I know, I should be ashamed to show my face around this post this week.
It’s been a tough couple weeks with some bad beats and my picks record has suffered. I wouldn’t be upset if you looked at this week’s picks and decided to fade them all. It’s a good thing these are for entertainment purposes only.
After going 4-6 last week, my record moves to a sad 29-21-1.
Here’s what I like (and you should fade) this week:
Maryland (+16) at Florida State, 12 p.m. ET: Florida State gave everyone pause last week with the way Boston College was able to keep the game close. Maryland has a better offense than BC and comes in with a ton of confidence. The Terps keep this one close.
Illinois (+8.5) at Nebraska, 12 p.m. ET: Nebraska has had a week off to get the kinks worked out, but Illinois has been playing better every week. If Illinois can jump out early, Nebraska’s confidence issues might creep up again.
Louisville (-31.5) at Temple, 12 p.m. ET: Louisville quarterback Teddy Bridgewater is trying to win the Heisman with a terrible schedule. And the best way to do that is to blow out inferior teams. This would be one of those opportunities. Temple shouldn’t even be on the same field with the Cardinals. If you want to be safe, take Louisville in the first half only.
North Carolina at Virginia Tech OVER 45.5, 12:30 ET: North Carolina offense has been proficient, but it hasn’t exactly excelled on defense this year. If Virginia Tech quarterback Logan Thomas is on, this will be a high-scoring affair.
South Alabama (+3) at Troy, 1 p.m. ET: There’s something about the way South Alabama has played this season that makes me believe that they can topple traditional Sun Belt powerhouse Troy. Remember, this is the same South Alabama team that beat Western Kentucky and was within a touchdown of Tennessee.
N.C. State (-7.5) at Wake Forest, 3:30 p.m. ET: N.C. State is one of the more underrated teams in the ACC this year and it’s shown the ability to put points on the board. Wake Forest has not. Clemson embarrassed the Demon Deacons last week and I think they’ll have the same issues against the Wolfpack this week.
Georgia (-10.5) at Tennessee, 3:30 p.m. ET: I went back and forth on this game because Georgia due for a letdown after its great game against LSU last week. I mean, look at what happened to them against North Texas? However, this is still an SEC game and Georgia’s offense is still superior to Tennessee’s. This game might be close early, but Georgia will pull away late.
North Texas (-3) at Tulane, 3:30 p.m. ET: North Texas seems like it’s really starting to thrive under coach Dan McCarney. It’s played well in every game this season, including a close loss to Georgia a couple week ago. It’s coming off a bye week, but that Georgia game should still provide confidence heading into this weekend.
Ohio State (-6.5) at Northwestern, 8 p.m. ET: After last week’s game against Wisconsin, there were a lot of pundits questioning whether Ohio State was the nation’s No. 4 team. Expect the Buckeyes to answer that question in this game. Northwestern has had to deal with a lot of distractions with College Gameday coming to campus and they haven't seen a team like Ohio State this season.
Stanford (-7.5) vs. Washington, 10:30 p.m. ET: As noted in the What to Watch, this is a revenge game for Stanford, which lost to Washington last year. The Stanford offense is vastly improved and while Washington also has an improved offense, the Huskies can’t afford to get into a back-and-forth with the Cardinal.