Alabama and Florida State are on a collision course for the BCS championship should both teams win out, but it’s the spots after those teams in the recently released BCS standings that could get dicey as the final weeks trek on.
Ohio State, which holds the nation’s longest winning streak, moved into the No. 3 spot in the standings despite being idle this week. But big wins by No. 4 Stanford and No. 5 Baylor put the Buckeyes No. 3 ranking in serious jeopardy.
The three teams are separated only by a few points – Ohio State (.8926), Stanford (.8689) and Baylor (.8618) – but their remaining schedules could bridge those gaps.
Ohio State finishes its regular season against Illinois, Indiana and Michigan. Of those teams, only Michigan has a winning record and it’s lost two straight.
Similarly, Stanford has games against USC, Cal and Notre Dame to round out the regular season. USC and Notre Dame have winning records, but none of the three are ranked.
And that’s where Baylor has the advantage.
The Bears still have games against Texas Tech, No. 12 Oklahoma State, TCU and No. 24 Texas. If the Bears win out, they could nuzzle up right behind Florida State and Alabama and hope one slips up. The Bears also have the advantage of not playing a conference title game.
Ohio State and Stanford need to beat each of their final opponents decisively to keep the voters on their side even if the computers start to sway Baylor's direction. Otherwise, it could be an interesting final few weeks.
Other notes from the BCS standings:
• No. 17 Central Florida’s win against Houston puts the Knights in the driver’s seat for the AAC title and a BCS bowl berth. As long as the Knights don’t lose more than one of their final four games, they should be in.
• Fresno State continues to hold the edge on Northern Illinois for the non-BCS spot and both of those teams at No. 14 and No. 15 respectively, are ahead of UCF, which would put the Bulldogs in the BCS game per BCS rules. But even if that doesn’t hold true, the Bulldogs are just two spots from earning an automatic bid by cracking the top 12.
• Auburn jumped two spots to No. 7 with its win over Tennessee. The Tigers have a game against Georgia before its regular season finale clash with Alabama. If Auburn beats Georgia, that final game would determine the SEC West title.
• The biggest drop of the week belong to Miami, which fell from No. 11 to No. 23 following its loss to Virginia Tech. The biggest gain belonged to UCLA, which moved up six spots from No. 19 to No. 13 with its win over Arizona.
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