurts threw just 16 TD passes last season, Goff just 19. I’m holding off for a week to see what the Eagles choose to do in the red zone Sunday.

Pick: No play

 

Rushing yards (O/U) – Miles Sanders 45.5; Hurts 45.5; D’andre Swift 50.5

No one truly knows if Sanders is 100 percent from his hamstring injury. While his total isn’t daunting, there is some concern he won’t get a ton of carries. Hurts had at least 44 yards rushing in 11 starts last season. He’ll pick up the slack. And I feel like Swift is set for a real breakout season.

Pick: Hurts OVER 45.5, Swift OVER 50.5

 

Receiving yards (O/U)

A.J. Brown 65.5    Amon-Ra St. Brown 55.5

DeVonta Smith 45.5    Dallas Goedert 45.5

T.J. Hockenson 45.5    D.J. Chark 40.5

D’andre Swift 30.5    Quez Watkins 20.5

Analysis: The number that immediately jumped out to me is Goedert. He topped 42 receiving yards in 11-of-15 games last season, and had 6/72 against Detroit in 2021. The chemistry between him and Hurts can’t be denied, even with the addition of Brown. For Detroit, St. Brown just got better as last season went on, averaging 93 yards a game and catching 5 TD passes over the final six games.

Picks: Goedert OVER 45.5, St. Brown OVER 55.5

 

Anytime TD scorer:

Jalen Hurts +115    D’andre Swift +125

Miles Sanders +145    A.J. Brown +150

Dallas Goedert +190    DeVonta Smith +190

T.J. Hockenson +200    Amon-Ra St. Brown +200

Analysis: St. Brown is a real value pick at +200, and DeVonta Smith could see some favorable matchups against lesser d-backs with Brown in the mix.

Pick: St. Brown, D.Smith