College Basketball Best Bets, Nov. 17: Miami vs Georgia, Dayton vs St. John's

Vaughn Dalzell breaks down why betting on the Georgia Bulldogs and Miami Hurricanes has some value.

Georgia vs Miami (-6.5): O/U 155.5

Georgia and Miami meet on a neutral court for a matchup that should provide us with points and be a fun game to watch starting at 3:30 PM ET.

Through three games, Miami ranks 3rd in three-point percentage (50%), 5th in offensive tempo, 5th in offensive effective field goal percentage (64.5%), and 16th in offensive efficiency.

The Hurricanes bring back a trio of starters from last year Nijel Pack (13.6 ppg), Norchad Omier (13.1 ppg and 10.0 rpg), and Wooga Poplar (8.4 ppg), plus five players averaging double-digits thus far.

Miami as a team averages 91.7 points per game with 101, 88, and 86 against NJIT, UCF, and FIU. Despite Miami looking vulnerable against FIU (86-80 win), FIU scrimmaged Miami prior to exhibition games, so FIU knew what they were up against, the same cannot be said for Georgia.

The Bulldogs play at a similar pace as Miami and the Hurricanes are top 20 in points per possession in transition and plays finished in transition. Georgia ranks 295th in defensive rebounding percentage (35.3%) and 197th in three-point defense (33.3%), which I believe will be an issue in this game.

I like the chances Miami puts up points, so give me the Hurricanes' Team Total Over 81.5 at -115 odds out to 82.5.

Pick: Miami Team Total Over 81.5 (1u)
*game odds courtesy of BetMGM

St. John’s vs Dayton (1.5): O/U 138.5

Dayton had a rocking crowd in yesterday's comeback win over LSU and that helped them advance to face St. John's on Friday at 2 PM ET.

St. John's has turned the ball over 22.6% of the time (299th) and had 31 total turnovers in the past two games versus North Texas and Michigan. The Red Storm also went 15-of-50 (30%) from three and 21-of-36 (58.3%) from the free-throw line in that span.

Dayton can take care of St. John's often reckless offense. The Flyers forced nine steals versus LSU and the Tigers posted 15 total turnovers. The Flyers are top 100 in both offensive and defensive efficiency through three games, plus post a 76.3% mark from the free-throw line (77th).

In the Flyers' lone loss at Northwestern, Dayton shot over 50% from the field, three and 80% from the free-throw line. Dayton turned the ball over 10 times in the second half versus Northwestern and the Cats had one, but that won't happen here.

Give me Dayton on the ML at -110 odds out to -130. The Flyers are the better team and have the crowd edge.

Pick: Dayton ML (1u)
*odds courtesy of BetMGM

Season Record: 7-0 (100%) +7 units

Join in the college football conversation this Saturday at 11 AM ET! From sides to totals to props, get ready for the weekend of college football with the NBC Sports College Football Betting Q&A.