DFS Dish: WWTC at Mayakoba

El Camaleon Golf Course returns to host the 16th running of the Mayakoba.

This is a very familiar course with plenty of course history to lean on but as always, we have a new crop of talent checking out the course for just the first or second time.

Instead of overlooking those golfers without much course history, let's take a peek at some course-fit stats to see who might like the layout.

Go Low on the Slow (Greens)

The greens are El Camaleon are kept between 10 and 11 feet on the stimp most years which is definitely on the slow side for the PGA TOUR.

"A little on the slower side which is fine. I grew up on slow bermuda so I'm happy with bermuda and the paspalum." -Brian Gay

"I've kind of come from slow, kind of grainy Bermuda greens, which these are Paspalum, but I've kind of grew up on this. I felt really comfortable on the greens and therefore I made a lot of putts." -Shawn Stefani

"It's a bit slower usually than what we see on every other week on Tour and I think that's helped me just with where I kind of have grown up in Norway. We have flatter and slower greens and that just kind of sets up better for me here this week." -Viktor Hovland

Here are the top performers in adjusted strokes gained per round when playing on courses with slow greens, over the last two years:

Collin Morikawa
Aaron Wise
Viktor Hovland
Scottie Scheffler
Tony Finau
Ryan Palmer
Davis Riley
Dean Burmester
Dylan Frittelli
Maverick McNealy
Adam Long
Harris English
Matt Kuchar
Billy Horschel
Seamus Power

We can also look at performance versus baseline to see who shows the largest increase in performance compared to their typical scores:

Davis Riley
Brandon Wu
Scott Piercy
Ryan Palmer
Garrick Higgo
Aaron Wise
Nate Lashley
Adam Long
Doug Ghim
Dean Burmester
Russell Knox
Collin Morikawa
Adri Arnaus
Harris English
Michael Gligic

Overlap List: names that show up on both lists include Collin Morikawa, Aaron Wise, Ryan Palmer, Davis Riley, Dean Burmester, Adam Long, and Harris English.

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Davis Riley off the radar ahead of Mayakoba

Form comes and goes but talent has always been there for the Alabama alum. In today's thought experiment I want you to travel back to June 5th and pretend that Riley just posted his T13 at the Memorial good for his sixth straight top-15 finish. Now imagine that the Mayakoba is taking place the very next week, what would his price be? It would likely be among the top-10 highest salaries on the board but instead we see him at 25th on the DraftKings salary list ($7,800) and 38th on FanDuel ($8,900). While it's true his form has dipped off since then, if you believe in his long-term potential then he is still a bargain worth considering this week.

Aaron Wise riding a hot putter into town at El Camaleon

He looked like a sure Superstar after winning the 2018 Rookie of the Year award in a season that saw him win and snag three other top 10s. He piled up just six total top 10s over the next three seasons before returning in 2022. Now it looks like the sky is the limit again for young Wise and a hot putter certainly helps his case. Wise has gained strokes putting in five of his last six starts (+15.1 SGP). I like his chances to stay hot this week at El Camaleon, a course where he's posted top 15s in three of his last four trips.