CFB futures market

Thor Nystrom
·6 min read



Every Monday, I’ll provide updated Heisman, national title and first-overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft odds from PointsBet along with thoughts on potential angles.

Heisman odds

Player

Position

Team

This week

Last week

Trevor Lawrence

QB

Clemson Tigers

-110

-160

Justin Fields

QB

Ohio State Buckeyes

200

700

Mac Jones

QB

Alabama Crimson Tide

600

450

Kyle Trask

QB

Florida Gators

2000

3000

Najee Harris

RB

Alabama Crimson Tide

2500

2500

DeVonta Smith

WR

Alabama Crimson Tide

2500

5000

D’Eriq King

QB

Miami Hurricanes

2500

8000

Sean Clifford

QB

Penn State Nittany Lions

5000

6600

Ian Book

QB

Notre Dame Irish

8000

15000

Spencer Rattler

QB

Oklahoma Sooners

10000

10000

Kellen Mond

QB

Texas A&M Aggies

10000

15000

Zamir White

RB

Georgia Bulldogs

10000

20000

Master Teague III

RB

Ohio State Buckeyes

10000

N/A

Sam Ehlinger

QB

Texas Longhorns

10000

N/A

Tanner Morgan

QB

Minnesota Gophers

15000

10000

JD Spielman

WR

TCU Horned Frogs

15000

20000

Sam Howell

QB

North Carolina Tarheels

20000

15000

JT Daniels

QB

Georgia Bulldogs

20000

20000

Tylan Wallace

WR

Oklahoma State Cowboys

20000

20000

Kadarius Toney

OW

Florida Gators

20000

N/A

Myles Brennan

QB

LSU Tigers

20000

N/A

JT Daniels

QB

Georgia Bulldogs

20000

N/A

Jaylen Waddle

WR

Alabama Crimson Tide

N/A

1600

Zach Wilson

QB

BYU Cougars

N/A

N/A

Shane Buechele

QB

SMU Mustangs

N/A

2500

Travis Etienne

RB

Clemson Tigers

N/A

3000

Stetson Bennett

QB

Georgia Bulldogs

N/A

5000

Trey Sermon

RB

Ohio State Buckeyes

N/A

5000

Chuba Hubbard

RB

Oklahoma State Cowboys

N/A

8000

Brock Purdy

QB

Iowa State Cyclones

N/A

8000

Seth Williams

WR

Auburn Tigers

N/A

10000

Adrian Martinez

QB

Nebraska Cornhuskers

N/A

15000

Feleipe Franks

QB

Arkansas Razorbacks

N/A

15000

  • Trevor Lawrence, whose odds dropped from -110 to -160 last week, saw them reverse back this week -- from -160 to -110. That was through little fault of his own (Lawrence was solid if unspectacular in a win over Syracuse), and more because Justin Field has returned to action.

  • Fields went 20-of-21 for 276 yards and two TD in a season-opening blowout win over Nebraska. Last week, we mentioned that Fields was easily the biggest bargain bet on the board. This week, his odds plummeted from +700 to +200.

  • Jaylen Waddle was removed from the board after fracturing his ankle in Alabama's win over Tennessee.

  • Mac Jones, who I believed had little shot to win the award with Waddle and has even less of a chance to win it without him, dropped from +450 to +600.

  • Let's call a spade a spade: This is a two-man race between Lawrence and Fields.

Championship odds

Team

This week

Last week

Clemson Tigers

140

150

Ohio State Buckeyes

200

300

Alabama Crimson Tide

350

300

Georgia Bulldogs

1300

1600

Florida Gators

2300

2500

Michigan Wolverines

3500

6000

Notre Dame Irish

4000

5000

Texas A&M Aggies

5000

5000

Wisconsin Badgers

5000

5000

Penn State Nittany Lions

8000

3000

Oklahoma State Cowboys

8000

15000

Oklahoma Sooners

10000

10000

Kansas State Wildcats

10000

15000

BYU Cougars

10000

20000

Miami Hurricanes

10000

20000

Indiana Hoosiers

10000

25000

Iowa State Cyclones

15000

10000

Minnesota Golden Gophers

15000

10000

Iowa Hawkeyes

15000

15000

Texas Longhorns

15000

20000

North Carolina Tarheels

15000

20000

Memphis Tigers

15000

25000

NC State Wolfpack

15000

25000

Auburn Tigers

20000

20000

Cincinnati Bearcats

20000

20000

Virginia Tech Hokies

20000

20000

SMU Mustangs

20000

25000

Purdue Boilermakers

20000

40000

Nebraska Cornhuskers

25000

20000

UCF Knights

25000

25000

South Carolina Gamecocks

25000

25000

Baylor Bears

25000

30000

LSU Tigers

25000

30000

Pittsburgh Panthers

25000

40000

West Virginia Mountaineers

25000

40000

Missouri Tigers

25000

100000

Virginia Cavaliers

25000

100000

Michigan State Spartans

25000

N/A

Houston Cougars

30000

40000

Temple Owls

30000

N/A

Marshall Thundering Herd

35000

50000

Boston College Eagles

40000

100000

Tennessee Volunteers

50000

25000

Kentucky Wildcats

50000

35000

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

50000

35000

TCU Horned Frogs

50000

50000

Maryland Terrapins

50000

50000

Mississippi Rebels

50000

100000

Mississippi State Bulldogs

50000

100000

Louisville Cardinals

50000

100000

Navy Midshipmen

50000

100000

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

50000

100000

Texas Tech Red Raiders

50000

100000

Florida State Seminoles

50000

N/A

Arkansas Razorbacks

100000

50000

Florida International Panthers

100000

50000

Florida Atlantic Owls

100000

75000

Appalachian State Mountaineers

100000

100000

Arkansas State Red Wolves

100000

100000

Army Knights

100000

100000

Charlotte 49ers

100000

100000

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

100000

100000

East Carolina Pirates

100000

100000

Georgia Southern Eagles

100000

100000

Georgia State Panthers

100000

100000

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

100000

100000

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

100000

100000

North Texas Mean Green

100000

100000

Rice Owls

100000

100000

South Alabama Jaguars

100000

100000

Southern Mississippi Eagles

100000

100000

Troy Trojans

100000

100000

Syracuse Orange

100000

100000

Texas State Bobcats

100000

100000

Tulane Green Wave

100000

100000

UAB Blazers

100000

100000

UL Monroe Warhawks

100000

100000

Duke Blue Devils

100000

N/A

Kansas Jayhawks

100000

N/A

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

100000

N/A

South Florida Bulls

100000

N/A

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

100000

N/A

Vanderbilt Commodores

100000

N/A

UTSA Roadrunners

100000

N/A

Oregon Ducks

N/A

10000

USC Trojans

N/A

10000

Washington Huskies

N/A

15000

Utah Utes

N/A

15000

Arizona Wildcats

N/A

20000

Arizona State Sun Devils

N/A

20000

Stanford Cardinal

N/A

20000

UCLA Bruins

N/A

20000

Colorado Buffaloes

N/A

25000

Washington State Cougars

N/A

30000

Oregon State Beavers

N/A

100000

  • Clemson was not as dominant as they've been in recent weeks -- Trevor Lawrence threw a pick-six and the Tigers didn't even come close to covering in a 47-21 win over Syracuse -- but they got the job done and saw their odds drop from +150 to +140.

  • The biggest riser of the week was the Ohio State Buckeyes. As with Justin Fields in the Heisman race, Ohio State was underpriced merely because they hadn't yet played. The Buckeyes went out and did what they had to do over the weekend, blowing out the Cornhuskers. The public may have been reminded of how good OSU is, but this team's ceiling has always been title-caliber. SP+ has ranked Ohio State No. 1 every week that Bill Connelly has included the Buckeyes in his rankings. In fact, SP+ would currently list Ohio State as 4.6-point favorites over Clemson on a neutral field.

  • Following Waddle's injury, Alabama saw its odds fall the wrong way, from +300 to +350.

  • In kind, the Georgia Bulldogs moved from +1600 to +1300 and the Florida Gators moved from +2500 to +2300.

  • This week's biggest faller is the Penn State Nittany Lions. Penn State, which lost in overtime to Indiana over the weekend, fell from +3000 to +8000.

Games of note this weekend:

Boston College at No. 1 Clemson

No. 5 Georgia at Kentucky

Memphis at No. 7 Cincinnati

Michigan State at No. 13 Michigan

No. 4 Notre Dame at Georgia Tech

No. 3 Ohio State at No. 18 Penn State

Texas at No. 6 Oklahoma State

No. 9 Wisconsin at Nebraska

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