With Argentina's 5-0 win over Panama on Friday night, the Copa America Centenario is two-thirds of the way through its group stage. The United States kicks off the final round of group games on Saturday against Paraguay, with a win or draw taking it through to the quarterfinals.
Below are the scenarios for all 16 teams. But first, the tiebreaker rules are as follows:
1. Goal differential
2. Goals for
3. Head-to-head result
4. Coin flip
Abbreviated group standings, final round schedules and quarterfinal pairings are also below, but the full standings, including goal differential, goals scored and more, can be found here.
Colombia has clinched a spot in the knockout round and can clinch first place in Group A with either A) a win or draw vs. Costa Rica, OR B) a United States loss or draw vs. Paraguay.
United States clinches a spot in the knockout round with a win or draw* vs. Paraguay. The U.S. would win the group with a win and a Colombia loss to Costa Rica.
Paraguay clinches second place in the group with a win over the U.S., provided Costa Rica does not beat Colombia by a margin that is three goals greater than Paraguay's margin over the U.S.
Costa Rica gets eliminated with a loss or draw vs. Colombia, OR a United States win or draw*. Costa Rica could clinch second place with a win over Colombia AND a U.S. loss IF its margin of victory is three goals greater than Paraguay's margin of victory over the U.S.
*Technically, the U.S. could draw and not advance, but that would require Costa Rica to beat Colombia by at least six goals.
Brazil clinches a spot in the knockout round with a win or draw vs. Peru, OR with an Ecuador loss or draw vs. Haiti. Brazil clinches first place in Group B with a win, OR with a draw IF Ecuador doesn't beat Haiti by at least six goals.
Peru clinches a spot in the knockout round and first place in Group B with a win over Brazil. Peru clinches a spot in the knockout round with an Ecuador draw or loss vs. Haiti, OR with a draw and an Ecuador win IF Ecuador's margin of victory is one goal AND IF Peru scores at least as many goals in its draw as Ecuador does in its win.
Ecuador clinches second place in Group B with a win AND either a Brazil or Peru win, OR with a two-goal win and a Brazil-Peru draw. Ecuador is eliminated with a loss or draw.
COIN FLIP SCENARIO: If Peru draws with Brazil and Ecuador beats Haiti by one goal, and if Ecuador scores one more goal than Peru – for example, Peru 0, Brazil 0 and Ecuador 1, Haiti 0 – a coin flip would determine who advances as the second place team from Group B.
Haiti has been eliminated.
Mexico and Venezuela have both clinched spots in the knockout round. Mexico clinches first place in Group C with a win or draw vs. Venezuela. Venezuela clinches first place in Group C with a win over Mexico.
Uruguay and Jamaica have both been eliminated.
Argentina has clinched a spot in the knockout round. Argentina clinches first place in Group D with a win or draw vs. Bolivia, OR with a Chile-Panama draw. Argentina has all but clinched first place regardless of final day results*.
Chile clinches a spot in the knockout round with a win or a draw.
Panama clinches a spot in the knockout round with a win.
Bolivia has been eliminated.
*Either Chile or Panama can win Group D with a win AND an Argentina loss IF Chile or Panama make up a goal differential deficit of six or 10 respectively.