Breaking down Phils' odds for playoffs, pennant and World Series originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia
The Phillies enter the final weekend of the season with about a 50 percent chance to make the postseason according to Fangraphs. They sit in ninth place, just on the outside of the eight-team National League playoff race. It is imperative for the Phillies to take care of business at Tampa Bay this weekend, and they need to get a little help around the National League.
In terms of the odds, PointsBet has the Phillies at +3300 ($10 bet to win $330) to win the World Series. That gives them the 12th-best odds to win the title along with the Cardinals, Reds, and Marlins — all teams they are chasing in the standings. When it comes to winning the NL pennant, the Phillies are listed at +1400 ($10 bet to win $140). Both those numbers have increased a bit since before the restart. Back in June, the Phillies had odds of +2200 to win the World Series and +1100 to win the National League. For the record, right before the season began in late July, PointsBet listed the Phillies’ over/under on wins at 31.5. The under has already hit since the Phils are 28-29 with three regular-season games to play.
The Phillies are expected to face Charlie Morton in Friday’s opener vs. the Rays. Bryce Harper is 4 for 8 with a home run and J.T. Realmuto is 3 for 8 all-time vs. Morton. Meanwhile, Jay Bruce is a .281 hitter (9 for 35) against Morton with 3 home runs and 9 RBI. Morton is scheduled to be opposed by Vince Velasquez. Vinny Velo hasn’t faced a lot of the Rays in his career and the few players he’s opposed haven’t recorded a hit off him.
The Phillies are going to need Velasquez, along with Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola, to work deep into the games this weekend. The Phillies starters need to do all they can to keep the unreliable bullpen off the field if they want to play October baseball. Bettors that have backed the Phillies just want a chance to cash in on those pennant and championship tickets.