CNN's Midterm Election Forecast Is Unbelievably Grim For Democrats
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten on Monday predicted a 2022 midterm election landslide for Republicans in the House of Representatives. (Watch the video below.)
The November elections are months away, but Enten’s findings are pointing in the wrong direction for Democrats, who hold a 12-seat House majority. Enten said Republicans are in their best position in more than 80 years.
“My estimate for the 2023 House makeup, if the election were held today, which again, it isn’t ... would be Republicans, 236 seats to 241 seats. Democrats, 194 to 199,” he said.
Host Jake Tapper noted that the turnover would amount to a “stomping” for Democrats.
“Yes it would,” Enten replied.
Enten based part of his forecast on generic voting preferences (simply Democrat or Republican) in competitive congressional districts and compared them to historical models. The trend heavily favors the GOP, which is also being boosted by President Joe Biden’s lower approval ratings amid inflation, Tapper noted.
Data points to a November blowout, CNN's Harry Enten say, telling Jake Tapper that the GOP is currently in "the best position for Republicans at this point in any midterm cycle in over 80 years." pic.twitter.com/V3vevMlIXJ
— Virginia Kruta (@VAKruta) June 7, 2022
Democrats are hoping the Supreme Court threat to abortion rights, the failure of GOP lawmakers to budge on gun control after repeated mass shootings, and continued fallout from the Capitol riot will help the party rally.
This article originally appeared on HuffPost and has been updated.