The two-day Breeders’ Cup World Championships will conclude Saturday at Del Mar.
Saturday’s nine Breeders’ Cup races will start at 3:05 p.m. EDT with the Filly & Mare Sprint and finish with the Classic at 8:40 p.m.
Here’s the TV schedule: NBC Sports (2:30-8 p.m.), NBC (8-9 p.m.).
Here’s an analysis of each race. All times EDT.
Filly & Mare Sprint (3:05 p.m.)
The pick: Gamine (#5) won this race last year at Keeneland and is 4 for 4 in 2021. She’s probably going to be singled on a lot of Pick 4 tickets.
Others to watch: Bella Sofia (#6) has the speed to contend with Gamine early and is the most likely to spring the upset with a 4-1-0 record in five career starts. Ce Ce (#4) finished just 3 lengths behind Gamine in third in the Grade 1 Ballerina on Aug. 28 at Saratoga.
Long shot to like: Edgeway (#3) won her last start at Del Mar on Aug. 20, and trainer John Sadler has her freshened for this one.
Standing against: Proud Emma (#1) would need the race of her lifetime just to finish on the board against these.
Turf Sprint (3:40 p.m.)
The pick: A Case of You (#6) has improving speed figures over his past three races and enters off a Group 1 score at Longchamp.
Others to watch: Emaraaty Ana (#2) has improving speed figures over his past four races and enters off a Group 1 victory at Haydock. Gear Jockey (#10) posted a 105 Beyer Speed Figure in his last race at Kentucky Downs, the best in the field. Lieutenant Dan (#4) is 3 for 3 this year with two victories at Del Mar.
Long shot to like: Fast Boat (#11) has won three of his past five starts and may not have liked the six-furlong distance in the two defeats. He’s back in his comfort zone here at five furlongs.
Standing against: Golden Pal (#3) won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint at Keeneland last year and likely will have the lead early in this one. I’m betting others catch him late.
Dirt Mile (4:19 p.m.)
The pick: Ginobili (#3) has been a different horse since adding blinkers and is 3 for 4 at Del Mar.
Others to watch: Life Is Good (#5) is the heavy favorite and the class of the field and may well run away with it. Silver State (#1) is the most likely to pick up the pieces if Ginobili and Life Is Good wear down late.
Long shot to like: If he stays near 10-1 in the odds, the Bob Baffert-trained Eight Rings (#8) belongs in all trifecta and superfecta wagers.
Standing against: Snapper Sinclair (#7) has been on the turf in his past three races, and this is a tough spot to return to the dirt.
Filly & Mare Turf (4:59 p.m.)
The pick: War Like Goddess (#7) is 3 for 3 at the 1 3/8-mile distance, giving her a slight edge over a strong field of foreign invaders.
Others to watch: Loves Only You (#8) comes from Japan and has six victories in 14 career starts. You gotta love the Irish-bred Love (#6), who looks to give trainer Aiden O’Brien his first victory in this race. Audarya (#12) is from France and won this race at Keeneland last year but is 0 for 4 in 2021.
Long shot to like: Going to Vegas (#1) has won three in a row and also has a second-place finish at the distance on the Del Mar turf.
Standing against: Rougir (#4) enters off a Group 1 victory but has finished off the board in her two career starts over firm turf.
Sprint (5:38 p.m.)
The pick: Jackie’s Warrior (#2) was out of his element going longer distances last year on the Kentucky Derby trail but has found his niche as a sprinter, winning four of his past five starts. The price will be short, but good luck catching him.
Others to watch: Special Reserve (#8) has posted four straight Beyer Speed Figures of 100 or better and adds jockey Irad Ortiz Jr. for this. Following Sea (#1) is at his best at six furlongs with a 2-0-1 record in three career starts at the distance. Dr. Schivel (#9) has won five straight starts and is 3 for 3 at Del Mar but takes a big step up in class.
Long shot to like: Aloha West (#5) has posted back-to-back Beyer Speed Figures of 102 and 100 and just lost by a neck in his graded-stakes debut last time out at Keeneland.
Standing against: The 6-year-old Firenze Fire (#6) always tries but is winless in his last four starts.
Mile (6:20 p.m.)
The pick: Good luck landing on one in this wide-open affair, but Mo Forza (#6) is primed for a big effort in his third start off a 10 ½-month layoff. He has three wins at Del Mar and is 6 for 8 at the distance.
Others to watch: The Irish-bred Space Blues (#3) is 3 for 5 this year and most recently won the Group 1 Prix de la Foret at Longchamp. Smooth Like Strait (#2) has finished second behind Mo Forza in his last two races but never has been worse than second in five career starts at Del Mar. Blowout (#10) should set the pace and never has been worse than fourth in 14 career starts.
Long shot to like: Hit the Road (#8) has finished third behind Mo Forza and Smooth Like Strait in his past two starts but adds jockey John Velazquez for this try.
Standing against: Mother Earth (#9) ran huge to finish second in last year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf at Keeneland but enters off a fifth-place finish in the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth at Ascot.
Distaff (7 p.m.)
The pick: Letruska (#6) is the heavy favorite after winning five straight starts this year, including four Grade 1s. Will anyone dare to go with her early?
Others to watch: Royal Flag (#2) will be coming late and could catch any tiring front-runners. Shedaresthedevil (#8) won the Grade 1 Hirsch in August at Del Mar and is the only horse to beat Letruska this year. Malathaat (#3) is 3 for 4 this year – including a Kentucky Oaks win – but hasn’t raced since August.
Long shot to like: Dunbar Road (#11) hasn’t been able to break through for a win in 2021 but did finish just 1 ¾ lengths behind Letruska in the Grade 1 Spinster last month at Keeneland.
Standing against: Private Mission (#1) has won three in a row for Baffert but would need to take a big step forward to beat the best in this race.
Turf (7:40 p.m.)
The pick: Tarnawa (#13) won this race last year at Keeneland and is 1-2-0 in three starts this year after a long break in the winter and spring.
Others to watch: Walton Street (#7) is a 7-year-old gelding who fired a 110 Beyer Speed Figure on Sept. 18 in winning the Grade 1 Canadian International at Woodbine. Gufo (#11) is 7-2-4 in 13 career starts but was a disappointing third in his last start at Belmont. Rockemperor (#1) keeps jockey Javier Castellano after winning the Grade 1 Turf Classic last month at Belmont.
Long shot to like: Broome (#8) set the pace in his last race before fading to 11th but gives trainer O’Brien a chance to win this race for the seventh time.
Standing against: Teona (#12) is a lightly raced filly who will need to step up against better competition here.
Classic (8:40 p.m.)
The pick: Hot Rod Charlie (#3) burst on the scene last year in the Breeders’ Cup at Keeneland – finishing second in the Juvenile at 94-1 odds – and enters off a solid victory in the Grade 1 Pennsylvania Derby. He seems to be peaking at the right time.
Others to watch: Knicks Go (#5) is the worthy favorite after three straight victories, but this is his first time going 1 ¼ miles. Essential Quality (#4) is 8 for 9 lifetime – the only blemish the fourth-place finish in the disputed Kentucky Derby – and now gets his chance to prove his value against older horses. Medina Spirit (#8) has won two straight since finishing third in the Preakness but did so against weaker fields.
Long shot to like: Art Collector (#6) could offer some value in the exotics wagers in a race where the favorites look awfully tough.
Standing against: Max Player (#9) has won two straight at this distance but figures to have a tougher time here with his new stalking style.
Jason Frakes: 502-582-4046; email@example.com; Twitter: @KentuckyDerbyCJ.
This article originally appeared on Louisville Courier Journal: Breeders' Cup betting guide: Horses to bet, longshots, who to avoid