How did the Vikings fare in PFF’s 2021 season simulations?

·1 min read

Pro Football Focus is at it again. The outlet simulated the 2021 NFL season 10,000 times and the Vikings averaged lackluster results.

Here’s how PFF did it:

Using the PFF Elo rating system, PFF grades and available market data, we can simulate the 2021 season 10,000 times to accurately assign distributions for win totals, divisional title odds and the percentage each team makes the playoffs. We can also look at how often each team makes it to — and wins — Super Bowl 56.

Minnesota had an average win total of 7.9. The Vikings had a playoff percentage of 31.7%. The team had a Super Bowl victory percentage of 0.9%. Its average draft position was 13.9.

So if PFF is any indication, it’s not gearing up to be a stellar 2021 season for the Vikings. That said, I think a lot of their success in the division will depend on whether Aaron Rodgers stays with the Packers or not and if Justin Fields starts for the Bears right away. Minnesota still has a chance of making it to the postseason. But the Super Bowl? I’m not so sure.