The quarterback position is overflowing with elite fantasy producers this season. And for that reason, Robert Griffin III has to be considered no higher than a borderline top 10 QB commodity, even with the news that he's been cleared for takeoff in Week 1 after an offseason spent rehabbing an ACL injury.
Health concerns and the expectation that he'll run less this season are the two main ankle weights strapped to RG3's fantasy value. He ranked among the top five signal-callers in per game fantasy production last season, but much of that production (833 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns), came on the ground – he scored more fantasy rushing points than any other quarterback. With Washington expected to curb that facet of Griffin's game this season, it puts a lid on his fantasy upside. That said, he's a skilled passer (20:5 TD-to-INT ratio in '12) who played much of the season without his two best receiving weapons (Pierre Garcon and Fred Davis). With those two back at full strength, RGIII should be able to partially make up for what he'll lose in rushing value this season.
Like Michael Vick, RG3 still has the potential to put a fantasy team on his back and carry it to the postseason. But the downside that comes with the territory means owners should consider him only a back-of-the line QB1, and they should make sure to draft a quality backup QB if they are planing on employing RG3.